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The Hunt for Economic Security: The Role of Navies in Deterring Threats to the Maritime Economy

Memos
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Memos, economic security and navies, O. Schmitt and L. Tumchewics
Accroche

The maritime domain is currently faced with a wide variety of threats, such as climate change, economic warfare, shadow fleet operations, protection of critical infrastructures, and illicit activities ranging from illegal fishing to piracy. Navies suffer from inherent limitations when deterring threats to the global maritime economy: their global presence and permanence limits their credibility in terms of deterrence, their focus usually set on immediate deterrence, implementing deterrence by punishment in and from the naval domain is difficult and costly.

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Warship on the sea
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This publication is the winner of the Admiral Castex 2025 prize. Admiral Castex’s prize, named after a French naval officer best known for his work as a naval theorist and his contributions to maritime strategy, aims to promote original and unique research into naval strategy.

There are several factors that could help navies mitigate those constraints:

  • Increased reliance on multirole platforms for standard naval operations;
  • Better burden-sharing between actors, allies and partners, navies and the civilian sector;
  • Strategic integration of unmanned systems (UAVs, UUVs, USVs) to create mass.

The classic literature in naval and maritime strategy has long identified a strong relationship between the characteristics of naval forces and one of the main features of their political utility, namely protecting sea lines of communication in order to enable trade, and thus wealth. Alfred Thayer Mahan went so far as to argue that the core purpose of a navy is to enable maritime trade and economic growth. However, the modern maritime economy faces a range of threats that naval forces must confront: climate change, economic warfare, shadow fleet operations, the vulnerability of critical infrastructures, and illicit activities like piracy and illegal fishing.

In principle, the strategic practice of deterrence offers a cost-effective means to address these challenges. Yet, we argue that achieving deterrence against threats to the maritime economy is fraught with difficulties stemming from the very nature of naval power. Building on the conceptual literature on deterrence, we identify those challenges and explore how navies can effectively deter threats to the maritime economy. Ultimately, deterring threats to the maritime economy with naval platforms is difficult, but some steps can be taken to reduce the magnitude of the challenge.  

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The Hunt for Economic Security: The Role of Navies in Deterring Threats to the Maritime Economy

Decoration
Author(s)
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 A soldier watching a sunset on an armored infantry fighting vehicle
Security Studies Center
Accroche centre

Heir to a tradition dating back to the founding of Ifri, the Security Studies Center provides public and private decision-makers as well as the general public with the keys to understanding power relations and contemporary modes of conflict as well as those to come. Through its positioning at the juncture of politics and operations, the credibility of its civil-military team and the wide distribution of its publications in French and English, the Center for Security Studies constitutes in the French landscape of think tanks a unique center of research and influence on the national and international defense debate.

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French soldiers during an exercise in the forest
Defense Research Unit
Accroche centre

The Defense Research Unit is a program that aims at stimulating the strategic debate by dealing with subjects at the junction of the “technico-operational” and the “political-strategic”. A unique structure in France, it brings together civilian researchers and “military fellows” from each of the three armies to produce work on defense policies, the capability and strategic adaptation of armies, and foresight on tomorrow's conflicts.

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Accroche

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Johanna MÖHRING
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Since February 2022, Russian and Ukrainian forces combined have lost more than 5,000 battle tanks, a much higher volume than all the European armor combined. Spearhead of the Soviet doctrine from which the two belligerents came, tanks were deployed in large numbers from the first day and proved to be a prime target for UAVs that became more numerous and efficient over the months. The large number of UAV strike videos against tanks has also led a certain number of observers to conclude, once again, that armor is obsolete on a modern battlefield. This approach must, however, be nuanced by a deeper study of the losses and their origin, UAVs rarely being the sole origin of the loss itself, often caused by a combination of factors such as mines, artillery or other anti-tank weapons.

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Mapping the MilTech War: Eight Lessons from Ukraine’s Battlefield

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Élie TENENBAUM Bohdan KOSTIUK Daryna-Maryna PATIUK Anastasya SHAPOCHKINA
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Memos, economic security and navies, O. Schmitt and L. Tumchewics
Warship on the sea
Wojciech Wrzesien/Shutterstock.com

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Memos, economic security and navies, O. Schmitt and L. Tumchewics
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Memos, economic security and navies, O. Schmitt and L. Tumchewics

The Hunt for Economic Security: The Role of Navies in Deterring Threats to the Maritime Economy