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Asia and Indo-Pacific

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Asia and the Indo-Pacific are often presented as the heart of international relations in the 21st century.

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Date de publication
December 2025

Caught between China and the US: Southeast Asia’s Strategic Fence-Sitting / Politique étrangère, Vol. 90, No. 4, 2025

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Image
Illustration Boisseau du Rocher et Nicolas PE4-2025
Nom
pe_4-2025_article_nicolas_boisseaudurocher.jpg
Accroche

The secret of success for many Southeast Asian countries has been their choice of economic and diplomatic multilateralism. Fence-sitting between rival powers is becoming fraught. China inspires a degree of fear in the region, due to its clout and geographical proximity. And under Trump, the United States is on the offensive against the multilateral trade system, with major diplomatic consequences. Can Southeast Asian countries maintain their balance by embracing new partnerships?

Decoration
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Has ASEAN become Marginalized within Regional Security Architecture? / Politique étrangère, Vol. 90, No. 4, 2025

Date de publication
02 December 2025
Accroche

South Asian leaders continue to reiterate how “central” ASEAN is to the region’s security architecture. However, in practice, the tendency is to prioritize bilateral agreements, gradually marginalizing the organization. This fragmentation is weakening regional cooperation, accentuating divisions, and compromising stability in the context of growing tensions in the Indo-Pacific. These trends are worrying at a time when Sino-American rivalries are becoming more acute.

Image principale

Caught between China and the US: Southeast Asia’s Strategic Fence-Sitting / Politique étrangère, Vol. 90, No. 4, 2025

Date de publication
02 December 2025
Accroche

The secret of success for many Southeast Asian countries has been their choice of economic and diplomatic multilateralism. Fence-sitting between rival powers is becoming fraught. China inspires a degree of fear in the region, due to its clout and geographical proximity. And under Trump, the United States is on the offensive against the multilateral trade system, with major diplomatic consequences. Can Southeast Asian countries maintain their balance by embracing new partnerships?

Image de couverture de la publication
Couverture de Politique étrangère 4-2025

The Gulf Search for Power(s) / Politique étrangère, Vol. 90, No. 4, 2025

Date de publication
02 December 2025
Accroche

Persian Gulf countries have become heavyweights in the international arena, wielding influence both regionally and far beyond. Acting as diplomatic mediators, investors, and hosts of global events, they are attempting to move beyond their long-standing role as suppliers of energy resources and reshape their economic, social, and political foundations through ambitious national “Visions”. Their international alliances are proving increasingly flexible, broadening their diplomatic reach (even if Washington’s influence remains decisive)—with Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the United Arab Emirates all part of a dynamic pushing many global actors toward multi-alignment.

Image de couverture de la publication
Page de couverture - Opening Up the G7 - M. JULIENNE

Opening up the G7 to South Korea to Address Contemporary Global Challenges

Date de publication
19 November 2025
Accroche

The G7’s global influence has diminished as powers like China reshape international governance through initiatives such as BRICS and the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO). With the G7 now representing just 10 per cent of the world’s population and 28 per cent of global GDP, its relevance is increasingly questioned.

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Expanding SPDMM as a pivotal institution in the Pacific – A French perspective

Date de publication
17 October 2025
Accroche

The South Pacific Defence Ministers’ Meeting (SPDMM) is the only forum that brings together defense ministers from the wider South Pacific — including Chile, which is hosting it for the first time. This heterogeneous group of countries with varying resources, capacities, and interests — Australia, Chile, Fiji, France, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea (PNG), and Tonga — are united by their shared determination to strengthen cooperation on maritime security and humanitarian assistance and disaster relief (HADR) activities.

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EU’s Derisking From China: A Daunting Task

Date de publication
09 October 2025
Accroche

With economic security as a major concern, the EU has recently turned to “derisking” from China. The EU strategy entails reducing critical dependencies and vulnerabilities, including in EU supply chains, and diversifying where necessary, while recognizing the importance and need to maintain open channels of communication.

