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The Future of Think Tanks

Politique étrangère Articles from Politique Etrangère
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Politique étrangère, special issue, 2019
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In this special issue of Politique étrangère devoted to the proceedings of the conference organized by Ifri on April 10, 2019, in the Grand Amphitheater of the Sorbonne, on the occasion of its fortieth anniversary, discover the debate moderated by Bassma Kodmani between Thomas Bagger, Thomas Gomart, Robin Niblett, and Daniela Schwarzer.

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Bassma Kodmani

We will talk about the role of think tanks, their uncertainties and their future. Any leader of a think tank wonders each day about what they must do to preserve its credibility, independence and influence. Do you think that we, the think tank community, are doing something; and also, what? And if a think tank's role is to make international questions intelligible and to recommend a certain number of directions for political decision-making, my first question would be the following: how explain to politicians that it is in their interest to work with think tanks? This is an even more important question now that we are dealing with political leaders for whom the world of think tanks is not presumably of crucial interest...


Who listens to think tanks?


Robin Niblett

What Bruno Le Maire said this morning, quoting Xi Jinping, who noted that the Europeans had taken three centuries to build what the Chinese built in forty years, particularly struck me. The most difficult thing is to think about the future of think tanks. We are now experiencing a proliferation of think tanks around the world (more than 1,000 in the United States and more than 500 in China...), which seem to be experiencing a golden age. They seem necessary because we are in a turbulent world. And yet, the paradox is that we are uncertain of our credibility in our role. Normally, our main public is governments and governing elites in the private and public sectors. We are making forecasts and the most objective analyses possible; we are trying to give advice, which is sometimes difficult because we are not elected – but we can also sometimes say what others cannot say... Governments are now, doubtless, paying less attention to what we are saying because they live in a media world where the news dominates every moment (see the example of Brexit).

How can we prove the importance of think tanks to governments today? We need to show that we are in contact with spheres that the government does not necessarily reach. We could also communicate via the media. But the public also looks at us in a somewhat skeptical manner, as a number of us are seen as managers of globalization, illustrating the positive sides of it without seeing the dangers. Hence, the public's skepticism can be combined with a lack of government attention. We can naturally assert ourselves by renewing major themes of the international debate, by developing multidisciplinary or interdisciplinary studies, by involving more individuals, NGOs, and various partners. […]


Thomas Bagger is Director of Foreign Policy in the Office of the Federal President (Federal Republic of Germany)

Thomas Gomart is Director of Ifri

Robin Niblett is Director of the Royal Institute for International Affairs (RIIA, Chatham House, London)

Daniela Schwarzer is Director of the Deutsche Geselschaft für Auswärtige Politik (DGAP, Berlin)

Bassma Kodmani is Director of the Arab Reform Initiative

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The Future of Think Tanks

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Thomas GOMART

Thomas GOMART

Intitulé du poste

Director of Ifri

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The Year He Woke

Date de publication
02 June 2026
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Vikas Swarup, an Indian writer and former diplomat, is the author of four novels, including Q & A (New York: Doubleday, 2005), which has been translated into 47 languages and adapted for the screen under the title Slumdog Millionaire.

Text published in Politique étrangère, Vol. 91, No. 2, 2026.

Vikas SWARUP

War and Technology: An Approaching Military Revolution?

Date de publication
02 June 2026
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Historically, technological change has altered how battles are fought but has not overturned the fundamental principles of war. However, three considerations may now represent an actual revolution: the recourse to tactical nuclear weapons, the development of software for “multi-domain operations,” and the prospect of general artificial intelligence. The organization of militaries and the use of force need to be rethought in this light.

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War and Technology: An Approaching Military Revolution?

Date de publication
02 June 2026
Accroche

Historically, technological change has altered how battles are fought but has not overturned the fundamental principles of war. However, three considerations may now represent an actual revolution: the recourse to tactical nuclear weapons, the development of software for “multi-domain operations,” and the prospect of general artificial intelligence. The organization of militaries and the use of force need to be rethought in this light.

Hew STRACHAN
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The Crises Testing Arms Control

Date de publication
02 June 2026
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The arms control system built during and after the Cold War is under enormous stress and is fraying at the edges. It once enabled significant improvements in international security but is in danger of not withstanding the resurgence of tensions in recent years. Urgent action is now needed to prevent the proliferation of nuclear, chemical, and biological weapons, as well as cluster bombs and anti-personnel mines.

Patricia M. LEWIS

How can this study be cited?

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Thomas GOMART, Bassma KODMANI, Robin NIBLETT, Thomas BAGGER, Daniela SCHWARZER, « The Future of Think Tanks », Politique étrangère, Articles from Politique Etrangère, Ifri, 30 December 2019.
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The Future of Think Tanks