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Russia’s Domestic Evolution: What Impact on its Foreign Policy?

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Russie.Eurasie.Visions
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Russie.Nei.Visions, No. 84, April 2015
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Accroche

Throughout the Ukraine crisis, the West has been surprised at the brutality of Russia's reaction. It has also been surprised by the broad support for Vladimir Putin's policy among the country’s elites and the population at large (88% of whom back the policy), despite the impact of sanctions and countermeasures that are contributing to the deterioration of the country's economy. This level of support cannot be attributed solely to Russia's propaganda machine, though it has been exerting unprecedented influence since early 2014.

Corps analyses

Russia is using its discourse on the West's behavior as a tool with which to justify the tightening of its foreign policy. While this is undoubtedly a factor, it conceals three profound changes in Russia and in the nature of its political regime that have led to a tougher policy: an extreme concentration of power at the highest level, a failure to diversify the economy and modernize post-Soviet Russia, and the destabilization of society.

Decoration

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978-2-36567-375-4

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Russia’s Domestic Evolution: What Impact on its Foreign Policy?

Decoration
Author(s)
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Tatiana KASTOUÉVA-JEAN

Tatiana KASTOUÉVA-JEAN

Intitulé du poste

Director of the Russia/Eurasia Center, Ifri
 

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Russie, Eurasie, Carte
Russia/Eurasia Center
Accroche centre

Founded in 2005 within Ifri, the Russia/Eurasia Center conducts research and organizes debates on Russia, Eastern Europe, Central Asia, and the South Caucasus. Its goal is to understand and anticipate the evolution of this complex and rapidly changing geographical area in order to enrich public discourse in France and Europe and to assist in strategic, political, and economic decision-making.

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From Africa to Ukraine: An Investigation into African Prisoners of War

Date de publication
27 October 2026
Accroche

When T. W. received an invitation letter to travel to Russia in November 2025, he could hardly believe it. Two months earlier, he had met a young Russian woman who was ill at the hospital in Kampala where he worked as a nurse. After she returned to Russia, they had kept in touch through social media. Much to his surprise, she invited him to come and study and work in her country, even offering to pay for his plane ticket. Delighted by the opportunity, T. W. left without informing either his family or his employer. 

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Russia’s Policy of Recruiting Fighters and Female Workers in Sub-Saharan Africa

Date de publication
18 December 2025
Accroche

The Russo-Ukrainian war, which began on February 24, 2022, quickly became internationalized. Russia and Ukraine were both quick to mobilize their allies in order to secure political and diplomatic support, as well as military and economic resources. But both belligerents also sought to recruit foreigners on a private basis to support their respective war efforts. This policy is global, extending from Latin America to the Far East. Sub-Saharan Africa, in this landscape, is of particular interest because it constitutes a vast and easily accessible recruitment pool, owing to high  poverty rates in most countries of the region combined with a strong desire  to emigrate.

Thierry VIRCOULON Moussa BOBBO
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The Plight of Russia’s Air Power in the Ukraine War: Drone-Driven Innovations and Transformation of Traditional Air Force

Date de publication
28 September 2026
Accroche

Since the start of the Ukraine War, Russian strategic guidelines on the application of air power—seen as the decisive instrument for achieving success in modern wars—have proven to be outdated, irrelevant and even self-defeating.

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China in Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan: From Economic Presence to a New Security Role

Date de publication
06 July 2026
Accroche

Over the past three decades, China’s influence in Central Asia has steadily expanded, but in the last three to five years this process has entered a markedly accelerated phase. Following 2022, Beijing effectively revised both its strategy and its operational approach toward the region.

Rollan ISMAIL

How can this study be cited?

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Tatiana KASTOUÉVA-JEAN, « Russia’s Domestic Evolution: What Impact on its Foreign Policy? », Papers, Russie.Eurasie.Visions, Ifri, 20 April 2015.
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Russia’s Domestic Evolution: What Impact on its Foreign Policy?