03/05/2023
The year 2023, already marked by a deadly double earthquake in the south-east of the country in February, is the year of the centenary of the Republic, but above all an election year for Turkey.
Türkiye
Türkiye today evolves very fast, due to the joint influence of external factors and internal dynamics that are sometimes difficult to grasp.
The beginning of negotiations to adhere to the European Union allowed the Turkish government to pursue a series of political reforms in order to conform to the criteria demanded by Copenhagen. After many years of severe structural adjustment the Turkish economy benefits from outstanding growth rates that confirm its status as a promising emerging market. Turkish civil society also seems to acquire and strengthen an autonomous voice in the debates to come.
However, there are many uncertainties that are here to stay. As this process of change is still unfinished, the permanent state of political crisis comes at the expense of economic stability. Institutional models and political culture are undergoing a phase of mutations whose outcomes are difficult to predict. Experiencing a rural exodus and new forms of social mobility, the Turkish population is aware of the important consequences these profound changes have on the social contract and national consensus. On a diplomatic level, Türkiye is oscillating between the ardent European demands, exercises of power that may lead to a loss in sovereignty, and the other tempting alliances that could strengthen its status as a regional power that cannot be ignored.
Far from simplifying the Turkish mosaic, the intensification of its relations with the European Union seems to complicate it: new subject positions emerge that emphasize the need to create new tools of understanding. We must look at contemporary Turkish reality with a new eye in order to spot these new actors, factors of mobilization and lines of cleavage that weigh on Türkiye’s choices.
Dorothée SCHMID
Senior Research Fellow, Head of Ifri’s Türkiye and...
Amr ABDELRAHIM
Research Fellow, Türkiye and Middle East Program
...
Adel BAKAWAN
Associate Research Fellow, Türkiye and Middle East...
Galip DALAY
Associate Research Fellow, Türkiye and Middle East Program
...
Elisa DOMINGUES DOS SANTOS
Associate Research Fellow, Sub-Saharan Africa Center and Turkey/Middle East Program
...
Putting forward high quality information on the shifts and changes taking place in contemporary Türkiye
...
26/04/2023
The upcoming presidential and parliamentary elections in Turkey on May 14, 2023, are expected to be closely contested. Polls suggest that the ruling AK Party-led People’s Alliance will lose its majority in parliament, resulting in a hung lower house.
03/05/2022
After the Arab uprisings, Turkey’s relations with Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) broke down along sharp ideological lines. While Riyadh and Abu Dhabi sought to preserve the regional status quo by adopting a counter-revolutionary approach, Turkey emerged as an anti status quo,...
18/11/2021
In the summer of 2020, the Central and Eastern Mediterranean became the center of unusual tensions between France and Turkey. Given that these tensions were also military, which is uncommon for the two countries, the perception that the French military has of Turkey’s army and its doctrine is...
22/10/2021
Since coming into office in 2017, Emmanuel Macron has been the loudest advocate for the development of European ‘strategic autonomy’, which aims at reinforcing the European Union’s geo-strategic independence. Asserting the EU’s role on the international stage, starting with its immediate...
03/09/2021
Over the past years, the Eastern Mediterranean has become centerstage of an increasingly internationalized and militarized conflict driven by different albeit interlinked issues and an arena for a growing variety of actors to project their geopolitical ambitions.
21/07/2021
On July 20, 2021, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan celebrated with his Turkish Cypriot counterpart Ersin Tatar the 47th anniversary of the Turkish military intervention in Northern Cyprus. This ceremony marks the strategic reinvestment of the Cypriot file by Turkey.
15/07/2021
When it came to power in 2002, the Justice and Development Party (AKP) defended a bicommunal, federal solution for Cyprus, and supported the Annan Plan to reunite the island.
06/05/2021
The Franco-Turkish standoff is first and foremost a geopolitical contest for influence in the EastMed area. It must be understood in light of Turkey’s rise as an emergent power in quest for geostrategic autonomy and France’s unease with Ankara’s growing assertiveness in a region that Paris...
29/04/2021
Turkey’s activism in the Eastern Mediterranean now appears to be guided by an ambitious legal and geopolitical doctrine, based on the claim of a vast maritime domain – the “Blue Homeland” or Mavi Vatan in Turkish.
13
Jan
2022
at 09:00
- Videoconferences
The France-Greece Relationship : A New Strategic Partnership ?
Since 2014, the number of maritime incidents between Turkey and its Greek and Cypriot neighbors has steadily increased. In 2020, at the height of the crisis, Greece obtained the unconditional support of French President Emmanuel Macron, who sought to portray himself as the defender of European...
