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The Hunt for Economic Security: The Role of Navies in Deterring Threats to the Maritime Economy

Memos
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Memos, economic security and navies, O. Schmitt and L. Tumchewics
Accroche

The maritime domain is currently faced with a wide variety of threats, such as climate change, economic warfare, shadow fleet operations, protection of critical infrastructures, and illicit activities ranging from illegal fishing to piracy. Navies suffer from inherent limitations when deterring threats to the global maritime economy: their global presence and permanence limits their credibility in terms of deterrence, their focus usually set on immediate deterrence, implementing deterrence by punishment in and from the naval domain is difficult and costly.

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Warship on the sea
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This publication is the winner of the Admiral Castex 2025 prize. Admiral Castex’s prize, named after a French naval officer best known for his work as a naval theorist and his contributions to maritime strategy, aims to promote original and unique research into naval strategy.

There are several factors that could help navies mitigate those constraints:

  • Increased reliance on multirole platforms for standard naval operations;
  • Better burden-sharing between actors, allies and partners, navies and the civilian sector;
  • Strategic integration of unmanned systems (UAVs, UUVs, USVs) to create mass.

The classic literature in naval and maritime strategy has long identified a strong relationship between the characteristics of naval forces and one of the main features of their political utility, namely protecting sea lines of communication in order to enable trade, and thus wealth. Alfred Thayer Mahan went so far as to argue that the core purpose of a navy is to enable maritime trade and economic growth. However, the modern maritime economy faces a range of threats that naval forces must confront: climate change, economic warfare, shadow fleet operations, the vulnerability of critical infrastructures, and illicit activities like piracy and illegal fishing.

In principle, the strategic practice of deterrence offers a cost-effective means to address these challenges. Yet, we argue that achieving deterrence against threats to the maritime economy is fraught with difficulties stemming from the very nature of naval power. Building on the conceptual literature on deterrence, we identify those challenges and explore how navies can effectively deter threats to the maritime economy. Ultimately, deterring threats to the maritime economy with naval platforms is difficult, but some steps can be taken to reduce the magnitude of the challenge.  

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The Hunt for Economic Security: The Role of Navies in Deterring Threats to the Maritime Economy

Decoration
Author(s)
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Security Studies Center
Accroche centre

Heir to a tradition dating back to the founding of Ifri, the Security Studies Center provides public and private decision-makers as well as the general public with the keys to understanding power relations and contemporary modes of conflict as well as those to come. Through its positioning at the juncture of politics and operations, the credibility of its civil-military team and the wide distribution of its publications in French and English, the Center for Security Studies constitutes in the French landscape of think tanks a unique center of research and influence on the national and international defense debate.

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French soldiers during an exercise in the forest
Defense Research Unit
Accroche centre

The Defense Research Unit is a program that aims at stimulating the strategic debate by dealing with subjects at the junction of the “technico-operational” and the “political-strategic”. A unique structure in France, it brings together civilian researchers and “military fellows” from each of the three armies to produce work on defense policies, the capability and strategic adaptation of armies, and foresight on tomorrow's conflicts.

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Fury from the Skies. A Strategic Analysis of Air Campaign against Iran

Date de publication
07 May 2026
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What is the outcome of Operations Roaring Lion (RL) and Epic Fury (EF), launched by Israel and the United States against the Islamic Republic of Iran on February 28, 2026?

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Finland: The Ally Who Came in from the Cold

Date de publication
10 April 2026
Accroche

Among all European countries, Finland is perhaps the one whose strategic culture and military model have changed the least since the end of the Cold War. Built after the end of the Second World War to deter a potential new Soviet invasion, this model enabled Finland to serve as an example of European rearmament.

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Stability under Pressure. A Pakistani View on Nuclear Deterrence after Pahalgam

Date de publication
24 June 2026
Accroche

The May 2025 India-Pakistan crisis after the Pahalgam attack has generated a familiar but incomplete debate: did nuclear deterrence work, or did it merely allow both sides to fight a limited war under the nuclear shadow? The better answer is that deterrence worked at the level at which it was designed to work. It prevented a general war and an uncontrolled vertical escalation, and kept nuclear weapons in the background. But it did not prevent India from attempting to carve out space for conventional action, nor did it prevent Pakistan from responding conventionally to restore deterrence credibility.

Rabia Akhtar
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Strategic Shift in NATO’s Support for Ukraine. A Study of NSATU and PURL Initiatives

Date de publication
04 June 2026
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This study analyzes a significant transformation in NATO’s practical support to Ukraine, marked by the establishment of the NATO Security Assistance and Training for Ukraine (NSATU) mission and the Prioritized Ukraine Requirements List (PURL) funding mechanism.

Iryna KRASNOSHTAN
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Memos, economic security and navies, O. Schmitt and L. Tumchewics
Warship on the sea
Wojciech Wrzesien/Shutterstock.com

How can this study be cited?

Image de couverture de la publication
Memos, economic security and navies, O. Schmitt and L. Tumchewics
Olivier SCHMITT, Louise TUMCHEWICS, « The Hunt for Economic Security: The Role of Navies in Deterring Threats to the Maritime Economy », Memos, Ifri, 10 June 2025.
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Image de couverture de la publication
Memos, economic security and navies, O. Schmitt and L. Tumchewics

The Hunt for Economic Security: The Role of Navies in Deterring Threats to the Maritime Economy