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La Guerre de vingt ans. Djihadisme et contre-terrorisme au XXIe siècle

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La Guerre de Vingt Ans couverture, Marc Hecker, Élie Tenenbaum
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La Guerre de vingt ans was awarded the Prize for the best book on geopolitics in 2021.

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It has already been twenty years since the World Trade Center towers came crashing down. Who would have believed that, two decades later, the global war on terrorism continues without an end in sight? From the sands of the Sahara to the jungles of southeast Asia and from the Iraqi plains to the Afghani mountains, the West and its allies are still chasing down the jihadist movement with faultless determination. The threat is not limited to far-off countries; Europe, and especially France, have paid a high price for this long conflict.

Al-Qaeda has shown remarkable resilience, and several new groups, like ISIS, have since appeared. The fall of the so-called “caliphate” as proclaimed by ISIS does not signal the end to the organization, much less to its deadly ideology. There are now two to three times more jihadist fighters in the world than at the start of the twenty-first century. This discouraging figure from an endless war begs the question: what have we done in the last twenty years? Despite hundreds of thousands of human lives lost and considerable sums spent in the war on terrorism, why is the threat still so high?

This exceptional book, the fruit of several years of field investigations, offers the first history of the war on terrorism from 2001 to today. The authors decipher the strategic dynamics of this conflict by explaining why it is so difficult to break the spiral of violence and look back over these two decades of fighting in order to find essential lessons for the future.

 

La Guerre de vingt ans. Djihadisme et contre-terrorisme au XXIe siècle [The Twenty Years' War. Jihadism and Counter-terrorism in the 21st Century], Robert Laffont, 448 pages, 29 avril 2021.

Foreign rights enquiries: [email protected]

 

 

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9782221250976

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Marc HECKER

Intitulé du poste

Executive Director of Ifri, Editor-in-Chief of Politique étrangère, and Research Fellow at the Security Studies Center, Ifri

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Élie TENENBAUM

Élie TENENBAUM

Intitulé du poste

Director of Ifri’s Security Studies Center

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 A soldier watching a sunset on an armored infantry fighting vehicle
Security Studies Center
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Heir to a tradition dating back to the founding of Ifri, the Security Studies Center provides public and private decision-makers as well as the general public with the keys to understanding power relations and contemporary modes of conflict as well as those to come. Through its positioning at the juncture of politics and operations, the credibility of its civil-military team and the wide distribution of its publications in French and English, the Center for Security Studies constitutes in the French landscape of think tanks a unique center of research and influence on the national and international defense debate.

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Legionnaires patrolling during the sentinel operation in Paris
Internal Security
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The distinction between internal and external threats is often exaggerated, as the borders are so porous. Conflicts taking place thousands of kilometers from France can have tragic resonances on national territory. Radicalization, terrorism and even organized crime have an international dimension that cannot be ignored.

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France has a new nuclear doctrine of ‘forward deterrence’ for Europe. What does it mean?

Date de publication
05 March 2026
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On Monday, French President Emmanuel Macron delivered a speech on France’s nuclear deterrence at the Île Longue naval base near Brest in Brittany, which hosts the country’s nuclear-armed ballistic missile submarines. Such addresses are a well-established presidential ritual, typically delivered once per presidential term and receiving moderate attention. This one, however, was highly anticipated in France and abroad, given the profound geopolitical shifts since Macron’s first nuclear speech in February 2020.

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Bundeswehr: From Zeitenwende (historic turning point) to Epochenbruch (epochal shift)

Date de publication
25 February 2026
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The Zeitenwende (historic turning point) announced by Olaf Scholz on February 27, 2022, is shifting into high gear. Financially supported by the March 2025 reform of Germany’s “debt break” and backed by a broad political and societal consensus to strengthen and modernize the Bundeswehr, Germany's military capabilities are set to rapidly increase over the coming years. Expected to assume a central role in the defense of the European continent in the context of changing transatlantic relations, Berlin’s military-political position on the continent is being radically transformed. 

Johanna MÖHRING
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Main Battle Tank: Obsolescence or Renaissance?

Date de publication
17 November 2025
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Since February 2022, Russian and Ukrainian forces combined have lost more than 5,000 battle tanks, a much higher volume than all the European armor combined. Spearhead of the Soviet doctrine from which the two belligerents came, tanks were deployed in large numbers from the first day and proved to be a prime target for UAVs that became more numerous and efficient over the months. The large number of UAV strike videos against tanks has also led a certain number of observers to conclude, once again, that armor is obsolete on a modern battlefield. This approach must, however, be nuanced by a deeper study of the losses and their origin, UAVs rarely being the sole origin of the loss itself, often caused by a combination of factors such as mines, artillery or other anti-tank weapons.

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Mapping the MilTech War: Eight Lessons from Ukraine’s Battlefield

Date de publication
12 February 2026
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This report maps out the evolution of key technologies that have emerged or developed in the last 4 years of the war in Ukraine. Its goal is to derive the lessons the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) could learn to strengthen its defensive capabilities and prepare for modern war, which is large-scale and conventional in nature.

Élie TENENBAUM Bohdan KOSTIUK Daryna-Maryna PATIUK Anastasya SHAPOCHKINA
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La Guerre de Vingt Ans couverture, Marc Hecker, Élie Tenenbaum
La Guerre de vingt ans. Djihadisme et contre-terrorisme au XXIe siècle, from Ifri by
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