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Sri Lanka’s NPP Government. From System Change to Structural Compliance

Date de publication
24 September 2025
Accroche

In September 2024, a relative outsider to Sri Lanka’s two-party-dominated political system, Anura Kumara Dissanayake, won the presidential elections. The anti-establishment, populist movement he represented, the National People’s Power (NPP), went on to receive an overwhelming mandate in the November 2024 general elections, winning 159 seats in a 225-member parliament.

Harindra B. DASSANAYAKE Rajni GAMAGE
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Japan Under Trump: Alliance Strains, the Push for Autonomy and Essential Partnerships

Date de publication
19 September 2025
Accroche

Japan is under pressure from the United States (US) on punitive tariffs and demands for increased defence spending. This has sparked deep concern over US credibility and triggered growing domestic calls for greater autonomy.

Image principale

Trump II and Asia: The Wind is Picking Up…

Date de publication
09 September 2025
Accroche

The Indo-Pacific is a priority for the second Trump administration, which sees China as the United States' principal rival. However, Donald Trump began his second term in a rather disconcerting fashion by taking a harder line with Washington's traditional partners. He then provoked hostilities with Beijing, sparking a trade war even more intense than during his first term. The Chinese authorities have no intention of taking it lying down.

Image principale

Indonesia and the Palestinian Cause

Date de publication
25 July 2025
Accroche

During his inaugural presidential speech on October 20, 2024, Indonesia’s incumbent president, Prabowo Subianto, iterated certain principles central to the philosophical foundation of the Indonesian nation. He noted Indonesia’s longstanding foreign policy of non-alignment or “bebas dan aktif” (free and active) and its aversion to military pacts.

Daniel PETERSON
Image principale

Has ASEAN become Marginalized within Regional Security Architecture? / Politique étrangère, Vol. 90, No. 4, 2025

Date de publication
02 December 2025
Accroche

South Asian leaders continue to reiterate how “central” ASEAN is to the region’s security architecture. However, in practice, the tendency is to prioritize bilateral agreements, gradually marginalizing the organization. This fragmentation is weakening regional cooperation, accentuating divisions, and compromising stability in the context of growing tensions in the Indo-Pacific. These trends are worrying at a time when Sino-American rivalries are becoming more acute.

Image de couverture de la publication
Couverture de Politique étrangère 4-2025

The Gulf Search for Power(s) / Politique étrangère, Vol. 90, No. 4, 2025

Date de publication
02 December 2025
Accroche

Persian Gulf countries have become heavyweights in the international arena, wielding influence both regionally and far beyond. Acting as diplomatic mediators, investors, and hosts of global events, they are attempting to move beyond their long-standing role as suppliers of energy resources and reshape their economic, social, and political foundations through ambitious national “Visions”. Their international alliances are proving increasingly flexible, broadening their diplomatic reach (even if Washington’s influence remains decisive)—with Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the United Arab Emirates all part of a dynamic pushing many global actors toward multi-alignment.

Image principale

Caught between China and the US: Southeast Asia’s Strategic Fence-Sitting / Politique étrangère, Vol. 90, No. 4, 2025

Date de publication
02 December 2025
Accroche

The secret of success for many Southeast Asian countries has been their choice of economic and diplomatic multilateralism. Fence-sitting between rival powers is becoming fraught. China inspires a degree of fear in the region, due to its clout and geographical proximity. And under Trump, the United States is on the offensive against the multilateral trade system, with major diplomatic consequences. Can Southeast Asian countries maintain their balance by embracing new partnerships?

Image de couverture de la publication
Page de couverture - Opening Up the G7 - M. JULIENNE

Opening up the G7 to South Korea to Address Contemporary Global Challenges

Date de publication
19 November 2025
Accroche

The G7’s global influence has diminished as powers like China reshape international governance through initiatives such as BRICS and the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO). With the G7 now representing just 10 per cent of the world’s population and 28 per cent of global GDP, its relevance is increasingly questioned.

