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Crisis in the Strait of Hormuz. A Stress Test for Taiwan with Global Implications

Memos
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Date de publication
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Briefing cover
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The large-scale military operation carried out by the United States (US) and Israel against Iran triggered an Iranian retaliation that resulted in the partial destruction of natural gas liquefaction infrastructure and severe disruption of maritime traffic in the Strait of Hormuz. The economies of East Asia—South Korea, Japan, and Taiwan in particular—are highly exposed to this crisis due to their reliance on liquefied natural gas (LNG) imports for electricity generation.

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High voltage towers in Taipei.
High voltage towers in Taipei.
f11photo/shutterstock
Table of contents
Table of contents

Titre
Key Takeaways

1
The crisis in the Strait of Hormuz highlights Taiwan’s structural overexposure to the Middle East
Texte courant

The Middle East hydrocarbons accounted for 16% of Taiwan’s electricity generation in 2025 and more than 80% of the helium required for semiconductor manufacturing is imported from the region.

2
In the short term, Taiwan’s vulnerability is primarily economic.
Texte courant

Supply has been maintained through the redirection of cargoes initially destined for other clients, but at the cost of significant additional expenses borne by public energy companies.

3
The crisis is likely to accelerate broader reorientations of Taiwan’s energy system
Texte courant

It includes a reduction in dependence on the Middle East in favor of US LNG, a revival of nuclear power, and the temporary use of coal to stabilize prices. Renewable energy sources, for their part, are not currently benefiting from the same momentum.

4
Taiwan’s semiconductor industry is also threatened due to its reliance on Qatari helium.
Texte courant

Greater awareness of this vulnerability is likely to further justify extending the concept of energy security to industrial security in Taiwan.

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In Taiwan, an archipelago of 24 million people claimed by China, this crisis is significant for two reasons. First, it comes at a time when Taiwan’s electricity system is undergoing a transformation aimed at simultaneously meeting high electricity demand, greenhouse gas emission reduction targets, and a quest for resilience in the face of hybrid pressures exerted by China. Second, the archipelago is the world leader in so-called “logic” semiconductors, which form the basis of artificial intelligence (AI) applications: any disruption to their production—which is highly intensive in electricity and helium, a byproduct of certain gas fields—is likely to have global repercussions.

In this context, the crisis in the Middle East serves as a real-world test of Taiwan’s industrial and energy resilience.

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Crisis in the Strait of Hormuz. A Stress Test for Taiwan with Global Implications

Decoration
Author(s)
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Adrien Simorre, Chercheur associé au Centre Asie de l'Ifri

Adrien Simorre

Intitulé du poste

Associate Research Fellow, Center for Asian Studies, Ifri

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Asia Map
Center for Asian Studies
Accroche centre

Asia is a nerve center for multiple global economic, political and security challenges. The Center for Asian Studies provides documented expertise and a platform for discussion on Asian issues to accompany decision makers and explain and contextualize developments in the region for the sake of a larger public dialogue.

The Center's research is organized along two major axes: relations between Asia's major powers and the rest of the world; and internal economic and social dynamics of Asian countries. The Center's research focuses primarily on China, Japan, India, Taiwan and the Indo-Pacific, but also covers Southeast Asia, the Korean peninsula and the Pacific Islands. 

The Centre for Asian Studies maintains close institutional links with counterpart research institutes in Europe and Asia, and its researchers regularly carry out fieldwork in the region.

The Center organizes closed-door roundtables, expert-level seminars and a number of public events, including an Annual Conference, that welcome experts from Asia, Europe and the United States. The work of Center’s researchers, as well as that of their partners, is regularly published in the Center’s electronic journal Asie.Visions.

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Japan’s Energy Policy after Hormuz. Security, Competitiveness, and Decarbonization

Date de publication
04 September 2026
Accroche

The 2026 Hormuz crisis has strengthened rather than weakened the rationale for Japan’s decarbonization strategy, contrary to what might have been expected. Rather than energy policy supplanting climate policy, the two should actually be viewed as inseparable.

Takashi Hattori
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Japan and Nuclear Weapons: Between Extended Deterrence and Normative Dilemmas

Date de publication
17 July 2026
Accroche

Since the late 1950s, Japan’s nuclear weapons policy has been based on the coexistence of two competing normative rationales: the rejection of nuclear weapons, rooted in the legacy of Hiroshima and Nagasaki, and the recognition of the central role of US extended nuclear deterrence for Japan’s security.

Timothée Albessard
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Japan’s Defense Industry Goes Global: Ambitions and Challenges

Date de publication
08 July 2026
Accroche

Long confined to the domestic market by a legal framework that strictly restricted arms exports, Japan’s defense industry is undergoing an unprecedented transformation.

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Fragmented Europe: Dealing with China as a technology and innovation power

Date de publication
30 June 2026
Accroche

How is Europe navigating China’s ascension as a technological power? The latest report by the European Think-tank Network on China (ETNC) provides a nuanced account of a converging, yet still fragmented approach across 22 countries. 

Page image credits
High voltage towers in Taipei.
f11photo/shutterstock
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Adrien Simorre, « Crisis in the Strait of Hormuz. A Stress Test for Taiwan with Global Implications », Memos, Ifri, 17 April 2026.
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Crisis in the Strait of Hormuz. A Stress Test for Taiwan with Global Implications