Études de l'Ifri Focus Stratégique

Quel avenir pour le djihadisme ? Al-Qaïda et Daech après le califat Focus stratégique, No. 87, January 2019

Despite a relative weakening since 2017, the international jihadist movement should continue to pose a genuine threat over the next decade.


The Islamic state’s territorial grasp in Iraq and Syria has now receded under the assault of its various opponents. With the loss of its sanctuary, ISIS’ ability to plan and carry out terrorist attacks in Western countries has greatly diminished. Yet, the group is far from being defeated. More generally, the jihadist movement remains very active in the Levant and throughout the world. Since the 9/11 attacks, it has shown not only its resilience but also its capacity to regenerate and innovate. This report, which has a prospective aim, analyses the global and local trends that will shape jihadism in the years to come. It presents a general picture of the status of forces in the different fronts where the armed forces are operating and reviews their operating procedures.

This content is available in French: Quel avenir pour le djihadisme ? Al-Qaïda et Daech après le califat.

djihadisme Terrorisme Afghanistan Afrique Afrique de l'Ouest France Irak Maghreb Moyen-Orient Sahel Syrie