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The China-led AIIB, a geopolitical tool?

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The establishment of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) in 2016, on a Chinese initiative, constituted an attempt to bridge the gap in infrastructure financing in Asia. However, it was also perceived in the West as a potential vehicle for China’s geostrategic agendas, fueling the suspicion that the institution might compete rather than align with existing multilateral development banks (MDBs) and impose its own standards.

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After almost a decade of existence, the AIIB seems to have proven such critics wrong. It has managed to establish its credentials, has cooperated with other MDBs as well as with national development assistance agencies and aligned with their standards and operating practices. The bank has also expanded its scope of activities both geographically and in terms of sectors. Going beyond infrastructure financing, the AIIB has established a special facility to help developing countries recover after the Covid-19 pandemic.

Despite these positive achievements, several of the initial concerns have not been fully placated, and some signs point to possible dangers in the years to come.

While the AIIB could not be shown to be the main financing instrument of President Xi’s flagship project (Belt and Road Initiative – BRI), the conditions may now be in place for China to turn the institution into a geopolitical tool.

Although there is no evidence so far of Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) interference in the internal governance of the bank, the concentration of power in the hands of the bank’s President (at the expense of the board of directors) is a source of concern. Moreover, the increasingly heavy-handed assertive China should not be taken lightly and calls for utmost caution on the part of the bank’s members.

Lastly, the AIIB’s performance in terms of environmental and social standards calls for tighter oversight.

 

Download the ReConnect China Policy Brief via the project’s website: Reconnect China Policy Brief 21: The China-led AIIB, a geopolitical tool?

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Françoise NICOLAS

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Senior Advisor, Center for Asian Studies, Ifri

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Asia is a nerve center for multiple global economic, political and security challenges. The Center for Asian Studies provides documented expertise and a platform for discussion on Asian issues to accompany decision makers and explain and contextualize developments in the region for the sake of a larger public dialogue.

The Center's research is organized along two major axes: relations between Asia's major powers and the rest of the world; and internal economic and social dynamics of Asian countries. The Center's research focuses primarily on China, Japan, India, Taiwan and the Indo-Pacific, but also covers Southeast Asia, the Korean peninsula and the Pacific Islands. 

The Centre for Asian Studies maintains close institutional links with counterpart research institutes in Europe and Asia, and its researchers regularly carry out fieldwork in the region.

The Center organizes closed-door roundtables, expert-level seminars and a number of public events, including an Annual Conference, that welcome experts from Asia, Europe and the United States. The work of Center’s researchers, as well as that of their partners, is regularly published in the Center’s electronic journal Asie.Visions.

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Date de publication
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Date de publication
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Date de publication
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Date de publication
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Françoise NICOLAS, « The China-led AIIB, a geopolitical tool? », External Publications, External Articles, Ifri, 14 March 2025.
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