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Crisis in the Strait of Hormuz. A Stress Test for Taiwan with Global Implications

Memos
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Date de publication
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Briefing cover
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The large-scale military operation carried out by the United States (US) and Israel against Iran triggered an Iranian retaliation that resulted in the partial destruction of natural gas liquefaction infrastructure and severe disruption of maritime traffic in the Strait of Hormuz. The economies of East Asia—South Korea, Japan, and Taiwan in particular—are highly exposed to this crisis due to their reliance on liquefied natural gas (LNG) imports for electricity generation.

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High voltage towers in Taipei.
High voltage towers in Taipei.
f11photo/shutterstock
Table of contents
Table of contents

Titre
Key Takeaways

1
The crisis in the Strait of Hormuz highlights Taiwan’s structural overexposure to the Middle East
Texte courant

The Middle East hydrocarbons accounted for 16% of Taiwan’s electricity generation in 2025 and more than 80% of the helium required for semiconductor manufacturing is imported from the region.

2
In the short term, Taiwan’s vulnerability is primarily economic.
Texte courant

Supply has been maintained through the redirection of cargoes initially destined for other clients, but at the cost of significant additional expenses borne by public energy companies.

3
The crisis is likely to accelerate broader reorientations of Taiwan’s energy system
Texte courant

It includes a reduction in dependence on the Middle East in favor of US LNG, a revival of nuclear power, and the temporary use of coal to stabilize prices. Renewable energy sources, for their part, are not currently benefiting from the same momentum.

4
Taiwan’s semiconductor industry is also threatened due to its reliance on Qatari helium.
Texte courant

Greater awareness of this vulnerability is likely to further justify extending the concept of energy security to industrial security in Taiwan.

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In Taiwan, an archipelago of 24 million people claimed by China, this crisis is significant for two reasons. First, it comes at a time when Taiwan’s electricity system is undergoing a transformation aimed at simultaneously meeting high electricity demand, greenhouse gas emission reduction targets, and a quest for resilience in the face of hybrid pressures exerted by China. Second, the archipelago is the world leader in so-called “logic” semiconductors, which form the basis of artificial intelligence (AI) applications: any disruption to their production—which is highly intensive in electricity and helium, a byproduct of certain gas fields—is likely to have global repercussions.

In this context, the crisis in the Middle East serves as a real-world test of Taiwan’s industrial and energy resilience.

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Crisis in the Strait of Hormuz. A Stress Test for Taiwan with Global Implications

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Author(s)
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Adrien Simorre, Chercheur associé au Centre Asie de l'Ifri

Adrien Simorre

Intitulé du poste

Associate Research Fellow, Center for Asian Studies, Ifri

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Asia Map
Center for Asian Studies
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Asia is a nerve center for multiple global economic, political and security challenges. The Center for Asian Studies provides documented expertise and a platform for discussion on Asian issues to accompany decision makers and explain and contextualize developments in the region for the sake of a larger public dialogue.

The Center's research is organized along two major axes: relations between Asia's major powers and the rest of the world; and internal economic and social dynamics of Asian countries. The Center's research focuses primarily on China, Japan, India, Taiwan and the Indo-Pacific, but also covers Southeast Asia, the Korean peninsula and the Pacific Islands. 

The Centre for Asian Studies maintains close institutional links with counterpart research institutes in Europe and Asia, and its researchers regularly carry out fieldwork in the region.

The Center organizes closed-door roundtables, expert-level seminars and a number of public events, including an Annual Conference, that welcome experts from Asia, Europe and the United States. The work of Center’s researchers, as well as that of their partners, is regularly published in the Center’s electronic journal Asie.Visions.

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Emmanuel Macron in Japan and South Korea: A Historic Opportunity for Euro-Asian Rapprochement

Date de publication
02 April 2026
Accroche

President Emmanuel Macron is touring Japan and South Korea at a time when the interests of these three countries have never been more aligned, and more broadly between Europe and East Asian democracies.

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Afghanistan-Pakistan: The Overlooked War at the Margins of the Middle East Conflict

Date de publication
31 March 2026
Accroche

Pakistan has historically maintained the closest ties to the Taliban movement and initially viewed its return to power in Afghanistan in the summer of 2021 with considerable optimism. The bilateral relationship has since deteriorated, and the two neighbors have been caught in a cycle of escalation since last fall. In October 2025, Pakistan launched its first airstrikes on Kabul. For three weeks in February–March 2026, Afghanistan intensified ground assaults on the Pakistani side of the border as well as drone attacks on Islamabad and Rawalpindi. Pakistan, for its part, has intensified airstrikes on Afghan border areas, as well as on Kabul and Kandahar. Given the dynamics at play at the bilateral and regional levels, the prospects for a sustained return to stability appear limited.

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European Union-India: Lasting Rapprochement or Partnership of Convenience?

Date de publication
26 February 2026
Accroche

The partnership between the European Union (EU) and India has long been limited to economic exchanges. Its political dimension has gradually developed, culminating in its elevation to the status of a “strategic partnership” in 2004. However, the failure of negotiations for a free-trade agreement in 2013 slowed this momentum. Since the early 2020s, in an uncertain geopolitical context, bilateral rapprochement has gained new momentum.

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Japan’s Takaichi Landslide: A New Face of Power

Date de publication
11 February 2026
Accroche

Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi has turned her exceptional popularity into a historic political victory. The snap elections of February 8 delivered an overwhelming majority for the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), driven by strong support from young voters, drawn to her iconoclastic and dynamic image, and from conservative voters reassured by her vision of national assertiveness. This popularity lays the foundation for an ambitious strategy on both the domestic and international fronts.

Page image credits
High voltage towers in Taipei.
f11photo/shutterstock

How can this study be cited?

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Adrien Simorre, « Crisis in the Strait of Hormuz. A Stress Test for Taiwan with Global Implications », Memos, Ifri, 17 April 2026.
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Crisis in the Strait of Hormuz. A Stress Test for Taiwan with Global Implications