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Reconciling competitiveness and demographic change: a Franco-German imperative

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France and Germany are facing parallel demographic shifts that could reshape the future of their economies and their social models. These shifts reflect broader European patterns but are magnified by the central role both nations play in EU governance and competitiveness.

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Genshager Workshop Paper | 13th Genshagen Forum for Franco-German Dialogue, Genshagen Foundation, Berlin
Genshager Workshop Paper | 13th Genshagen Forum for Franco-German Dialogue, Genshagen Foundation, Berlin
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This article gathers ideas based on the discussions held at the 2025 Genshagen Forum. It looks at how France and Germany are dealing with demo- graphic decline – and why this matters for Europe as a whole. It explores the pressures ageing populations put on labour markets, welfare systems and regional balance, and highlights where the two countries diverge and where they must act together. The focus is on practical policy options and the role of Franco-German cooperation in turning demographic risk into strategic opportunity.

 

This paper resulted from a workshop at the 13th Genshagen Forum for Franco-German Dialogue (June 26 and 27, 2025) with the topic “EU competitiveness: heading or drift?”.

 

Kevin Genna is Economist, Chaire transitions démographiques, transitions économiques at the Fondation du risque, Paris

Jeanette Süß is Research Fellow, Study Committee on Franco-German Relations (Cerfa) at the French Institute for International Relations (Ifri), Paris

 

This publication is available on Genshagen Foundation: "Reconciling competitiveness and demographic change: a Franco-German imperative".

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Genshagen Forum for Franco-German Dialogue. Genshagen Foundation, Berlin

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Jeanette SÜẞ

Jeanette SÜß

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The Pariser Platz (Paris Square) on the east side of the Brandenburg Gate at Berlin, Germany
The Study Committee on Franco-German Relations (Cerfa)
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The Study Committee on Franco-German Relations (Cerfa) was created in 1954 by an inter-governmental agreement between the Federal Republic of Germany and France, in order to raise awareness of Germany in France and analyze Franco-German relations, including in their European and international dimensions. In its conferences and seminars, which bring together experts, political leaders, senior decision-makers and representatives of civil society from both countries, Cerfa develops the Franco-German debate and stimulates political proposals. It regularly publishes studies through two collections: Cerfa notes and studies as well as Franco-German visions.

 

Cerfa maintains close relations with the network of German foundations and think tanks. In addition to its research and debate activities, Cerfa promotes the emergence of a new Franco-German generation through original cooperation programs. This is how in 2021-2022, Cerfa led a program on multilateralism with the Konrad Adenauer Foundation in Paris. This program is aimed at young professionals from both countries interested in the issues of multilateralism in the context of their activities. It covered a wide range of themes relating to multilateralism, such as international trade, health, human rights and migration, non-proliferation and disarmament. Previously, Cerfa had participated in the Franco-German future dialogue, co-led with the DGAP from 2007 to 2020, and supported by the Robert Bosch Foundation and the Daniel Vernet group (formerly the Franco-German Reflection Group) which was founded in 2014 upon the initiative of the Genshagen Foundation.

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Taking the Pulse: Does France's Political Crisis Weaken Europe's Geopolitical Hand?

Date de publication
09 October 2025
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While the EU tries to navigate a myriad international challenges, France is experiencing historic political disarray. What impact will instability in Paris have on Europe's geostrategic capacity?

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Imaginary and Reality of the Franco-German border: a Laboratory for Europe of tomorrow

Date de publication
16 September 2025
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In Europe, the question of borders is a central issue. According to the European Parliament, border regions cover around 40% of the European Union (EU) territory, concentrate 30% of its population and produce nearly a third of its gross domestic product. 

Claire DEMESMAY, Visiting professor, Alfred Grosser Research Chair, Sciences Po
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A Franco-German “Reset”? The Ambitions of the Franco-German Council of Ministers. Challenges of Joint Leadership in Europe

Date de publication
27 August 2025
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As a Catholic from the Rhineland, Friedrich Merz is heir to the CDU’s Franco-German policy, from Konrad Adenauer to Helmut Kohl and Wolfgang Schäuble. While Franco-German rhetoric and reflexes are deeply ingrained in him, their results must nevertheless be put into perspective.

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Social Policies in Germany. Assessment of the “Traffic Light” Coalition and Prospects for the New Government

Date de publication
08 July 2025
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Notes du Cerfa, No. 188, Ifri, July 2025 — The defeat of the “traffic light” governing coalition in the snap parliamentary elections of February 2025 calls for an initial – necessarily selective – assessment of the social policies implemented during its term. 

Arnaud LECHEVALIER
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Genshager Workshop Paper | 13th Genshagen Forum for Franco-German Dialogue, Genshagen Foundation, Berlin

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