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Claiming "The People": Youth Booms, Ailing Authoritarians and "Populist" Politics in Kenya, Uganda, and Tanzania

Date de publication
31 October 2025
Accroche

This study analyses the emergence of so-called “populist” political tendencies in three East African countries: Kenya, Uganda and Tanzania. It builds its analysis on a wider discussion of the term “populism”, its use and applicability in (eastern) African settings before going on to examine the drivers of three cases of populism: William Ruto’s 2022 election victory in Kenya and the “Hustler Nation”; Bobi Wine’s opposition to Yoweri Museveni in Uganda; and John Magufuli highly personal style of government in Tanzania.

Peter LOCKWOOD

Populism and International Relations

Date de publication
07 June 2024
Accroche

Populism is flourishing, in Europe and elsewhere: a populist holds power today in Argentina and perhaps tomorrow in the United States. What does its spread say about our societies? And how is it shaping them, where populists rule? Do their economic policies stand any chance of success? Do their foreign policies have a greater impact on the world around them or at home? If “Trump 2.0” comes to be, will he have a free hand? If so, what can we expect?

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What Is a Populist Foreign Policy?

Date de publication
07 June 2024
Accroche

It is difficult to identify a shared set of norms implemented by populist governments of all different political positions once in power. 

Sandra DESTRADI
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Kenya’s 2022 Election. Ruto’s Win and Intra-Elite Struggles

Date de publication
01 December 2023
Accroche

This paper aims to highlight how and why William Ruto won the 2022 presidential elections against Raila Odinga by focusing on his political strategy before, during and after the campaign. 

Chloé JOSSE-DURAND

War in Ukraine: A New World?

Date de publication
13 September 2022
Accroche

Beyond the tactical sphere, the conflict in Ukraine has already had numerous repercussions, and its conclusion will provoke many more in the global system. In this special issue, Politique étrangère explores some potential outcomes.

Climate: Which Way Forward?

Date de publication
17 March 2022
Accroche

Thirty years after Rio, the case file “Climate: Which way forward?” assesses current climate commitments, which are undoubtedly less impressive and less certain than the political pronouncements and media fanfare make them seem. A number of fundamental problems remain. 

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“Trumpism” in Foreign Policy: Vision and Practice

Date de publication
08 June 2020
Accroche

In 2016, Donald Trump ran as the candidate for change, and, once elected, he set about deconstructing the legacy of his predecessors.

Martin QUENCEZ
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A Pandemic Response for Peace and Freedom

06 April 2020
Accroche

“Populism is the great beneficiary of inefficiency. Without a virtuous response … authoritarian regimes will have free rein to thrive and rebuild walls — or wage war.”

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RAMSES 2020. A World without a Compass?

Date de publication
27 August 2019
Accroche

RAMSES 2020. A World without a Compass?, written by Ifri's research team and external experts, offers an in-depth and up-to-date analysis of geopolitics in today’s world.

Alternative für Deutschland: right-wing populism or extreme right?

19 April 2017
Accroche

An interview with Fabian Virchow, professor at the University of Applied Sciences in Düsseldorf and head of the extreme right Program at Hans-Böckler Foundation. M. Virchow came to Paris in April to speak at a conference on the German parti AfD -Alternative for Germany- organised by the Study Committee on French German relations.

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Populism: In the Heat of the Moment

15 April 2017
Accroche

The UK leaving the EU. Donald Trump's victory in the US presidential election. The crushing defeat of Italy's prime minister in a national referendum. 2016 was a year of massive change led by populism. The roots of this trend are widespread, and they involve the ideological divide between the elites of current political systems and ordinary citizens, as well as the widening gaps in social inequality that can be attributed to growing globalization.

Democratic Deconstructions

Date de publication
10 March 2017
Accroche

Today’s democratic governments appear less legitimate and their longevity less assured than ever.

Trump and the Crisis of American Democracy

Date de publication
10 March 2017
Accroche

Trump’s victory in the 2016 presidential election is an expression of the crisis of American democracy.

AfD and National Front converge ahead of elections

03 March 2017
Accroche

The right-wing spiral of Germany’s anti-EU Alternative für Deutschland party (AfD) has brought it shoulder to shoulder with France’s National Front (NF). The two parties see eye-to-eye on a number of issues, including Russia. 

Hans STARK Fabian VIRCHOW
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Berlin attack : Merkels Germany is facing populism

13 January 2017
Accroche

The leaders of the extreme right-wing AfD party, Alternative for Germany, intend to take advantage of the attack on the Christmas market in Berlin to challenge the German Chancellors welcoming policy : 1 million refugees arrived between 2015 and 2016, they argue that in welcoming them, she imported violence.

Will Germany be ungovernable after the elections in 2017?

03 October 2016
Accroche

One year before the general elections and even if Angela Merkel remains a favourite, the political scene in Germany seems more fragmented than ever.

Germany: populists weaken Angela Merkel

01 October 2016
Accroche

The party Alternative für Deutschland founded only three years ago against the Euro unites Germans against Berlin's open-door policy. And on the eve of new elections, more and more of those that normally don't vote are joining them.

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"Angela Merkel betrayed German traditional values according to some conservatives"

28 September 2016
Accroche

Will Angela Merkel still be chancellor in a years' time? Hans Stark gives an overview over the German political landscape. According to him, the rise of the right wing populists and eurosceptics will continue, but won’t hinder the forming of a government coalition.

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Trump et l'électorat populaire blanc

Date de publication
26 September 2016
Accroche

Donald Trump won the 2016 Republican primaries thanks to the mobilization of a specific part of the electorate: the white, non-college-educated, lower middle-class.

Corentin SELLIN
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Is Germany becoming just like the other European countries?

26 September 2016
Accroche

After the recent electoral setbacks for Angela Merkel which saw the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) enter yet another two regional parliaments (Berlin and Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania), is there a possiblity for Germany to become just like the other European countries?

 

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Claiming "The People": Youth Booms, Ailing Authoritarians and "Populist" Politics in Kenya, Uganda, and Tanzania

Date de publication
31 October 2025
Accroche

This study analyses the emergence of so-called “populist” political tendencies in three East African countries: Kenya, Uganda and Tanzania. It builds its analysis on a wider discussion of the term “populism”, its use and applicability in (eastern) African settings before going on to examine the drivers of three cases of populism: William Ruto’s 2022 election victory in Kenya and the “Hustler Nation”; Bobi Wine’s opposition to Yoweri Museveni in Uganda; and John Magufuli highly personal style of government in Tanzania.

Peter LOCKWOOD
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policy_magazine_logo.jpg
Image principale médiatique

A Pandemic Response for Peace and Freedom

06 April 2020
Accroche

“Populism is the great beneficiary of inefficiency. Without a virtuous response … authoritarian regimes will have free rein to thrive and rebuild walls — or wage war.”

Alternative für Deutschland: right-wing populism or extreme right?

19 April 2017
Accroche

An interview with Fabian Virchow, professor at the University of Applied Sciences in Düsseldorf and head of the extreme right Program at Hans-Böckler Foundation. M. Virchow came to Paris in April to speak at a conference on the German parti AfD -Alternative for Germany- organised by the Study Committee on French German relations.

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Ifri, a foundation recognized as being of public utility, relies largely on private donors – companies and individuals – to guarantee its sustainability and intellectual independence. Through their funding, donors help maintain the Institute's position among the world's leading think tanks. By benefiting from an internationally recognized network and expertise, donors refine their understanding of geopolitical risk and its consequences on global politics and the economy. In 2026, Ifri partners with over 90 French and international companies and organizations.

Presentation of Ramses 2026, Ifri, Paris