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International Trade

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International trade has risen sharply in the era of globalization. The Covid-19 pandemic, the war in Ukraine and rising geopolitical tensions are leading to a reconfirguation of value chains.

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Publications
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Russia’s Energy Strategy-2035: Struggling to Remain Relevant

Date de publication
10 December 2019
Accroche

Russia’s Energy Strategy to 2035 (ES-2035) enters, finally, the home stretch. The Ministry of Energy submitted its version of the document to the Russian Government in early October 2019.

Tatiana MITROVA Vitaly YERMAKOV
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China’s Ambiguous Positions on Climate and Coal

Date de publication
19 September 2019
Accroche

China’s 2018 energy consumption data capture the ambiguity of Beijing’s attitude toward climate change. Energy demand rose by 3.5% to 3,155 million tonnes of oil equivalent (Mtoe), with an increase of coal consumption (though its share in the overall energy mix is decreasing) and an expected greenhouse gas (GHG) emission surge of 2.3%, to 9.5 gigatonnes (Gt) for the same year. 

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China’s Belt & Road and the World: Competing Forms of Globalization

Date de publication
24 April 2019
Accroche

China increasingly sees its flagship foreign policy project as a tool for restructuring global governance and a vector for promoting a new form of globalization.

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France and China's Belt and Road Initiative

Date de publication
08 April 2019
Accroche

Under President Macron, France has staked out a positive but principled position towards China's BRI.

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International trade disagreements: Beyond Trump

Date de publication
20 March 2019
Accroche

The trade war between the United States and China is not only due to Donald Trump’s impulsiveness. Its roots are in fact profound and follow three structural changes in the multilateral trading system: the reversal of comparative advantages, the now central role of certain developing countries, and the re-balancing of power that makes coordination between states difficult. In this context, the future of world trade has yet to be written.

Sébastien JEAN
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Adjustment Is Back: The Political and Financial Crisis in Central African Oil-Producing Countries. Gabon and Congo-Brazzaville

Date de publication
19 July 2018
Accroche

This paper aims to highlight both the financial, economic and political adjustment cycle, affecting two Central African petro-states, Gabon and the Republic of Congo (Congo-Brazzaville). 

Image principale médiatique

"One Belt One Road". Asean Plenum 2018

10 May 2018
Accroche

China’s ambitious One Belt One Road (OBOR) Initiative is redefining China’s role in the world economy. With over $900 billion in investments covering more than 65% of the world’s population, OBOR aims to develop new markets, integrate far flung regions, and stabilize China’s borders. But as Chinese influence rises, critics argue that OBOR challenges the liberal international.

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Chinese Investment in Europe. A Country-Level Approach

Date de publication
14 December 2017
Accroche

Chinese investments in Europe have surged in recent years, becoming both a source of hope and growing concern across the continent.

John SEAMAN Mikko HUOTARI Miguel OTERO-IGLESIAS
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Image principale médiatique

China and the “Definition Gap”: Shaping Global Governance in Words

04 November 2017
Accroche

Increasingly, China’s diplomacy is using key words commonly used by liberal democracies, but the meaning differs greatly. This evolution is changing the terms of the debate without changing a single term.

The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor and the New Regional Geopolitics

Date de publication
29 June 2017
Accroche

The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) brings a dimensional shift in the two countries' relations at a time of significant geopolitical change. But while it promises wide-ranging benefits for infrastructure development and economic growth in Pakistan, a number of important challenges remain to be overcome if the project is to be sustainable and produce long-term benefits for Pakistanis.

Zahid HUSSAIN

La politique française de soutien aux exportations d'armement : raisons et limites d'un succès

Date de publication
08 June 2017
Accroche

During François Hollande’s five-year term French defense exports have reached quite spectacular results. Arms sales abroad have increased at least fourfold since 2012, when the former presidential team came to power.

Lucie BÉRAUD-SUDREAU
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Chinese Investors in Ethiopia: The Perfect Match?

Date de publication
22 March 2017
Accroche

Since the fall of the Derg regime in 1991, cordial relations have developed between China and Ethiopia, forming a positive political backdrop in front of which the two countries’ interests have increasingly converged.

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Three Years of China’s New Silk Roads: From Words to (Re)action?

Date de publication
28 February 2017
Accroche

More than three years have already passed since China’s new silk roads were launched by President Xi Jinping. When he first mentioned the idea in an autumn 2013 speech in Kazakhstan, questions quickly emerged on the meaning of this general concept, which soon became widely promoted through a large-scale and well-coordinated public diplomacy strategy both in and outside China.

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Europe and China's New Silk Roads

Date de publication
22 December 2016
Accroche

As China elaborates on the design of its "Belt and Road Initiative" (OBOR), the place of Europe within this project is slowly but surely taking shape. 

Frans Paul van der Putten John SEAMAN Mikko HUOTARI Alice EKMAN Miguel OTERO-IGLESIAS
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New Chinese Activism in the Mediterranean

Date de publication
01 December 2016
Accroche

Chinese presence in the Mediterranean is increasing: propositions for cooperation forums with various southern European countries, investment in port terminals, military maneuvering, evacuation of citizens, etc.

Does Russia still have an "energy weapon"?

14 October 2016
Accroche

What are the Current Challenges for Gazprom and Russia’s Energy Policy? What are the Gas Risks for Europe? Is the Nord Stream-II a Risk or an Opportunity for Europe?

