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Escalation within Continuity: Spain’s Foreign Policy towards Israel and Palestine after October 7th

Memos
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Date de publication
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Accroche

Over the past two years, Spain has emerged as one of the most vocal countries in supporting the Palestinian cause. While Madrid initially aligned with the prevailing European position, recognizing Israel’s right to self-defense after the 7 October attacks, it soon distinguished itself from most European Union (EU) Member States by questioning and later condemning Israel’s conduct of war in Gaza.

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Palestinian flags at the Vuelta Ciclista in Spain
Palestinian flags at the Vuelta Ciclista in Spain
www.mariomartija.es/Shutterstock.com
Table of contents
Table of contents

Titre
Key Takeaways

1
Texte courant

The novelty of Spain’s stance since October 7th, lies not in its core principles, but in the tone, visibility, and policy translation of these commitments.

2
Texte courant

What distinguishes the current phase is that rhetorical escalation has been accompanied by concrete political and legal measures, including sanctions against Israel.

3
Texte courant

While Spain has positioned itself at the forefront of international pressure on Israel, its capacity to shape European policy remains limited by structural constraints within the European Union.

4
Texte courant

A favorable political configuration, sustained civil society mobilization, and permissive public opinion have reduced the political costs of adopting a more assertive stance.

5
Texte courant

Growing political polarization suggests that Spain’s Middle East policy may become increasingly partisan, raising questions about the future of its traditional cross-party consensus.

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As the diplomatic crisis between Madrid and Tel Aviv deepened, Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez hardened his rhetoric, openly calling Israel a “genocidal state”. This rhetorical escalation was translated into concrete measures operating along two parallel tracks: increased pressure on Israel and stronger support for the Palestinians. On the one hand, Spain joined the case brought by South Africa before the International Court of Justice (ICJ), accusing Israel of genocide. On the other hand, it increased aid to Gaza and the Palestinian Authority (PA) and recognized the State of Palestine. These developments culminated with the adoption of several measures against Israel in September 2025, bringing Spain–Israel relations to their lowest point in decades. 

The interplay between these dynamics has reignited debate about the determinants of Spain’s policy vis-à-vis the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Some observers contend that Spain’s stance is consistent with its long-standing sympathy for the Palestinian cause and historically strained relations with Israel. Others point to contextual drivers, including Sánchez’s left-leaning government, a highly sensitized public opinion, a mobilized civil society, and growing polarization. 

This paper argues that, while apparently surprising, Spain’s assertive stance is consistent with its long-standing approach to the Israeli–Palestinian conflict. What is relatively new, however, is the intensity of Spain’s criticism of Israel and the willingness to translate its commitments into concrete political and legal measures.

 

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Escalation within Continuity: Spain’s Foreign Policy towards Israel and Palestine after October 7th

Decoration
Author(s)
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Süleymaniye Mosque, Istanbul, Türkiye
Turkey/Middle East Program
Accroche centre

Ifri's Turkey/Middle East Program aims to provide expertise on the trends and developments in politics, societies and economies across the region.

The programme has the following objectives:

  • Proposing a new approach towards the MENA region through an analysis of local, regional, and international dynamics with the potential to guide and influence new policies.
  • Highlighting the role of foreign powers which have traditionally been present in the region and analyzing the new role taken on by emerging countries ;
  • Anticipating new directions and outlooks in each country.
  • Interpreting risks and potentials and putting forward new templates for analysis.

The programme has built a dense network of researchers and experts who provide expertise on the MENA region and working together on a range of crosscutting themes.

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Australia’s Recognition of Palestine: A Case of Supporting the Status Quo over Accountability

Date de publication
21 April 2026
Accroche

Hamas’s terrorist attacks against Israel on October 7, 2023, killed over a thousand Israelis, altering irrevocably the way the Palestinian/Israeli conflict is viewed internationally. Australia’s government professed profound shock and disgust at Hamas’s attacks, together with its unwavering diplomatic and political support for Israel. But as Israel’s response became more concerned with exacting revenge and as the pretext to fulfill long-held ideological dreams of a Greater Israel, support from Australia became more muted and conditional. This culminated in Australia joining Britain, France, and Canada in formally recognizing a Palestinian state at the United Nations General Assembly meeting in September 2025.

Martin KEAR
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Russia, the Palestinians and Gaza: Adjustments after October 7th

Date de publication
23 February 2026
Accroche

The Soviet Union (USSR), and subsequently the Russian Federation as its internationally recognized legal successor, has consistently sought to play a visible role in efforts to resolve the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.

Dmitry MARYASIS
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Canada’s Recognition of a Palestinian State: What Consequences on its Foreign Policy Toward Palestine?

Date de publication
26 January 2026
Accroche

On September 21, 2025, Canada became the 148th of 157 countries to recognize Palestine as a state. It did this with the United Kingdom (UK) and Australia, defying the United States (US) and Israeli opposition. 

Jeremy Wildeman Justine Dazé
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How to Jumpstart Economic Recovery in Syria? The role of syrian entrepreneurs in Turkey

Date de publication
21 November 2025
Accroche

This report examines the potential role of Syrian-partnered companies operating in Türkiye in supporting economic recovery and reconstruction efforts in Syria. Based on data collected through field research and surveys conducted by the Economic Policy Research Foundation of Türkiye (TEPAV), the report provides an overview of the business characteristics, sectoral distribution, and cross-border economic activities of Syrian entrepreneurs. The report explores how this business activity could contribute to restoring supply chains, stimulating local production, and generating employment.

Güven SAK Ece Berfin ERGEZER
Page image credits
Palestinian flags at the Vuelta Ciclista in Spain
www.mariomartija.es/Shutterstock.com

How can this study be cited?

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Moussa BOUREKBA, « Escalation within Continuity: Spain’s Foreign Policy towards Israel and Palestine after October 7th », Memos, Ifri, 5 May 2026.
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Escalation within Continuity: Spain’s Foreign Policy towards Israel and Palestine after October 7th