25
Oct
2021
from Monday 25 October 2021 14:00 to Tuesday 26 October 2021 12:30
- Seminars and Round-table Conferences
QUAD 2021 Annual Meeting
Since 1983, the QUAD gathers every year, the SWP, RAND Corporation, Chatham House and Ifri. The QUAD was set up during the Euromissile crisis and brings together European and American diplomats, military officers, journalists and research fellow to debate on current geopolitical issues.<...>
08
Oct
2020
from 09:00 to 10:00
- Videoconferences
Eastern Mediterranean: Preventing Escalation Les Jeudis de l'Ifri
25
Mar
2020
from 14:30 to 15:30
- Videoconferences
What is Turkey seeking in the Middle-East? Videoconférence
A videoconference around Dorothée Schmid, head of Ifri’s Turkey / Middle-East Pogram.
06
Nov
2019
from Wednesday 6 November 2019 09:00 to Thursday 7 November 2019 14:00
- External Events
Re-thinking Turkish foreign policy in the Western Balkans
In the first of our foreign policy meeting series “Ruptures in the Neighborhood: The Impact of Turkish Foreign Policy in its Neighboring Countries and Beyond,” we will focus on the Turkish foreign policy (TFP) in the Balkans. In line with the overall goal of the series, we will aim to get an...
04
Dec
2018
from 09:00 to 11:00
- Seminars and Round-table Conferences
Turkey advancing in the Middle East Seminar and Round-table Conference
The Syrian imbroglio has arguably proved to be the most consequential foreign policy topics for Turkey in decades, structurally impacting Ankara's vision and priorities as well as its regional engagement.
23
Nov
2017
from 10:00 to 12:00
- Seminars and Round-table Conferences
Turkey and the Middle East: A New (Dis)Order in the Middle East: Stakes for Europe and Turkey Séminaire & Table ronde
Since the collapse of the Ottoman Empire in the aftermath of the World War I, efforts by both regional or international powers to build a sustainable regional order in the Middle East have failed. While some debate on the best conceivable order for the region, others argue that we should...
17
Mar
2017
from 13:00 to 18:00
- Seminars and Round-table Conferences
Iran : The Revolution's Legacy, Understanding the Current Political, Economic and Cultural Dynamics of Iran Séminar & Roundtable co-organized with Lettres Persannes under the Sponsorship of Senator Joël Guerriau
Since the nuclear agreement was reached in July 2015, Iran has returned to the forefront of international relations. However, the complexity of Iranian society remains hardly understandable for Western observers. At a time when both Iran and the world are opening to each other, in order to...
08
Jun
2016
from 17:30 to 19:30
- Seminars and Round-table Conferences
Turkey-Europe : real recovery or fake bargaining ?
Being both the country of refuge and of transit, Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s Turkey plays a key-role in the Syrian refugee crisis. The agreement between Brussels and Ankara to manage the flow of migrants, signed with German approval, caused much debate. It also pushed the question of Turkey’s...
27
Nov
2015
from 09:00 to 10:00
- Seminars and Round-table Conferences
Is Turkey a reliable partner for Europe?
Registrations are now closed for this event.
...
22/06/2022
The leaders of Saudi Arabia and Turkey are turning the page on years of strained relations, exacerbated by the 2018 assassination of Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi at the kingdom's consulate in Istanbul. Face-to-face dialogue is the order of the day between Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman...
25/02/2021
The EU and Turkey both say they are ready to iron out their differences and step up bilateral cooperation, which could take place in many areas. But Ankara will have to prove its goodwill.
19/07/2020
Competing claims have left Ankara isolated. Its efforts to stall projects threaten billions of dollars in investment. Europe’s top diplomat smiled for the camera as he took a helicopter flight over the disputed waters of the island of Cyprus at the end of June.
15/05/2018
Turkey has decided to suspend the opening of several French studies departments in its universities, in a context of bilateral tensions after the publication of a "manifesto against new anti-Semitism" last month, calling for the correction of some parts of the Quran. Dorothée Schmid, head of...
14/12/2016
Turkey is looking to revive a fragile ceasefire in Aleppo, and the planned evacuation of civilians, which brokered with Russia. But why is Ankara, a staunch opponent of Damascus, interested in helping to create an outcome that would benefit President Assad? Amanda Morrow put the question to...
09/06/2015
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s AKP suffered a stunning defeat in the latest parliamentary poll with the party losing its absolute majority for the first time in 13 years. The question now is whether it can hold on to power.
...
31/10/2014
A l’occasion de sa visite de travail en France, l'Ifri a accueillie le 31 octobre à l’Automobile Club de France, le Président de la République de Turquie, Recep Tayyip Erdogan.
...