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Deterrence and Proliferation

Description

The issues of nuclear deterrence and weapons proliferation are back in the balance of power between states. China, Russia, Iran, North Korea: arsenals are growing and modernizing.

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Nuclear weapon on a stand. Weapon of mass destruction. bomb.
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Publications

Iraq after Daesh

Date de publication
29 November 2017
Accroche

Going beyond the numerous claims of rupture, is Trump overturning the international order and the place occupied in it by the United States?

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La guerre nucléaire limitée : un renouveau stratégique américain

Date de publication
21 November 2017
Accroche

Over the past few years, a debate on possible scenarios of limited nuclear weapons use has surfaced again in the United States. Russian nuclear saber-rattling since 2014 and the growing tensions in the Korean peninsula have led Washington to reassess its own ability to deter, or respond to, such a limited use of nuclear weapons.

ASEAN at 50: Half a Century of Unique Experience

Date de publication
12 June 2017
Accroche

In its fifty-year existence, the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) has developed a complex, progressive and balanced approach to regional integration. Rather than the European Union’s far-reaching statements of ever-closer union, ASEAN combines highly diverse economic and political strategies of different States whose main priority is to safeguard sovereignty.

North Korea's Nuclear Posture: an Evolving Challenge for U.S. Deterrence

Date de publication
27 March 2017
Accroche

A more capable, nuclear-armed, North Korea will pose very substantial challenges to the U.S. deterrence posture. 

The NPT and the Origins of NATO’s Nuclear Sharing Arrangements

Date de publication
07 February 2017
Accroche

Russia has recently accused the United States and NATO Allies of violating the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) by arguing that NATO's nuclear sharing arrangements are not permitted under the Treaty.

The Future Middle East Strategic Balance. Conventional and Unconventional Sources of Instability

Date de publication
13 September 2016
Accroche

This paper seeks to analyze the future Middle Eastern military balance of power, in a time horizon of five to ten years.

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The Challenges of Maintaining Nuclear Cultures : US and UK perspectives

Date de publication
26 January 2016
Accroche

After the world entered the nuclear age, civilian and military organizations have witnessed the slow emergence of nuclear cultures, defined as the set of values and knowledge, shared among the national security community, about the relative importance of nuclear weapons in the country’s defense posture, the distinctive features of nuclear weapons in terms of security, safety and operational requirements, and the workings of deterrence. 

Linton BROOKS Tom McKANE

Cross-Domain Coercion: The Current Russian Art of Strategy

Date de publication
02 November 2015
Accroche

This paper traces the evolution of Russian views on the art of coercion, and on the role of nuclear weapons in it, from the post-Cold War “regional nuclear deterrence” thinking to the current “Gerasimov Doctrine”.

Conventionalizing Deterrence? U.S. Prompt Strike Programs and Their Limits

Date de publication
14 January 2015
Accroche

About a decade ago, the U.S. started to examine options to develop and acquire Conventional Prompt Global Strike capabilities. This move fits in an effort to conventionalize deterrence, an effort initiated decades before and undertaken for profound and diverse motives. Although it has been renewed under the Obama administration, which aims to reduce the U.S. reliance on nuclear weapons, this ambition has resulted in very little concrete progress.

Regional Integration Within Greater China – State of Play and Future Prospects

Date de publication
31 December 2014
Accroche

Although the Greater China region is often said to constitute an increasingly well-structured economic player, a systematic analysis of intra-regional interactions is not readily available. This chapter seeks to fill this gap.

East Asian Regional Economic Integration: A Post-Crisis Update

Date de publication
09 September 2011
Accroche

To the surprise of many analysts, the outbreak of the global financial crisis (GFC) in 2008 did not leave East Asian economies unscathed. The objective of the paper is to examine the implications of the GFC for the regional economic integration process in East Asia, taking into account both the de facto and the de jure dimensions.

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Nuclear weapon on a stand
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