Image principale

Expanding SPDMM as a pivotal institution in the Pacific – A French perspective

Date de publication
17 October 2025
Accroche

The South Pacific Defence Ministers’ Meeting (SPDMM) is the only forum that brings together defense ministers from the wider South Pacific — including Chile, which is hosting it for the first time. This heterogeneous group of countries with varying resources, capacities, and interests — Australia, Chile, Fiji, France, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea (PNG), and Tonga — are united by their shared determination to strengthen cooperation on maritime security and humanitarian assistance and disaster relief (HADR) activities.

Image principale

EU’s Derisking From China: A Daunting Task

Date de publication
09 October 2025
Accroche

With economic security as a major concern, the EU has recently turned to “derisking” from China. The EU strategy entails reducing critical dependencies and vulnerabilities, including in EU supply chains, and diversifying where necessary, while recognizing the importance and need to maintain open channels of communication.

Image principale

Sri Lanka’s NPP Government. From System Change to Structural Compliance

Date de publication
24 September 2025
Accroche

In September 2024, a relative outsider to Sri Lanka’s two-party-dominated political system, Anura Kumara Dissanayake, won the presidential elections. The anti-establishment, populist movement he represented, the National People’s Power (NPP), went on to receive an overwhelming mandate in the November 2024 general elections, winning 159 seats in a 225-member parliament.

Harindra B. DASSANAYAKE Rajni GAMAGE
Image principale

Japan Under Trump: Alliance Strains, the Push for Autonomy and Essential Partnerships

Date de publication
19 September 2025
Accroche

Japan is under pressure from the United States (US) on punitive tariffs and demands for increased defence spending. This has sparked deep concern over US credibility and triggered growing domestic calls for greater autonomy.

Image principale

Trump II and Asia: The Wind is Picking Up…

Date de publication
09 September 2025
Accroche

The Indo-Pacific is a priority for the second Trump administration, which sees China as the United States' principal rival. However, Donald Trump began his second term in a rather disconcerting fashion by taking a harder line with Washington's traditional partners. He then provoked hostilities with Beijing, sparking a trade war even more intense than during his first term. The Chinese authorities have no intention of taking it lying down.

Image principale

Indonesia and the Palestinian Cause

Date de publication
25 July 2025
Accroche

During his inaugural presidential speech on October 20, 2024, Indonesia’s incumbent president, Prabowo Subianto, iterated certain principles central to the philosophical foundation of the Indonesian nation. He noted Indonesia’s longstanding foreign policy of non-alignment or “bebas dan aktif” (free and active) and its aversion to military pacts.

Daniel PETERSON
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the diplomat logo
France Refocuses Its Indo-Pacific Strategy Amid a Shifting Global Order
Image principale médiatique
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CNBC

U.S. tariffs take center stage but China and the EU are quietly clashing

11 July 2025
Nom du journal, revue ou émission
CNBC
Accroche

The U.S. tariff saga has stolen global spotlight from trade tensions between China and the European Union, which are now heating up.

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Anadolu Agency

Macron’s Southeast Asia trip: What is behind the French president’s ‘third way’ proposal?

16 June 2025
Nom du journal, revue ou émission
Anadolu Agency
Accroche

In a recent Southeast Asia tour, Macron pitched ‘strategic autonomy’ as a means for nations to avoid choosing sides in the US-China rivalry, offering France and Europe as alternative partners

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CNBC

Europe is trying to woo Southeast Asia — but it won’t win it over the U.S. or China

16 June 2025
Nom du journal, revue ou émission
CNBC
Accroche

European leaders are looking to Southeast Asia with renewed interest amid Washington’s aggressive tariff agenda, but experts warn that the state of regional trade ties makes it challenging to disrupt the U.S. or China’s hold.

