Alternative für Deutschland: What risks for Germany?
The AfD - Alternative for Germany – founded in opposition to Angela Merkel’s policy line of supporting southern European countries, has quickly become part of the political family of "right-wing populism" in Europe, with whom it cultivates close ties.
Taking advantage of a sense of frustration towards Europe and globalization as well as a rejection of Germany’s federal authorities and Angela Merkel’s policy of opening the borders in 2015/2016 in certain parts of German society, the AfD has had unexpected success in the 2014 European elections and in German regional elections (between 2014 and 2017). Its entry into the Bundestag and two other regional chambers in 2017 seems highly likely.
At the same time, the AfD has continued to radicalize its political discourse and program. This has allowed it to voice the concerns and serve as parliamentary representative of the Neue Rechte and even the German extreme right. The AfD has no prospect of attaining to power, yet it leaves its mark on the German political debate on controversial issues such as national security, Europe, immigration and the economy. It has thus become part of the German political landscape.
About the author:
Hans Stark graduated from the Institut d’études politiques de Paris (SciencesPo) in 1987, majoring in International Relations and achieving a Diplôme d’études approfondies (DEA) in Soviet and Eastern European Studies in 1990. He holds a PhD in political sciences from the Panthéon-Sorbonne University (2001) that focused on German European politics. In 2011 he obtained his habilitation at the University of Lille 3 in German Studies.
This paper is published in French only: Hans Stark, "Alternative für Deutschland : quels risques pour l'Allemagne ?", Notes du Cerfa, n°137, Ifri, mars 2017.
Related centers and programs
Discover our other research centers and programsFind out more
Discover all our analysesFrance-Germany: Overcoming Differences to Strengthen European Sovereignty
The Franco-German “reset” launched with Friedrich Merz’s appointment as Chancellor in May 2025 and given concrete form at the Franco-German Council of Ministers (FGCM) in Toulon in August 2025 was intended to address the structural challenges affecting the bilateral relationship. Yet it is clear that these ambitions have only been partially translated into concrete action. Since the beginning of 2026, Franco-German relations have entered a phase in which short-term challenges have combined with deeper divergences over priorities, policy approaches, and strategic culture.
Under construction: Europe’s economic repositioning in a fragmented international order
„Under Destruction“– this was this year’s motto at the Munich Security Conference. A motto that applies both to security and economy in an increasingly fragile international system. In 2024, Mario Draghi’s report on the EU’s competitiveness rang the alarm bell: Europe is slipping behind the US and China, European companies struggle with Brussels' bureaucracy, and the internal market is too fragmented. However, two years later only about 15 % of his recommendations were implemented: the wake-up call was not heard.
Germany in the Shadow of the United States, Russia, and China – Systemic Paradigm Shifts
Since reunification, Germany has built its prosperity on an international order based on free trade, multilateralism, and geopolitical stability. This model relied on three relationships considered complementary: U.S. military protection, Russian energy supplies, and economic integration with China. For several decades, Berlin viewed these interdependencies as factors contributing to peace, growth, and security.
France and EU Enlargement: From Strategic Hesitation to a Geopolitical Shift
Paris has come a long way in its approach to enlarging the European Union. However, French support remains fragile, due in part to a lack of public support.