Pavel BAEV

Associate Research Fellow, Russia / Eurasia Center

Research Interests:

  • Energy policy towards Europe and Russia’s place in the European security system
  • Russia-EU dialogue and Russia-NATO Relations
  • Energy geopolitics and Russia’s interests in the Caspian Sea; Russian policy in the Arctic
  • Russian defense posture and military reform
  • Conflict management in the Caucasus and the Caspian Sea area



Pavel Baev is a Research Professor at the Peace Research Institute, Oslo (PRIO). He is also a Senior Non-Resident Fellow at the Brookings Institution, Washington DC, and an Associate Research Fellow at Ifri, Paris. After graduating from Moscow State University (MA in Political Geography, 1979), he worked in a research institute in the USSR Ministry of Defense; received a PhD in International Relations from the Institute for US and Canadian Studies, USSR Academy of Sciences, and then worked in the Institute of Europe, Moscow.

He joined PRIO in October 1992. He was the editor of PRIO’s quarterly journal Security Dialogue from 1995 to 2001, and a member of PRIO’s board from 1998 to 2004. He is a member of the PONARS Eurasia network of scholars, based in George Washington University. His professional interests include the energy and security dimensions of Russian-European relations, Russia-China relations, Russia’s policy in the Arctic, the transformation of the Russian military, and post-Soviet conflict management in the Caucasus and Greater Caspian area. He writes a weekly column for the Jamestown Foundation’s Eurasia Daily Monitor. 


All my publications

The extraordinarily troublesome year 2020 tested many international institutions and bilateral ties, but few experienced sharper challenges than the complex relations between Russia and Turkey, which have a strong impact on crisis developments in Europe’s immediate neighborhood.


A full-blown war erupted in the South Caucasus last Sunday, September 27, and as the two belligerents — Armenia and Azerbaijan — mobilize their forces under martial law, no international authority is trying in earnest to stop the hostilities. The conflict over the disputed Nagorno-Karabakh...


The struggle against terrorism is supposed to be one part of security policy in which Russia has every necessary capability and know-how, and its special services can draw on vast experience without encountering the legal and institutional constraints that often interfere with Western efforts....


Since the start of the Ukraine crisis in early 2014, the states of East Central Europe have become increasingly important targets of Russian economic, political and military pressure. Russia finds itself in the trajectory of geopolitical retreat on the Western “front”, and seeks to slow...

All my medias