The Future of Europe in the Context of Sino-American Competition
This special issue of Politique étrangère focuses on the proceedings of the Conference organized by the French Institute of International Relations (Ifri) for its 40th anniversary, held on April 10th, 2019, in Sorbonne University's Grand Amphithéâtre.
Resulting from deep changes brought to the Centre for Foreign Policy Studies, itself founded in 1935, Ifri emerged in an era we now consider as the beginning of the end of the old, Cold War world. In 1979, the Cold War was about to deal its final blow. While the Soviet Union was increasingly struggling to keep up with the US in the race for information technology, the downfall of the Gang of Four opened the way for economic development in China. 1979 was also shaped by revolution in Iran. The Islamic Republic rose from the ashes of the Pahlavi dynasty, marking the beginning of political Islam from a western perspective. At the time, in geopolitical circles however, (the word “geopolitics” was avoided because of its Nazi connotations) the expression “Third World” was still being used to designate underdeveloped countries. Its most ambitious representatives, such as India, Indonesia, and even Africa, dreamed of escaping the East-West bipolarity and endeavoured to achieve an ideology of non-alignment. In 1979, the European Economic Community (EEC) was still young, not even 25 years old. Great Britain had joined its ranks in an opportunistic move seven years previously, but the Community was still steered by the ideology of its founding states.
Forty years later, the international system has changed tremendously, even though the past has left its distinctive trace, as it always does. The system is once again tending towards bipolarity, without Russia this time, which has nonetheless managed to keep an important position on the international scene, particularly in Europe and the Middle East. The triumph of economic liberalism in the wake of the USSR's demise has radically altered development issues. The bond that kept the western ideology together is now crumbling before us, while the US has narrowed the scope of its national interest, a shift initiated before Donald Trump's election. Political Islam and terrorism have made their way into the spotlight. Since 2007, the scientist delusion that major economic crises were no longer possible has collapsed. The EEC, renamed European Union, sometimes seems to have lost its sense of origin and direction after all the shocks it has weathered, from economic ones to migratory ones to Brexit. The dizzying development of technology has kindled worry as much as hope, and millenarian fears are growing around climate change and other kinds of uncontrolled interdependency, like potential pandemics. Such was our world in 2019, the year Ifri celebrated its 40th anniversary. The came the COVID-19 pandemic.We shall see whether it becomes the wake-up call that will allow the European Union to find its way back to its fundamental purpose. [...]
(Extract from the Foreword, by par Thierry de Montbrial)
TABLE OF CONTENTS
The Future of Europe in the Context of Sino-American Competition, by Bruno Le Maire
The World of Yesterday and Tomorrow, by Thierry de Montbrial
What Can Europe Hope to Achieve in Tomorrow's World?, with Franziska Brantner, Jean-Louis Bourlanges, Bernardino Leon, and Igor Yurgen
Europe and Africa, with Louise Mushikiwabo and Thierry de Montbrial
The Future of Europe from the US and Asian Point of View, with John Allen and Kishore Mahbubani
The Crucial Challenge of Cyberthreats, with Jean-Louis Gergorin and Thomas Gomart
The Future of Think Tanks, with Thomas Bagger, Thomas Gomart, Robin Niblett, and Daniela Schwarzer
Industry Response to Protectionnism, with Jean-Paul Agon and Patrick Pouyanné
New Global Challenges and European Security, with Julian King, Jean-Marie Guéhenno, Wolfgang Ischinger, Nathalie Tocci, and Hubert Védrine
Conclusions, by Jean-Yves Le Drian
This special issue is also available in French: "L'avenir de l'Europe face à la compétition sino-américaine".
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The Future of Europe in the Context of Sino-American Competition
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The Global Economy: Caught In The Storm / Politique étrangère, Vol. 91, No. 1, 2026
The global economy has become the primary arena for the clash of power ambitions in a world where understanding, coordination, and concerted multilateralism seem to have been permanently marginalized. In this fragmented landscape, how will American and Chinese strategies interact? Will the European Union manage to break out of its decades-old framework in order to face new competition? And will it be able, like others, to integrate the announced shift from a production economy to a digital, information economy? And what role will financial institutions, and central banks in particular, play in this transitioning international economy?
Foreword
In this special issue of Foreign Policy devoted to the proceedings of the conference organized by Ifri on April 10, 2019, in the Grand Amphitheater of the Sorbonne, on the occasion of its fortieth anniversary, read the foreword by Thierry de Montbrial, founder and president of Ifri.
Conclusions
In this special issue of Politique étrangère devoted to the proceedings of the conference organized by Ifri on April 10, 2019, at the Grand Amphitheater of the Sorbonne, on the occasion of its 40th anniversary, read the speech by Jean-Yves Le Drian, French Minister of Europe and Foreign Affairs.
New Global Challenges and European Security
In this special issue of Politique étrangère devoted to the proceedings of the conference organized by Ifri on April 10, 2019, in the Grand Amphitheater of the Sorbonne, on the occasion of its fortieth anniversary, discover the debate moderated by Nicole Gnesotto between Julian King, Jean-Marie Guéhenno, Wolfgang Ischinger, Nathalie Tocci, Hubert Védrine.