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Nothing is going as predicted in the US campaign: the favorites of six months ago are struggling while radical candidates are making the front page. On the right Jeb Bush polls third behind Donald Trump; on the left, Clinton is losing ground to Bernie Sanders. What does this say about the state of US politics? What could happen in coming months?
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Laurence Nardon, Head of Ifri's United States and Canada studies
Follow #IfriUS2016 on Twitter.
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Comment votent les Américaines ?
Are women going to vote massively for Hillary Clinton in 2016, the same way African-Americans voted for Barack Obama in 2008 and 2012? This paper examines the different aspects of the gender gap in the US, social debates around women's issues and the way the Democratic candidate may approach the different segments of the American electorate.
Hillary Clinton et les radicaux du Parti démocrate
Hillary Clinton should announce very soon that she is running for president in 2016. On the Republican side, candidates' abundance promises a long and wild primary campaign. On the Democratic side, Clinton should not face any serious rivalry. The Democrats' (most to the left) champion, the senator of Massachussetts, Elizabeth Warren, repeated many times that she would not run for primaries. Clinton nevertheless has to take into account a radicals' fringe susceptible to play up her in her own party. What is their capacity of nuisance on the American political scene?
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