This paper assesses the current state of the jihadist threat to France, as well as the French authorities’ security response. With the upcoming presidential election, 2017 will be a decisive year for the country. Terrorism will be at the heart of the campaign and ISIS will most likely try to...
Making Sense of Europe’s Southern Neighbourhood: Main Geopolitical and Security Parameters ARI 10/2017, 30 January 2017, Elcano Institute, Ifri
Europe’s southern neighbourhood is a diverse but interlinked geopolitical ensemble, whose specificities need to be carefully assessed before Europeans devise dedicated security strategies, divide responsibilities and make policy decisions.
Les mutations du renseignement militaire : dissiper le brouillard de la guerre ? Focus stratégique, No. 71, January 2017
Military intelligence has evolved significantly as a result of advanced technology and the changing character of war.
Current hostilities between the United States, NATO and Russia, though they might not be at Cold War levels, do indicate real danger. NATO’s continued expansion toward the east and the deployment of defensive American antimissiles in Europe constitute serious strategic problems for Moscow.
Le monde selon Trump. Anticiper la nouvelle politique étrangère américaine Études de l'Ifri, November 2016
What will become of US foreign policy under Donald Trump? A selection of Ifri researchers has come together to offer their thoughts on this question. Our experts cover an array of topics through 14 contributions, ranging from the future Sino-American relations, through US engagement in the...
Japan's New Dual-Use Space Policy: The Long Road to the 21st Century Asie.Visions, No 88, November 2016
Japan’s latest space policy is designed to support a more proactive US-Japan alliance role in containing China, and robustly defend Japan against North Korean ballistic missile threats.
Operation Sangaris: A Case Study in Limited Military Intervention Military Review, Vol. 96, No 6, November-December 2016
The French Army's Sangaris Operation in Central African Republic proved successful despite it being first undermined.
The Future Middle East Strategic Balance. Conventional and Unconventional Sources of Instability Proliferation Papers, No. 56, September 2016
This paper seeks to analyze the future Middle Eastern military balance of power, in a time horizon of five to ten years.
War and Democratic Decision Making: How do Democracies Argue and Decide Whether or Not to Intervene in Distant Wars? Editoriaux de l'IFRI
What is the proper place and forum for decisions about war and peace in a democracy? There is surprisingly little consensus on this matter, not in theory and not in practice. While in Iraq, Libya and Syria, all Western actions have ended in failure, it seems necessary to analyze the place and...