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A Partnership Built on Security: Post-Brexit Rapprochement between Germany and the United Kingdom

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Notes du Cerfa, No. 192, Ifri, October 2026
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Since the UK’s withdrawal from the EU, UK-German relations have undergone a remarkable transformation: from Berlin’s deliberate distancing from London during the Brexit negotiations, when Germany consistently prioritised EU-27 unity over bilateral arrangements, to a gradual rapprochement, culminating, for the time being, in the 2025 Kensington Treaty of Friendship.

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Berlin, 8 octobre 2026 : Accueil du Premier ministre du Royaume-Uni, Andrew Burnham, par le chancelier fédéral Friedrich Merz
Berlin, October 8, 2026: Federal Chancellor Friedrich Merz welcomes United Kingdom Prime Minister Andrew Burnham
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In the context of Germany’s Zeitenwende, defence policy has become a central pillar of bilateral relations, encompassing mutual defence commitments and nuclear dialogue. However, the diverging trajectories of defence spending raise questions about how these ambitions can be translated into practice.

Particular attention is paid to the comparison within the E3 triangle. Unlike the Lancaster House Treaties between the UK and France, the Kensington Treaty includes a bilateral mutual defence guarantee. For Berlin, the E3 format and “Weimar Plus” remain the preferred mechanisms for engaging the UK strategically, while the European Political Community, championed by Paris, and the “Coalition of the Willing” play no role in Franco-German-British cooperation.

Dr Nicolai von Ondarza is Head of the EU/Europe Research Division at the German Institute for International and Security Affairs (SWP) in Berlin and an Associate Fellow at Chatham House. His research focuses on Germany’s role in Europe, EU politics and institutions, EU–UK relations as well as democracy in Europe.

  • This publication is available in:

French (pdf): Une association fondée sur la sécurité. Le rapprochement post-Brexit entre l’Allemagne et le Royaume-Uni

German (pdf): Mit Sicherheit eingebunden – Die bilaterale Wiederannäherung von Deutschland und Großbritannien nach dem Brexit

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Notes du Cerfa, No. 192, Ifri, October 2026

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The Pariser Platz (Paris Square) on the east side of the Brandenburg Gate at Berlin, Germany
The Study Committee on Franco-German Relations (Cerfa)
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The Study Committee on Franco-German Relations (Cerfa) was created in 1954 by an inter-governmental agreement between the Federal Republic of Germany and France, in order to raise awareness of Germany in France and analyze Franco-German relations, including in their European and international dimensions. In its conferences and seminars, which bring together experts, political leaders, senior decision-makers and representatives of civil society from both countries, Cerfa develops the Franco-German debate and stimulates political proposals. It regularly publishes studies through two collections: Cerfa notes and studies as well as Franco-German visions.

Cerfa maintains close relations with the network of German foundations and think tanks. In addition to its research and debate activities, Cerfa promotes the emergence of a new Franco-German generation through original cooperation programs. This is how in 2021-2022, Cerfa led a program on multilateralism with the Konrad Adenauer Foundation in Paris. This program is aimed at young professionals from both countries interested in the issues of multilateralism in the context of their activities. It covered a wide range of themes relating to multilateralism, such as international trade, health, human rights and migration, non-proliferation and disarmament. Previously, Cerfa had participated in the Franco-German future dialogue, co-led with the DGAP from 2007 to 2020, and supported by the Robert Bosch Foundation and the Daniel Vernet group (formerly the Franco-German Reflection Group) which was founded in 2014 upon the initiative of the Genshagen Foundation.

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Recalibrating Europe’s Security: Building Partnerships in an Era of ‘Wrecking-Ball Politics

Date de publication
22 September 2026
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The 2026 Munich Security Conference report observes that “the world has entered a period of wrecking-ball politics.” Indeed, the era of Western predominance, dependable alliances and capable multilateral institutions has given way to shifting balances of power and deepening uncertainty.

Marie KRPATA Sarah BRESSAN
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Taking the Pulse: Does the EU Have a Germany Problem?

Date de publication
17 September 2026
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Are Germany’s economic, industrial, and political struggles becoming a liability for the EU’s ability to rise to the geopolitical moment?

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From Protest to Power? The AfD Ahead of the Eastern State Elections

Date de publication
03 September 2026
Accroche

The September state elections will test the AfD’s transition from protest force to potential governing power amid growing political fragmentation and dissatisfaction with Chancellor Friedrich Merz and his coalition. While firmly established in eastern Germany, the AfD is also gaining ground in the west, raising questions about coalition-building and the future direction of German politics.

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France-Germany: Overcoming Differences to Strengthen European Sovereignty

Date de publication
15 July 2026
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The Franco-German “reset” launched with Friedrich Merz’s appointment as Chancellor in May 2025 and given concrete form at the Franco-German Council of Ministers (FGCM) in Toulon in August 2025 was intended to address the structural challenges affecting the bilateral relationship. Yet it is clear that these ambitions have only been partially translated into concrete action. Since the beginning of 2026, Franco-German relations have entered a phase in which short-term challenges have combined with deeper divergences over priorities, policy approaches, and strategic culture.

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Berlin, October 8, 2026: Federal Chancellor Friedrich Merz welcomes United Kingdom Prime Minister Andrew Burnham
News Agency Germany/Shutterstock
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How can this study be cited?

Nicolai von ONDARZA, « A Partnership Built on Security: Post-Brexit Rapprochement between Germany and the United Kingdom », Papers, Ifri, 12 October 2026.
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