Éditoriaux de l'Ifri - Energy Union: What's Inside the Defence Walls? Edito Energy, March 2015

Born out of the ashes of the Barroso – Ashton missing “energy diplomacy”, the Energy Union aims to build new defence walls in external relations. But, diplomatic action is not the sole recipient for success. What challenges lie inside the new defence walls of the Energy Union?

Vice President for the Energy Union, Maroš Šefčovič, together with High Representative for Foreign Affairs, Federica Mogherini, are sharing competences in building the diplomatic side of the Energy Union. Extending from the European Energy Security Strategy communication^[1], devised on the back of Russia’s threats to cut Ukraine’s gas supply, the Energy Union signals a turning point to external energy trade partners - mainly its major gas supplier Russia - that the EU could not continue a “business as usual” approach to gas import contracts[^2]. The Energy Union’s diplomatic centre of gravity remains mainly oriented towards Eastern Europe. Increased diversification of supply, more competition and flexibility should be framed in the EC’s relationships with its outside partners^[3]. To that extent, the Commission is proposing to review intergovernmental agreements in the field of energy, enforcing compliance with unbundling rules and yet to define security of supply criteria. Already, the Energy Union is ready to give its political support to energy projects in the Southern Corridor and East Mediterranean region, including in Algeria. The revision of the Energy Community, bringing together Southern European and Black sea countries^[4], in aligning energy legislation towards the “acquis communautaire” of the EU third package, will be an important aspect of the Union. Looking East, Turkey’s energy and transit sector will be brought closer to the Energy Union. Looking West, High Representative for Foreign Affairs Mogherini recommended including an energy package within the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership agreement in discussion with the USA.

On the road to the Paris Climate COP21 Conference, the EC’s DG Energy-Climate is engaged diplomatically. But, so far, the intended nationally determined contribution (INDC) to the Paris Conference as submitted by the EC, are in line with the 40% reduction in greenhouse gases to 2030^[5_], and the EC’s long term commitment of 80-95% reduction to 2050, below 1990 levels. Consequently, the Energy Union does not raise the EU’s long term climate ambitions.

Inside the defence walls of EU diplomacy, the Energy Union’s challenges lie in its regional implementation. Across the 28 Member States, the Energy Union’s regional dimension comes all down from an improved infrastructure interconnection, through the revision of the Gas Security of Supply regulation, to the focus on system security and cross border exchanges in electricity markets^[6], where renewable integration is creating regional imbalances. To this extent, a new European electricity market organisation (market design) will be proposed this year and followed by legislative proposals in 2016. The Energy Union’s regional dimension also encompasses the regionalisation of European system operators’ associations (ENTSOe/ENTSOg). The Juncker Commission and the Energy Union proposes a “step by step” approach to the achievement of the single energy market, financially supported by the Juncker Plan, and the 248 Projects of Common Interests situated in priority corridors covering 2014-2020. Supervisory role will be given to the Agency for the Cooperation of Energy Regulators’ (ACER). All these elements will be important factors of regional market integration and enhanced physical cross border exchanges.

The Energy Union is not moving towards more federalism, and as such, may not meet all the expectations of those who were calling for a single European energy policy. While not considering internal institutional reforms, the Energy Union is reasserting the rules of the game around a new governance of existing energy policies and a stronger focus on regional integration.