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The Japan Times

The 'Macron Doctrine' goes to Asia: Autonomy with partners, steady on China

04 June 2025
Nom du journal, revue ou émission
The Japan Times
Accroche

The French president calls for a 'third way' in the Indo-Pacific

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The Japan Times

Macron calls for Europe and Asia to unite and resist ‘spheres of coercion’

30 May 2025
Nom du journal, revue ou émission
The Japan Times
Accroche

French President Emmanuel Macron used a keynote speech Friday at Asia’s top regional security conference to call on European and Indo-Pacific nations to pursue "strategic autonomy" — avoiding picking sides between China and the United States — and instead forge “coalitions of action” while standing up to “spheres of coercion.”

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Financial Times

Emmanuel Macron touts France as ‘reliable’ partner for south-east Asia

26 May 2025
Nom du journal, revue ou émission
Financial Times
Accroche

French President Emmanuel Macron has begun a six-day visit to Vietnam, Indonesia and Singapore in which he will tout France and Europe as trade and security partners of choice for a region buffeted by tensions between China and the US. 

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China File
Image principale médiatique

How Will the Trump Presidency Change EU-China Relations?

12 May 2025
Nom du journal, revue ou émission
China File
Accroche

Over the past few years, European countries have started to line up with the United States on China policy. But now, as Donald Trump destroys the trust European countries had in America, China is stepping up, promising stability and consistency.

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The Japan Times
Image principale médiatique

New rare earth plant shows strength of Japan-France cooperation

05 May 2025
Nom du journal, revue ou émission
The Japan Times
Accroche

France and Japan broke new ground in March in a shared quest to bolster resilience in critical mineral supply chains amid growing geopolitical uncertainty.

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Nikkei Asia
Image principale médiatique

China-EU ties reach half century: 4 things to know

05 May 2025
Nom du journal, revue ou émission
Nikkei Asia
Accroche

Will Trump 2.0 push the two combative sides to find common ground?

Replay - Navigating the Taiwan Strait Tensions: Perspectives from Japan, the Philippines, and France

18 November 2025
Nom du journal, revue ou émission
Ifri
Accroche

Conference Replay - As tensions continue to rise in the Taiwan Strait and discussions grow about hybrid frictions potentially escalating into a kinetic conflict in the coming years, neighboring countries are bracing for impact. Japan and the Philippines would be on the front lines if a crisis were to erupt in the Taiwan Strait.

Trump's Indo-Pacific Vision & Japan's Strategic Autonomy

23 June 2025
Nom du journal, revue ou émission
Ifri
Accroche

Satoru Mori, Senior Fellow at the Nakasone Peace Institute, explores key insights into President Trump's likely priorities for the Indo-Pacific region. His primary concerns include addressing economic trade imbalances with countries like China, Japan, and South Korea. Additionally, he aims to deter regional conflicts, particularly over Taiwan, and wishes to advance the denuclearization of North Korea.

Satoru MORI

(Replay) US-China-Taiwan Relations: What to expect in the Trump II Era?

11 March 2025
Nom du journal, revue ou émission
Ifri
Accroche

Replay of Ifri's Center for Asian Studies' conference "US-China-Taiwan Relations: What to expect in the Trump II era?", held at Ifri on Tuesday 11 March 2025.

Replay - The European Union in Competition with the United States and China. How to Balance Free Trade, Competitiveness and Economic Security?

03 December 2024
Accroche

Video replay from Ifri's conference, on December 3, 2024. As the geopolitical context has changed, so has the approach to international economic relations and the rules-based multilateral framework. Covid and Russia’s war against Ukraine have exposed the risks of extended supply chains and of having become dependent on a single supplier.

Taiwan's Security: Challenges Ahead and the Impact of a Trump Administration

14 November 2024
Accroche

An interview with I-chung Lai, President, Prospect Foundation, in which he explains how Taiwan's security environment has evolved and what to expect from the next Trump administration.

