Search on Ifri.org

About Ifri

Frequent searches

Suggestions

Angola under Lourenço. Towards a Negotiated Hegemony

Papers
|
Date de publication
|
Références

Notes de l'Ifri, February 2018

Image de couverture de la publication
couv_alencastro_angola.jpg
Accroche

In a matter of months, Luanda politics became unrecognizable. The reasons why, and the ways in which, João Lourenço, President of Angola since september 2017, proceeded to these substantial and unexpected changes will be analyzed in detail in the pages that follow. 

Image principale
Residents sit outside on election day in Angola underneath the flags of the ruling People's Movement for the Liberation of Angola (MPLA) party, on 23 August 2017
Residents sit outside on election day in Angola underneath the flags of the ruling People's Movement for the Liberation of Angola (MPLA) party, on 23 August 2017
© WJRVisuals/Shutterstock.com
Corps analyses

Lourenço ignored the constraints imposed by his predecessor, José Eduardo Dos Santos - who was in power since 1979 - and moved on to reassert his authority. In a series of administrative changes over a period of two months, he completely rebalanced the relation between the Dos Santos family and the Angolan state. This paper demonstrates that Angola will evolve from a non-negotiated hegemony, in which the absolutist powers of Dos Santos ensured the domination of the MPLA’s party-state, to a “negotiated hegemony” in which the domination of the MPLA’s party-state will be subject to an arrangement between different competing actors at the top. The paper will also look at the relations between the Lourenço government and the other stakeholders at the top of the state, as well as at how the regional and international relations of the Angolan regime will evolve in this new political reality. 

Decoration

Available in:

Regions and themes

ISBN / ISSN

978-2-36567-841-4

Share

Download the full analysis

This page contains only a summary of our work. If you would like to have access to all the information from our research on the subject, you can download the full version in PDF format.

Angola under Lourenço. Towards a Negotiated Hegemony

Image principale
Subsaharan Africa
Sub-Saharan Africa Center
Accroche centre

Founded in 2007, Ifri's Sub-Saharan Africa center produces an in-depth analysis of the African continent and its security, geopolitical, political and socio-economic dynamics (in particular the phenomenon of urbanization). The Center aims to be both, through various publications and conferences, a space for disseminating analyzes intended for the media and the public but also a decision-making tool for political and economic actors with regard to the continent.

The center produces analyses for various organizations such as the Ministry of the Armed Forces, the Ministry of Europe and Foreign Affairs, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), the French Development Agency (AFD) and even for various private supports. Its researchers are regularly interviewed by parliamentary committees.

The organization of events of various formats complements the production of analyzes by bringing the different spheres of the public space (academic, political, media, economic and civil society) to meet and exchange analytical tools and visions of the continent. The Sub-Saharan Africa Center regularly welcomes political leaders from different sub-Saharan African countries.

Image principale

From Africa to Ukraine: An Investigation into African Prisoners of War

Date de publication
27 October 2026
Accroche

When T. W. received an invitation letter to travel to Russia in November 2025, he could hardly believe it. Two months earlier, he had met a young Russian woman who was ill at the hospital in Kampala where he worked as a nurse. After she returned to Russia, they had kept in touch through social media. Much to his surprise, she invited him to come and study and work in her country, even offering to pay for his plane ticket. Delighted by the opportunity, T. W. left without informing either his family or his employer. 

Image principale

Russia’s Policy of Recruiting Fighters and Female Workers in Sub-Saharan Africa

Date de publication
18 December 2025
Accroche

The Russo-Ukrainian war, which began on February 24, 2022, quickly became internationalized. Russia and Ukraine were both quick to mobilize their allies in order to secure political and diplomatic support, as well as military and economic resources. But both belligerents also sought to recruit foreigners on a private basis to support their respective war efforts. This policy is global, extending from Latin America to the Far East. Sub-Saharan Africa, in this landscape, is of particular interest because it constitutes a vast and easily accessible recruitment pool, owing to high  poverty rates in most countries of the region combined with a strong desire  to emigrate.

Thierry VIRCOULON Moussa BOBBO
Image principale

The Vectors and Means of Rwanda’s Growing External Influence under Paul Kagame

Date de publication
10 July 2026
Accroche

For three decades, Paul Kagame’s Rwanda has pursued a foreign policy aimed at increasing investment in the national economy, maximizing military cooperation and intelligence sharing, and promoting a model of post-genocide state reconstruction.

Image principale

Sudan Wartime Online Propaganda

Date de publication
15 April 2026
Accroche

In the Sudan conflict, the propaganda battle between the Sudan Armed Forces (SAF) and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) on mainstream and social media makes it hard to distinguish real, false, and manipulated information. Furthermore, the lack of field press coverage allows fake and misleading news to spread more easily. Although the SAF and RSF work hard to shape the war narrative by building large supporter networks and using various methods such as disinformation and censorship, it is clear they no longer fully control the flow of information. Social media analysis shows that Sudanese politicians, military figures, influencers, and followers weave a tangled web of exchanges filled with rivalries, lies, and propaganda.

Selma EL OBEID
Page image credits
Residents sit outside on election day in Angola underneath the flags of the ruling People's Movement for the Liberation of Angola (MPLA) party, on 23 August 2017
© WJRVisuals/Shutterstock.com

How can this study be cited?

Image de couverture de la publication
couv_alencastro_angola.jpg
« Angola under Lourenço. Towards a Negotiated Hegemony », Papers, Ifri, 23 February 2018.
Copy
Image de couverture de la publication
couv_alencastro_angola.jpg

Angola under Lourenço. Towards a Negotiated Hegemony