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The Liberal Democrats in the German Federal Elections: A Party Fighting for Survival

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Notes du Cerfa
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The Free Democratic Party FDP, in great difficulty ahead of the early elections in 2025, is trying to recover after the collapse of the coalition with the Social Democratic Party of Germany (SPD) and the Greens. Its wavering position between government and opposition has undermined its credibility, and it is struggling to surpass the 5% threshold.

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Heidelberg, Germany - January 25, 2025: Poster for the Liberal Political party FDP at the Federal Elections 2025
Heidelberg, Germany - January 25, 2025: Poster for the Liberal Political party FDP at the Federal Elections 2025
Firn/Shutterstock.com
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Its program focuses on economic recovery, with tax cuts and a reduction in the role of the state. It has also toughened its stance on immigration to appeal to the Christian Democratic Union (CDU), but its tacit cooperation with the far-right party Alternative for Germany (AfD) has sparked fierce controversy. Despite its ambition to establish itself as a key player, the FDP risks disappearing from the Bundestag, a victim of its lack of consistency and voter distrust.

Jeanette Süß is a researcher at the Study Committee on Franco-German (Cerfa) at the French Institute of International Relations (Ifri), working in particular on the European Union and the Franco-German relations.

 

This publication is available in French (pdf): "Les libéraux-démocrates face aux élections fédérales allemandes : un parti en lutte pour sa survie

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Notes du Cerfa, No. 183, Ifri, February 2025

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Jeanette SÜẞ

Jeanette SÜß

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The Pariser Platz (Paris Square) on the east side of the Brandenburg Gate at Berlin, Germany
The Study Committee on Franco-German Relations (Cerfa)
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The Study Committee on Franco-German Relations (Cerfa) was created in 1954 by an inter-governmental agreement between the Federal Republic of Germany and France, in order to raise awareness of Germany in France and analyze Franco-German relations, including in their European and international dimensions. In its conferences and seminars, which bring together experts, political leaders, senior decision-makers and representatives of civil society from both countries, Cerfa develops the Franco-German debate and stimulates political proposals. It regularly publishes studies through two collections: Cerfa notes and studies as well as Franco-German visions.

 

Cerfa maintains close relations with the network of German foundations and think tanks. In addition to its research and debate activities, Cerfa promotes the emergence of a new Franco-German generation through original cooperation programs. This is how in 2021-2022, Cerfa led a program on multilateralism with the Konrad Adenauer Foundation in Paris. This program is aimed at young professionals from both countries interested in the issues of multilateralism in the context of their activities. It covered a wide range of themes relating to multilateralism, such as international trade, health, human rights and migration, non-proliferation and disarmament. Previously, Cerfa had participated in the Franco-German future dialogue, co-led with the DGAP from 2007 to 2020, and supported by the Robert Bosch Foundation and the Daniel Vernet group (formerly the Franco-German Reflection Group) which was founded in 2014 upon the initiative of the Genshagen Foundation.

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A Franco-German “Reset”? The Ambitions of the Franco-German Council of Ministers. Challenges of Joint Leadership in Europe

Date de publication
27 August 2025
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As a Catholic from the Rhineland, Friedrich Merz is heir to the CDU’s Franco-German policy, from Konrad Adenauer to Helmut Kohl and Wolfgang Schäuble. While Franco-German rhetoric and reflexes are deeply ingrained in him, their results must nevertheless be put into perspective.

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Social Policies in Germany. Assessment of the “Traffic Light” Coalition and Prospects for the New Government

Date de publication
08 July 2025
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Notes du Cerfa, No. 188, Ifri, July 2025 — The defeat of the “traffic light” governing coalition in the snap parliamentary elections of February 2025 calls for an initial – necessarily selective – assessment of the social policies implemented during its term. 

Arnaud LECHEVALIER
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The “Huawei Saga” in Europe Revisited: German Lessons for the Rollout of 6G

Date de publication
02 June 2025
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While the European Union attempted to coordinate a collective response through its 5G Toolbox in Europe’s 5G infrastructure, member states diverged significantly in balancing political, economic, and technological considerations. Germany, despite its economic ties to China and status as Europe’s largest telecom market, only reached a tentative agreement in July 2024—one that appears largely symbolic. 

Tim RÜHLIG
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France, the U.S. Oldest and Most Complicated Ally: A Stubborn Defender of a Truly European Industrial and Defence Policy

Date de publication
10 April 2025
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France, the U.S.’ oldest ally, is also the EU country which most stubbornly defends genuinely European industrial and defence policies. It calls for ‘strategic autonomy’ in all political domains, a position increasingly difficult to hold against a hardening international climate.

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Heidelberg, Germany - January 25, 2025: Poster for the Liberal Political party FDP at the Federal Elections 2025
Firn/Shutterstock.com

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