Thane GUSTAFSON
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Nord Stream 2: May Cooler Heads Prevail

Date de publication
23 September 2016
Accroche

Since the announcement of the Nord Stream 2 project in June 2015, the debate around the benefits of this project for Europe is raging, putting forward political, economic and commercial arguments. 

The Country Risk Concept

Date de publication
01 June 2015
Accroche

The expression “country risk” emerged in the United States in the 1960s. Its meaning has evolved over time, without any definition ever really being settled on.

Norbert GAILLARD
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Persistence and Evolutions of the Rentier State Model in Gulf Countries

Date de publication
23 April 2015
Accroche

A general economic model of understanding Middle Eastern states was elaborated by political scientists around the 1980’s, based on the concept of rent as a factor of wealth around which the economic model as much as the governance of energy-rich countries was re-organized. The particular case of GCC’s countries as rentier state has been at the cornerstone of this concept since they own the most important share of energy resources in the world.

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China in Asia: What is behind the new silk roads?

Date de publication
27 July 2015
Accroche

The Asia-Pacific region is now more than ever a priority for China’s foreign policy. The combined economic, energy and security interests concentrated in the region are of key importance for Beijing.

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Industry Response to New Protectionism

Date de publication
30 December 2019
Accroche

In this special issue of Politique étrangère devoted to the proceedings of the conference organized by Ifri on April 10, 2019, in the Grand Amphitheater of the Sorbonne, on the occasion of its fortieth anniversary, discover the debate moderated by Thierry de Montbrial between Jean-Paul Agon and Patrick Pouyané.

Jean-Paul AGON Patrick POUYANNÉ Thierry de MONTBRIAL
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Russia’s Energy Strategy-2035: Struggling to Remain Relevant

Date de publication
10 December 2019
Accroche

Russia’s Energy Strategy to 2035 (ES-2035) enters, finally, the home stretch. The Ministry of Energy submitted its version of the document to the Russian Government in early October 2019.

Tatiana MITROVA Vitaly YERMAKOV
Image principale

China’s Ambiguous Positions on Climate and Coal

Date de publication
19 September 2019
Accroche

China’s 2018 energy consumption data capture the ambiguity of Beijing’s attitude toward climate change. Energy demand rose by 3.5% to 3,155 million tonnes of oil equivalent (Mtoe), with an increase of coal consumption (though its share in the overall energy mix is decreasing) and an expected greenhouse gas (GHG) emission surge of 2.3%, to 9.5 gigatonnes (Gt) for the same year. 

Image principale

China’s Belt & Road and the World: Competing Forms of Globalization

Date de publication
24 April 2019
Accroche

China increasingly sees its flagship foreign policy project as a tool for restructuring global governance and a vector for promoting a new form of globalization.

Image principale

France and China's Belt and Road Initiative

Date de publication
08 April 2019
Accroche

Under President Macron, France has staked out a positive but principled position towards China's BRI.

Image principale

International trade disagreements: Beyond Trump

Date de publication
20 March 2019
Accroche

The trade war between the United States and China is not only due to Donald Trump’s impulsiveness. Its roots are in fact profound and follow three structural changes in the multilateral trading system: the reversal of comparative advantages, the now central role of certain developing countries, and the re-balancing of power that makes coordination between states difficult. In this context, the future of world trade has yet to be written.

Sébastien JEAN
Image principale

Chinese Investment in Europe. A Country-Level Approach

Date de publication
14 December 2017
Accroche

Chinese investments in Europe have surged in recent years, becoming both a source of hope and growing concern across the continent.

John SEAMAN Mikko HUOTARI Miguel OTERO-IGLESIAS
Image principale

Persistence and Evolutions of the Rentier State Model in Gulf Countries

Date de publication
23 April 2015
Accroche

A general economic model of understanding Middle Eastern states was elaborated by political scientists around the 1980’s, based on the concept of rent as a factor of wealth around which the economic model as much as the governance of energy-rich countries was re-organized. The particular case of GCC’s countries as rentier state has been at the cornerstone of this concept since they own the most important share of energy resources in the world.

Support independent French research

Ifri, a foundation recognized as being of public utility, relies largely on private donors – companies and individuals – to guarantee its sustainability and intellectual independence. Through their funding, donors help maintain the Institute's position among the world's leading think tanks. By benefiting from an internationally recognized network and expertise, donors refine their understanding of geopolitical risk and its consequences on global politics and the economy. In 2026, Ifri partners with over 90 French and international companies and organizations.

Presentation of Ramses 2026, Ifri, Paris
Related centers and programs
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Geoeconomics and Geofinance Initiative
Accroche centre

To analyze the impact of power rivalries and tensions on globalization, this initiative combines economic and political expertise. In the face of growing geopolitical risk, the goal is to decipher the dynamics of reconfiguration: protectionist pressures, sanctions, restrictions, industrial policies, and economic security concerns are redefining the rules of international trade. These tensions are also transforming international financial relations by undermining the foundations of trust and reshaping the global monetary system. They raise questions about the role of several key players: sovereign wealth funds, central banks, digital platforms, multilateral institutions, and financial infrastructure operators. In a context of profound disruption, simply refining existing approaches is no longer sufficient. The initiative is designed as a flexible model, drawing on diverse expertise to offer both broad overviews and targeted analyses. It also provides a platform for stakeholders and experts from various backgrounds to debate these issues freely.

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