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2020 And Beyond: 2050 in light of the Copenhagen Accord

Editorials
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Actuelles de l'Ifri, November 2010
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2020 And Beyond: 2050 in light of the Copenhagen Accord...
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At the end of the Copenhagen Conference of December 2009, the attending parties failed to agree on a legally binding commitment, but ultimately signed the Copenhagen Accord. The countries signing this accord took different engagements in respect to their economic and emissions status. 

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The developed countries stated their targets in the Annex 1, where a specific emissions reduction is planned by 2020 based on a specific year. Non-annex 1 countries, developing nations, stated their emissions targets in different terms, usually in terms of a reduction versus business as usual or a reduction in carbon intensity. Through simple calculations, this paper seeks to illustrate what these targets represent concretely, in the same unit of CO2 emissions. By looking at the entirety of the Annex 1 countries, in addition to the major emitters of non-Annex 1 countries, China and India, this paper will project emissions to 2020 and 2050 and discuss their relevance to the goal of 450 ppm....

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978-2-86592-786-9

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Climate & Energy
Center for Energy & Climate
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Ifri's Energy and Climate Center carries out activities and research on the geopolitical and geoeconomic issues of energy transitions such as energy security, competitiveness, control of value chains, and acceptability. Specialized in the study of European energy/climate policies as well as energy markets in Europe and around the world, its work also focuses on the energy and climate strategies of major powers such as the United States, China or India. It offers recognized expertise, enriched by international collaborations and events, particularly in Paris and Brussels.

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Solar Radiation Management: A Climate Tool with Geopolitical Implications

Date de publication
26 October 2026
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The Paris Agreement (2015) aims to keep global warming below 2 °C, preferably 1.5 °C, above pre-industrial levels. Mitigation (reducing greenhouse gas emissions) remains the core tool for reaching net carbon neutrality  by mid-century. However, a temperature overshoot is anticipated.  The United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) forecasts that the 1.5 °C threshold will be exceeded in the coming years, with warming potentially peaking between 2.2 °C and 3.6 °C this century.  Against this backdrop, three trends characterize the climate policy debate.

Xavier LANDES
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China’s Hydrogen Economy Five Years On

Date de publication
14 October 2026
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China’s hydrogen sector is not new. It is the world’s largest industrial hydrogen system, rooted in ammonia, methanol, refining, coal chemicals and by-product gas streams.

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27 Plans for 2027: Turning the Electrification Action Plan into National Action

Date de publication
21 September 2026
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With the aim of structurally reducing the European economy’s dependence on fossil fuel imports and accelerating the energy transition, the European Commission has opted for electrification.

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How to Make European e-SAF Production under RefuelEU Aviation Fly?

Date de publication
18 June 2026
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Three and a half years before the scheduled entry into force of the European regulation ReFuelEU Aviation (RFEUA), which requires aviation fuel suppliers at Union airports to offer a sustainable synthetic alternative (e-SAF), no sizeable commercial production unit (greater than 10,000 tons per year) is active within Europe yet, nor has it even passed the Final Investment Decision (FID). Is a major step in the European Union (EU) plans for decarbonizing air transport at risk of not happening, or at least being postponed for several years? Is Europe losing its bet to create a market for e-SAF? Under what conditions can this bet still be won? Could sovereignty and energy security preoccupations unlock necessary public support and help to overcome economic, financial, logistical or administrative obstacles?

Rémy CARBONNIER
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How can this study be cited?

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2020 And Beyond: 2050 in light of the Copenhagen Accord...
Christoph MEYER, « 2020 And Beyond: 2050 in light of the Copenhagen Accord », Editorials, Ifri, 4 November 2010.
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