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Publications

EU-Mercosur: An Unsolvable Trilemma Between Competition Rules, Normative Ambitions and Supply Chain Diversification

Date de publication
03 October 2023
Accroche

The EU-Mercosur trade deal was believed to be heading toward the finish. The election of Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as the president of Brazil, as successor to the right-wing populist Jair Bolsonaro, and the Spanish presidency of the European Union (EU), raised hopes for its conclusion. But the reservations expressed by several EU member states and some Latin American countries have dashed hopes.

Marie KRPATA Ana Helena PALERMO

Zeitenwende: The Bundeswehr’s Paradigm Shift

Date de publication
29 September 2023
Accroche

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, marked a turning point in German defense policy. After thirty years of military downsizing, the Bundeswehr found itself at an extremely low capability level just as a high-intensity war involving a great power was breaking out on Europe’s doorstep for the first time since 1945. Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s response was to embrace this “turning point” (Zeitenwende) by launching a major program to reequip Germany’s armed forces.

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Fiscal Policy in France and Germany: Insurmountable Differences?

Date de publication
05 September 2023
Accroche

The state of public finances in France and Germany is often compared. Germany is considered a model of rigor, through its ability to contain its deficits and generate surpluses, particularly between 2012 and 2019, thanks to the introduction into its constitution of a debt brake mechanism. 

Andreas EISL
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High-Intensity Warfare: What Challenges for the French Armed Forces?

Date de publication
12 July 2023
Accroche

The new French Military Programming Law for 2024-2030 resolutely commits the French armed forces to the path of high intensity. However, this term continues to be the subject of debate and confusion within the defense community. 

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Energy sector: outlook and opportunities

22 June 2023
Accroche

The recent energy crisis has highlighted our economies' dependence on energy resources. With fossil fuels becoming less available, and a necessary transition to more decarbonised alternatives, could tomorrow's energy not become more expensive and less certain in availability? 

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France, Germany play safe during China Premier Li's European trip

23 June 2023
Accroche

HAMBURG, Germany -- Chinese Premier Li Qiang avoided public clashes on a high-profile visit to Germany and France this week, in what analysts see as a sign of the European nations' reluctance to alienate Beijing.

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Is International Climate Finance Unfair and Inefficient?

Date de publication
20 June 2023
Accroche

Finance is arguably the most sensitive climate negotiation topic. Different studies have shown that rich countries emit the majority of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, while the climate footprint of the poorest countries is much more limited.

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Emmanuel Macron's Trip to Central Africa: A Look Back on a Difficult Diplomatic Exercise

Date de publication
10 May 2023
Accroche

On February 27, 2023, Emmanuel Macron delivered a speech on French-African relations before traveling to Central Africa to meet with the leaders of four countries: Gabon, Angola, Congo, and the Democratic Republic of Congo. This briefing looks back at the key moments of his latest presidential trip and analyzes the limits of this diplomatic exercise.

Lise LESIGNE Alain ANTIL
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Macron's Taiwan comments expose muddled China policy

27 April 2023
Accroche

French President Emmanuel Macron's call for Europe to steer clear of a Taiwan conflict -- rooted in France's pride and deep-seated resistance to following America's lead -- has raised questions about where he and Paris really stand on China.

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In the middle of the race, the Franco-German motor seems to be breaking down

09 April 2023
Accroche

Faced with the risk of losing investments in the technologies of the future, due to subsidies that its global competitors are pumping into their economies, the European Union is forced to rethink its industrial policy.

The United States and Europe risk entering into a subsidy war, each trying to support the competitiveness of their economies… their market economies… with public money. Meanwhile, member states expect from Brussels solutions that will allow them to remain relevant in a world where interventionism is the order of the day.

Franco-German Civil Society: Object and Actor of Bilateral Relations. Balance and Perspectives after the Signing of the Treaty of Aachen

Date de publication
08 December 2021
Accroche

The treaty signed by France and Germany in Aachen on January 22, 2019 highlights the role of civil society in bilateral cooperation and aims to contribute to "bringing societies [and citizens in both countries] closer together".

Corine DEFRANCE Tanja HERRMANN
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France’s strategic engagement in the Indo-Pacific makes a difference: Here is why

Date de publication
09 April 2021
Accroche

Let’s face it: while there are growing expectations for a French and European enhanced engagement in the Indo-Pacific, when Europeans step up their commitment, or express their willingness to do so, they are often met with disdain, on the ground that they would not make a big difference in front of China. Is that really so?

France: the leading European power in the Indo-Pacific

Date de publication
16 September 2021
Accroche

In May 2018, French President Emmanuel Macron delivered a speech at the Garden Island Naval Base in Sydney, Australia, where he outlined a French strategy for the Indo-Pacific. With this speech, France formally positioned itself as an ‘Indo-Pacific power’ and became the first European country to adopt the concept as a regional framework. France’s approach to the region reflects unique sensitivities. It has also been the driving force for broader European engagement with the Indo-Pacific.

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AUKUS, the Indo-Pacific, and France’s Role: Fluctuat Nec Mergitur

Date de publication
22 September 2021
Accroche

The announcement of the new AUKUS alliance between Australia, the UK and the U.S. came as a shock for France.

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The Direction of France’s Foreign Policy over the Next Thirty Years

Date de publication
10 December 2021
Accroche

A foreign policy points to a united society that manages its relationships with its surroundings while defending its own interests. 

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Preparing for 2050: From “Foresight” to “Grand Strategy”

Date de publication
10 December 2021
Accroche

China and the United States both have a “grand strategy”: Beijing aspires to be the world’s leading power in 2049, while Washington plans to remain primus inter pares.

Martin BRIENS Thomas GOMART

Foreign Policy: France at a Turning Point?

Date de publication
10 December 2021
Accroche

An exceptional issue of Politique étrangère

Confronted with a world in which the fundamentals are being redefined, France’s foreign policy is under scrutiny. In which geographies should France assert its presence? To which major challenges should France be responding in order to survive in tomorrow’s world? What kind of relationship to that world should France be establishing, as thirty years of Western intervention have ended in catastrophic failure in Afghanistan?

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Le cloud défense : défi opérationnel, impératif stratégique et enjeu de souveraineté

Date de publication
24 November 2021
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Cloud computing – or data management – is considered as one of the pillars of the digital transformation of the French Ministry of the Armed Forces. 

Clotilde BÔMONT
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The French Military's Perception of the Turkish Military and Turkey's Expansion in the Eastern Mediterranean

Date de publication
18 November 2021
Accroche

In the summer of 2020, the Central and Eastern Mediterranean became the center of unusual tensions between France and Turkey. Given that these tensions were also military, which is uncommon for the two countries, the perception that the French military has of Turkey’s army and its doctrine is particularly relevant to address.

Aris MARGHELIS

New Africa France Summit : the Concealed Continuation of Emmanuel Macron's Africa Policy

Date de publication
27 October 2021
Accroche

A “New Africa-France Summit” was held on October, 8 at Arena Sud de France in Montpellier.

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