I-chung Lai

Trump’s Indo-Pacific and European Strategies: Change or Continuity?

14 November 2024
Accroche

An interview with Kelly Grieco, Senior Fellow at the Stimson Center, in which she explains what changes and continuities might the future Trump administration bring to U.S. alliances and Indo-Pacific strategy. 

Kelly GRIECO

Russia-North Korea Alliance: A New Threat to Global Security and Korean Stability?

14 November 2024
Accroche

An interview with Wooyeal PAIK, Professor, Department of Political Science and International Studies, Yonsei University. He analyses why North Korea's support for Russia could escalate global tensions, strain the EU-NATO security ties, and destabilize the Korean Peninsula.

Wooyeal PAIK

Are Marine Protected Areas a relevant tool for the Pacific?

21 June 2022
Accroche

Marine protected areas (MPAs) offer a solution for countries in the region to manage their maritime space. Access to scientific data is required to set MDA. 

The CPTPP and UK’s accession: What global implications?

27 January 2022
Accroche

The UK is the first State which formally applied to join the CPTPP. Its bid was accepted in early June 2021.

How Asia is transforming geopolitical situation and it is most affecting Taiwan today? Interview with Francis Yi-hua Kan

21 May 2015
Accroche

Francis Yi-hua Kan is an Associate Research Fellow at the Institute of International Relations, National Chengchi University.

 

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China Plays Up Image of Reliable Partner as Foreign Monarchs Visit "The visit gives China a chance not only to reaffirm its closeness with the (Thai) Kingdom, but also to signal its continued regional relevance at a time when U.S. influence is visibly receding. It comes just two weeks after Trump's brief stop at the ASEAN Summit, where his visit's only visible outcome was his role in overseeing the signing of the short-lived peace declaration between Thailand and Cambodia. By contrast, China announced the deepening of its free-trade agreement with ASEAN" - Juliette Loesch.

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France Refocuses Its Indo-Pacific Strategy Amid a Shifting Global Order
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Related centers and programs
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European Think-tank Network on China (ETNC)
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The European Think-tank Network on China (ETNC) is a gathering of China experts from a selection of European research institutes. It is devoted to the policy-oriented study of Chinese foreign policy and relations between China and European countries as well as China and the EU. It facilitates regular exchanges among participating researchers with a view to deepening the understanding within the European policy and research community and the broader public of how Europe, as a complex set of actors, relates with China and how China’s development and evolving global role is likely to impact the future of Europe. The network’s discussions and analyses take a decidedly ‘bottom-up’ approach, accounting for the various aspects of bilateral relations between European countries and China, and the points of convergence and divergence among EU member states in order to examine EU-China relations in a realistic and comprehensive way. The views presented in ETNC reports are the sole responsibility of the signed authors and do not in any way represent the views of all members of the ETNC, its participating institutions, nor the institutions with which the authors are affiliated.

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Asia Map
Center for Asian Studies
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Asia is a nerve center for multiple global economic, political and security challenges. The Center for Asian Studies provides documented expertise and a platform for discussion on Asian issues to accompany decision makers and explain and contextualize developments in the region for the sake of a larger public dialogue.

The Center's research is organized along two major axes: relations between Asia's major powers and the rest of the world; and internal economic and social dynamics of Asian countries. The Center's research focuses primarily on China, Japan, India, Taiwan and the Indo-Pacific, but also covers Southeast Asia, the Korean peninsula and the Pacific Islands. 

The Centre for Asian Studies maintains close institutional links with counterpart research institutes in Europe and Asia, and its researchers regularly carry out fieldwork in the region.

The Center organizes closed-door roundtables, expert-level seminars and a number of public events, including an Annual Conference, that welcome experts from Asia, Europe and the United States. The work of Center’s researchers, as well as that of their partners, is regularly published in the Center’s electronic journal Asie.Visions.

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