As an essential platform for multilateralism, the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE) has always been important to German diplomacy, although in varying degrees. Historically, Germany’s support for the Conference on Security and Co-operation in Europe...
Observatory on Future Conflicts
The Observatory on Future Conflicts is a multiannual frame contract run by the Foundation for Strategic Research (FRS), the French Institute of International Relations (Ifri) and Geo4i under the supervision of the three armed services headquarters (Air Force, Army, Navy).
The aims of this observatory are to:
- Give the armed forces a prospective and independent insight on the evolution of the conflict environment and its consequences on force structures to 2035.
- Provide the armed forces with recommendations aiming at adapting part or all of their capabilities within the framework of a multidisciplinary analysis.
- Consolidate the armed forces’ grasp of the evolving international geostrategic environment.
- Reinforce the armed forces’ understanding of the evolution of the operational environment through the medium of in-depth publications and roundtable seminars.
- Support a transversal analysis which crosses each armed service’s perspectives.
- Bring about a new generation of strategic thinkers on these topics through the hiring of junior researchers within the consortium.
- Develop ties between the armed forces and independent, policy-oriented research, both French and international.
Hypersonic systems are becoming attributes of power for the states that design and implement them, at the risk of reviving an arms race.
Cyber-influence : les nouveaux enjeux de la lutte informationnelle Focus stratégique, No. 104, March 2021
The coming of age of a digital “info sphere” has dramatically changed the nature of military information support strategy.
Réparer 2020 ou préparer 2030 ? L’entraînement des forces françaises à l’ère du combat multi-domaine Focus stratégique, No. 101, January 2021
From basic training to the conduct of international exercises, operational readiness planning aim to make the components of military capabilities (equipment, doctrines, operational know-hows) consistent with the operational contracts decided at the strategic level.
L’Iran et ses “proxys” au Moyen-Orient. Les défis de la guerre par procuration Focus stratégique, No. 95, March 2020
If Iran is a key player in the Middle East, it is in no small part because of its extensive network of armed militia, which it uses as proxies.
Confettis d’empire ou points d’appui ? L’avenir de la stratégie française de présence et de souveraineté Focus stratégique, n° 94, février 2020
France is one of the few nations in the world to benefit from a permanent global military presence. With more than 10,000 military personnel from all three services, deployed across the five continents and the three main oceanic basins, it benefits from the second largest network of...
Quel avenir pour le djihadisme ? Al-Qaïda et Daech après le califat Focus stratégique, No. 87, January 2019
Despite a relative weakening since 2017, the international jihadist movement should continue to pose a genuine threat over the next decade.
Les armées françaises face aux menaces anti-aériennes de nouvelle génération Focus stratégique, No. 86, December 2018
Although it had never entirely disappeared, the surface-to-air threat was mitigated for three decades by Western air superiority. It now benefits from a modernization and dissemination momentum that will increasingly hinder expeditionary forces’ freedom of action.
Terminator Ethics: Should We Ban “Killer Robots”? Politique étrangère, Vol. 79, No. 4, Winter 2014-2015
Automatic lethal weapon systems are under debate and certain non-governmental organizations (NGOs) are demanding their precautionary prohibition.
Cyber technology challenges conventional mechanisms of deterrence and conflict management.