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Canada’s Recognition of a Palestinian State: What Consequences on its Foreign Policy Toward Palestine?

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Pro-Israel and Pro-Palestine demonstrators in Toronto, Canada.
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On September 21, 2025, Canada became the 148th of 157 countries to recognize Palestine as a state. It did this with the United Kingdom (UK) and Australia, defying the United States (US) and Israeli opposition. 

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 Pro-Palestinian and Pro-Israel Protests in Toronto, Canada – May 8th, 2024
Pro-Palestinian and Pro-Israel Protests in Toronto, Canada – May 8th, 2024
Shawn Goldberg/Shutterstock.com
Table of contents
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Key Takeaways
  • Recognition is Tactical, not Principled: It is a pragmatic response to domestic pressure and international reputational damage, not a sincere departure from entrenched support for Israel.
  • Legal Consequences: The act breaks policy orthodoxy and comes with binding legal obligations under international law. The test is whether this compels concrete actions.
  • Risk of Hollow Symbolism: Without substantive follow-up (i.e., sanctions, arms embargo), recognition risks rehabilitating Israel’s image and relieving pressure from Canada for meaningful action, without improving conditions for Palestinians.
  • Irreversible Political Shift: Public perceptions have been irrevocably altered. Palestinian rights are now a core political issue. This could force future policy shifts.
  • A Bellwether? Canada’s fracture under domestic pressure raises questions about whether this shift signals a broader policy unravelling among Israel’s closest Western supporters.
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979-10-373-1158-0

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Canada’s Recognition of a Palestinian State: What Consequences on its Foreign Policy Toward Palestine?

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Author(s)
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Süleymaniye Mosque, Istanbul, Türkiye
Turkey/Middle East Program
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Ifri's Turkey/Middle East Program aims to provide expertise on the trends and developments in politics, societies and economies across the region.

The programme has the following objectives:

  • Proposing a new approach towards the MENA region through an analysis of local, regional, and international dynamics with the potential to guide and influence new policies.
  • Highlighting the role of foreign powers which have traditionally been present in the region and analyzing the new role taken on by emerging countries ;
  • Anticipating new directions and outlooks in each country.
  • Interpreting risks and potentials and putting forward new templates for analysis.

The programme has built a dense network of researchers and experts who provide expertise on the MENA region and working together on a range of crosscutting themes.

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Güven SAK Ece Berfin ERGEZER
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During his inaugural presidential speech on October 20, 2024, Indonesia’s incumbent president, Prabowo Subianto, iterated certain principles central to the philosophical foundation of the Indonesian nation. He noted Indonesia’s longstanding foreign policy of non-alignment or “bebas dan aktif” (free and active) and its aversion to military pacts.

Daniel PETERSON
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The intensification of violence in Gaza following Hamas’s 7 October 2023 Al Aqsa Flood attack and Israel’s military response prompted a broader reassessment of global diplomacy. Longstanding geopolitical alignments were disrupted, and questions about humanitarian obligations, institutional accountability, and the limits of state conduct returned to the centre of international debate.

Gustavo DE CARVALHO
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Adıyaman, the “Ownerless City”: Story of a Political Emancipation

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28 March 2025
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Over the past two years, the city of Adıyaman has made headlines for two major reasons: first, its devastation by the earthquake of February 6, 2023, which struck between Turkey and Syria, and second, its significant political shift following the municipal elections of March 31, 2024. 

Giulia FOURNIER
Page image credits
Pro-Palestinian and Pro-Israel Protests in Toronto, Canada – May 8th, 2024
Shawn Goldberg/Shutterstock.com

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Pro-Israel and Pro-Palestine demonstrators in Toronto, Canada.
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Pro-Israel and Pro-Palestine demonstrators in Toronto, Canada.

Canada’s Recognition of a Palestinian State: What Consequences on its Foreign Policy Toward Palestine?