Search on Ifri.org

About Ifri

Frequent searches

Suggestions

Towards a New European Trade Strategy in Times of Geopolitical Upheaval: The German Perspective

Papers
|
Date de publication
|
Référence taxonomie collections
Notes du Cerfa
|
Références
Notes du Cerfa, No. 176, Ifri, October 2023
Image de couverture de la publication
ndc176_kober_couv.png
Accroche

As one of the most successful trading blocs, the EU sees itself confronted with the erosion of the global rules-based trading system and trade becoming increasingly weaponized.

Image principale
“Map of EU Trade Agreements”, European Commission, February 1st, 2023
“Map of EU Trade Agreements”, European Commission, February 1st, 2023
Wikipédia.org
Table of contents
Table of contents
body

The ongoing US-China decoupling and the Russian war in Ukraine recently reinforced the debate about European sovereignty and economic security with wide-ranging consequences for the EU’s economic model and its trade relations with third countries. Recalibrating the degree of the EU’s economic openness involves new approaches regarding multilateralism, bilateral trade agreements and autonomous trade instruments.

This paper looks at how Germany as an internationally highly interconnected country is directly impacted by all these developments and thus tries to both adapt its own position and help shape a new European trade strategy. This will be of high relevance for both the new European Commission and European Parliament after the upcoming European elections in 2024.

 

Klemens Kober is Director Trade Policy, EU Customs, Transatlantic Relations at the German Chamber of Commerce and Industry (DIHK) as well as EU-representative of the Association of the German Trade Fair Industry (AUMA). 

The views expressed in this paper are those of the author only.

 

>> >> See also the publication by Marie Krpata and Ana Helena Palermo: available in French and German (pdf):

FRENCH: "UE-Mercosur : un trilemme insoluble entre règles de la concurrence, ambitions normatives et diversification des approvisionnements".

GERMAN: "EU-Mercosur: Ein unlösbares Trilemma zwischen Wettbewerbsregeln, normativen Ambitionen und der Diversifizierung der Lieferketten".

Decoration

Available in:

Themes and regions

ISBN / ISSN

979-10-373-0760-6

Share

Download the full analysis

This page contains only a summary of our work. If you would like to have access to all the information from our research on the subject, you can download the full version in PDF format.

Towards a New European Trade Strategy in Times of Geopolitical Upheaval: The German Perspective

Decoration
Author(s)
Image principale
The Pariser Platz (Paris Square) on the east side of the Brandenburg Gate at Berlin, Germany
The Study Committee on Franco-German Relations (Cerfa)
Accroche centre

The Study Committee on Franco-German Relations (Cerfa) was created in 1954 by an inter-governmental agreement between the Federal Republic of Germany and France, in order to raise awareness of Germany in France and analyze Franco-German relations, including in their European and international dimensions. In its conferences and seminars, which bring together experts, political leaders, senior decision-makers and representatives of civil society from both countries, Cerfa develops the Franco-German debate and stimulates political proposals. It regularly publishes studies through two collections: Cerfa notes and studies as well as Franco-German visions.

Cerfa maintains close relations with the network of German foundations and think tanks. In addition to its research and debate activities, Cerfa promotes the emergence of a new Franco-German generation through original cooperation programs. This is how in 2021-2022, Cerfa led a program on multilateralism with the Konrad Adenauer Foundation in Paris. This program is aimed at young professionals from both countries interested in the issues of multilateralism in the context of their activities. It covered a wide range of themes relating to multilateralism, such as international trade, health, human rights and migration, non-proliferation and disarmament. Previously, Cerfa had participated in the Franco-German future dialogue, co-led with the DGAP from 2007 to 2020, and supported by the Robert Bosch Foundation and the Daniel Vernet group (formerly the Franco-German Reflection Group) which was founded in 2014 upon the initiative of the Genshagen Foundation.

Image principale

Franco-German Relations Through the Lens of Donald Trump’s Second Term: Between Strategic Realignments, European Sovereignty, and the Enduring Transatlantic Bond

Date de publication
07 October 2026
Accroche

Donald Trump’s return to the presidency of the United States in 2025 acts as a powerful catalyst for the Franco-German relationship. Faced with growing uncertainty over the reliability of US security guarantees, Germany, more directly affected by the questioning of the transatlantic relationship, is gradually moving closer to the French position in favor of strengthening European strategic sovereignty.

Image principale

MAGA and AfD: Toward a Transatlantic Alliance of Nationalist Right-Wing Parties

Date de publication
07 October 2026
Accroche

The rapprochement between Donald Trump’s MAGA movement and Germany’s AfD has accelerated significantly since Trump’s return to the White House.

Image principale

VW, Mercedes, and BMW in the Face of Donald Trump—A Tightrope Walk Between Investing in the U.S., Maintaining Operations in Europe, and Catching Up in Electric Mobility

Date de publication
07 October 2026
Accroche

The German automotive industry faces a threefold challenge: competition from China; a difficult transition to electric vehicles; and US tariffs.

Image principale

A Partnership Built on Security: Post-Brexit Rapprochement between Germany and the United Kingdom

Date de publication
12 October 2026
Accroche

Since the UK’s withdrawal from the EU, UK-German relations have undergone a remarkable transformation: from Berlin’s deliberate distancing from London during the Brexit negotiations, when Germany consistently prioritised EU-27 unity over bilateral arrangements, to a gradual rapprochement, culminating, for the time being, in the 2025 Kensington Treaty of Friendship.

Nicolai von ONDARZA
Page image credits
“Map of EU Trade Agreements”, European Commission, February 1st, 2023
Wikipédia.org

How can this study be cited?

Image de couverture de la publication
ndc176_kober_couv.png
Klemens KOBER, « Towards a New European Trade Strategy in Times of Geopolitical Upheaval: The German Perspective », Papers, Notes du Cerfa, Ifri, 6 October 2023.
Copy
Image de couverture de la publication
ndc176_kober_couv.png

Towards a New European Trade Strategy in Times of Geopolitical Upheaval: The German Perspective