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A "DeepSeek Moment"?

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Cover of Pajot's Memo A "DeepSeek Moment"?
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DeepSeek, hailed as a champion of Chinese AI, represents less a revolution than a significant optimization of existing technologies. Doubts remain regarding the figures put forward by the start-up, inviting a more measured response to the media hype surrounding China’s technological catch-up. Nonetheless, DeepSeek signals the need to question an economic model based solely on the race for computational power. By betting on open innovation, Europe can carve out its own path in a competition that is far from being a zero-sum game.

 

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The DeepSeek app open on a smartphone, with the Chinese flag in the background.
The DeepSeek app open on a smartphone, with the Chinese flag in the background.
Algi Febri Sugita/Shutterstock
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The release of the generative artificial intelligence (AI) model DeepSeek-R on January 20th, 2025, set off a wave of more or less sincere panic in Silicon Valley. With performances surpassing those of OpenAI’s ChatGPT4, the small Chinese start-up, 143 employees strong at the time, reaffirmed its talents, first glimpsed a month earlier with the publication of DeepSeek v3 in late 2024. Founded and led since 2023 by Liang Wenfeng, head of the High-Flyer hedge fund of which DeepSeek is a subsidiary, the company has benefited from substantial initial funding, allowing it to devote itself to research rather than chasing profitability. Its ties to Chinese authorities remain unclear, and its sudden success may have come as a pleasant surprise for Beijing, which has hailed it as a national champion in its technological competition with Washington.

Rather than a “Sputnik moment”, the U.S. leaders of this rapidly changing industry are now experiencing a “DeepSeek moment”, as so-called “reasoning” models mark a significant step in the evolution of large language models (LLMs). DeepSeek-R1, drawing inspiration from its competitors, also reflects the growing popularity of distillation, a process whereby the capabilities and “knowledge” of another AI model can be extracted by training based on its responses, resulting in a credible iteration of the model. The freely accessible model reflects China’s strategic positioning in open-source AI, and challenges Europe’s role in a game that appears to be less rigid and more open.

This Memo is available in French and English.

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A "DeepSeek Moment"?

Decoration
Author(s)
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Benjamin PAJOT

Benjamin PAJOT

Intitulé du poste

Associate Research Fellow, Center for Geopolitics of Technology, Ifri 

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Authentic Modern High Tech Robot Weapon
Center for Geopolitics of Technology
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Artificial intelligence (AI), 5G, cybersecurity, robotics, semiconductors, space…Technologies—particularly digital technologies—now profoundly affect all human activities and, by extension, international relations. The political, strategic, economic, and social stakes that arise from them are expressed across multiple political levels, involving states, international organizations, and private companies alike. International dynamics of competition and cooperation are being reshaped as a result. To address these challenges, Ifri launched its Geopolitics of Technology Center in 2020, offering a distinctly European perspective on the international issues surrounding so-called critical technologies.

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Regulatory Dynamics and Tensions in the Space Sector: Towards and Americanization of Space Law?

Date de publication
13 November 2025
Accroche

The development of space law has gradually evolved from a top-down normative dynamic dominated by the founding impetus of the UN to a bottom-up normativity driven by national and industrial practices. This evolution is now accompanied by growing normative competition, raising the risk of an Americanization of space law and prompting the question of a European response.

Philippe ACHILLEAS
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The Sustainability of Space Operations: An Opportunity for European Leadership?

Date de publication
19 September 2025
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As space becomes a key arena for power projection strategies, while facing growth and diversification of orbital activities, the concept of “space sustainability” is emerging as a new framework of analysis for space governance. 

Jérôme BARBIER
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The “Huawei Saga” in Europe Revisited: German Lessons for the Rollout of 6G

Date de publication
02 June 2025
Accroche

While the European Union attempted to coordinate a collective response through its 5G Toolbox in Europe’s 5G infrastructure, member states diverged significantly in balancing political, economic, and technological considerations. Germany, despite its economic ties to China and status as Europe’s largest telecom market, only reached a tentative agreement in July 2024—one that appears largely symbolic. 

Tim RÜHLIG
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European Startups and Generative AI: Overcoming Big Tech Dominance

Date de publication
07 April 2025
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Europe is at a crossroads. Faced with the domination of American Big Tech across the entire generative Artificial Intelligence (AI) value chain, from foundation models to cloud infrastructure, distribution channels, and open source, it risks long-term technological and economic decline. Yet generative AI also represents a major opportunity for economic transformation, with a potential value estimated at 1.5 times France’s gross domestic product (GDP). To turn it into a driver of renewal, Europe must move beyond the illusion of total technological independence and instead build an ecosystem that leverages Big Tech resources while strengthening its own innovation capabilities.

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The DeepSeek app open on a smartphone, with the Chinese flag in the background.
Algi Febri Sugita/Shutterstock

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Cover of Pajot's Memo A "DeepSeek Moment"?

A "DeepSeek Moment"?