Debates Videoconferences
from 09:30 to 11:00
This event is public
Crédits: Whyframe @Shutterstock.com
Crédits: Whyframe @Shutterstock.com

How the war in Ukraine affects strategic foresight? Visions from France and Japan

The Russian aggression in Ukraine took most experts and policymakers by surprise and raised questions about the methodology of strategic planning and foresight.

This webinar offers the opportunity to present how foresight is conducted in France and in Japan strategic communities, as well as in a big French company. We will see if the failure to predict the war in Ukraine is having any impact on anticipation practices. In particular, we will focus on two cases studies: the prospect for a more aggressive Russian foreign policy in Europe and Northeast Asia; and the prospect for a more aggressive Chinese foreign policy in East Asia vis à vis Taiwan and Japan.


This webinar will be held on Zoom, in English.



Chair and discussion leader: Céline PAJON, Head of Japan Research, Center for Asian Studies, Ifri

  • Tomonori YOSHIZAKI, Vice-President for Academic Affairs, National Institute for Defense Studies, Tokyo
  • Tristan DUFES, Deputy Assistant Director, Defence Strategy, Directorate General for International Relations and Strategy (DGRIS), French Ministry of Armed Forces



Contact the organizers: 

For more information on the debate, please contact:  pajon@ifri.org

military foresight strategy China France Japan Russia Ukraine