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A Splintered Internet? Internet Fragmentation and the Strategies of China, Russia, India and the European Union

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A Splintered Internet? Internet Fragmentation and the Strategies of China, Russia, India and the European Union
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From the Covid-19 pandemic to the ramifications of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, international events are fueling fears of an accelerated fragmentation of the global Internet. 

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A damaged telephone cable
Ali Bongo
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Internet “fragmentation” refers to the idea of a crumbling of the network of networks, or even the secession of certain parts of the Internet. It describes the segmentation of the global network and its tendency towards regionalization. This study examines how major powers, through their domestic and foreign policies, are likely to accelerate this fragmentation, whether voluntarily or not. The role of private companies, notably the major digital platforms, is also considered.

The study begins by analyzing the different types of fragmentation: technical, (geo)political and commercial. Technical fragmentation results from decisions which, deliberately or not, permanently or temporarily, break or limit digital connectivity between one part of the Internet and the rest of the network. Proposals for alternative protocols and standards to those already in use worldwide fall into this category. (Geo)political fragmentation stems from a variety of practices: data localization, deliberate Internet shutdowns, policies aimed at excluding Chinese companies from all Internet layers, and, in particular, from connectivity infrastructures, and so on. At the same time, since the 2010s, the idea of economic and commercial fragmentation has emerged, driven by protectionist strategies on the part of national authorities, the spread of proprietary software and hardware, and the exploitation of captive user data by major digital platforms. By building their own infrastructure, platforms create their own network while becoming the main gateway to the global Internet.

The study underlines that while U.S. diplomacy has long supported the global nature of the Internet infrastructure as part of its national interests, the instrumentalization of its privatized backbone now represents one of the key determinants of the dynamics of “fragmentation”. The study then examines the policies pursued by China, Russia, India, and the European Union, whose initiatives are driven by very diverse goals and are also reconfiguring the Internet. Indeed, these initiatives are manifold, reflecting the distinct visions of digital capitalism held by these state actors.

This publication is also available in French.

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ISBN / ISSN

979-10-373-0882-5

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A Splintered Internet? Internet Fragmentation and the Strategies of China, Russia, India and the European Union

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Julien NOCETTI

Julien NOCETTI

Intitulé du poste
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Authentic Modern High Tech Robot Weapon
Center for Geopolitics of Technology
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Artificial intelligence (AI), 5G, cybersecurity, robotics, semiconductors, space…Technologies—particularly digital technologies—now profoundly affect all human activities and, by extension, international relations. The political, strategic, economic, and social stakes that arise from them are expressed across multiple political levels, involving states, international organizations, and private companies alike. International dynamics of competition and cooperation are being reshaped as a result. To address these challenges, Ifri launched its Geopolitics of Technology Center in 2020, offering a distinctly European perspective on the international issues surrounding so-called critical technologies.

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Regulatory Dynamics and Tensions in the Space Sector: Towards and Americanization of Space Law?

Date de publication
13 November 2025
Accroche

The development of space law has gradually evolved from a top-down normative dynamic dominated by the founding impetus of the UN to a bottom-up normativity driven by national and industrial practices. This evolution is now accompanied by growing normative competition, raising the risk of an Americanization of space law and prompting the question of a European response.

Philippe ACHILLEAS
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The Sustainability of Space Operations: An Opportunity for European Leadership?

Date de publication
19 September 2025
Accroche

As space becomes a key arena for power projection strategies, while facing growth and diversification of orbital activities, the concept of “space sustainability” is emerging as a new framework of analysis for space governance. 

Jérôme BARBIER
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The “Huawei Saga” in Europe Revisited: German Lessons for the Rollout of 6G

Date de publication
02 June 2025
Accroche

While the European Union attempted to coordinate a collective response through its 5G Toolbox in Europe’s 5G infrastructure, member states diverged significantly in balancing political, economic, and technological considerations. Germany, despite its economic ties to China and status as Europe’s largest telecom market, only reached a tentative agreement in July 2024—one that appears largely symbolic. 

Tim RÜHLIG
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European Startups and Generative AI: Overcoming Big Tech Dominance

Date de publication
07 April 2025
Accroche

Europe is at a crossroads. Faced with the domination of American Big Tech across the entire generative Artificial Intelligence (AI) value chain, from foundation models to cloud infrastructure, distribution channels, and open source, it risks long-term technological and economic decline. Yet generative AI also represents a major opportunity for economic transformation, with a potential value estimated at 1.5 times France’s gross domestic product (GDP). To turn it into a driver of renewal, Europe must move beyond the illusion of total technological independence and instead build an ecosystem that leverages Big Tech resources while strengthening its own innovation capabilities.

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A damaged telephone cable
Ali Bongo
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A Splintered Internet? Internet Fragmentation and the Strategies of China, Russia, India and the European Union