Captain in the Storm: Challenges and Opportunities for the German EU Council Presidency
The German Presidency of the Council of the European Union begins on July 1, 2020 at a time of acute crisis. It is facing unprecedented challenges and organizational constraints in a context marked by high expectations from its European partners.
The purpose of this paper is to present the aims that Berlin has set itself and the room for maneuver at its disposal. After outlining the revised priorities of the German Presidency, it focuses on the debate on strategic independence and, in this context, on the relationship with China. Finally, it analyzes the conditions for German leadership at a moment when the Federal Government is facing conflicting expectations from its partners: it concentrates more specifically on Franco-German cooperation.
Claire Demesmay is head of the “France/French-German Relations” program at the German Council on Foreign Relations (DGAP) in Berlin.
This publication is available in French: “Capitaine dans la tempête : défis et enjeux de la présidence allemande du Conseil de l’Union européenne”. (pdf)
Related centers and programs
Discover our other research centers and programsFind out more
Discover all our analysesUnder construction: Europe’s economic repositioning in a fragmented international order
„Under Destruction“– this was this year’s motto at the Munich Security Conference. A motto that applies both to security and economy in an increasingly fragile international system. In 2024, Mario Draghi’s report on the EU’s competitiveness rang the alarm bell: Europe is slipping behind the US and China, European companies struggle with Brussels' bureaucracy, and the internal market is too fragmented. However, two years later only about 15 % of his recommendations were implemented: the wake-up call was not heard.
Germany in the Shadow of the United States, Russia, and China – Systemic Paradigm Shifts
Since reunification, Germany has built its prosperity on an international order based on free trade, multilateralism, and geopolitical stability. This model relied on three relationships considered complementary: U.S. military protection, Russian energy supplies, and economic integration with China. For several decades, Berlin viewed these interdependencies as factors contributing to peace, growth, and security.
France and EU Enlargement: From Strategic Hesitation to a Geopolitical Shift
Paris has come a long way in its approach to enlarging the European Union. However, French support remains fragile, due in part to a lack of public support.
Reviving the German Economy: Balancing Economic, Social, and Defense Priorities
Germany is facing fundamental challenges to its economic and social model and is seeking a new course. The German post-war model was hugely successful, leading to economic strength and prosperity over many decades, but now it is steadily faltering. The previously latent fear of deindustrialization is becoming more concrete, particularly due to the weakening of a key sector: the automotive industry.