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Canada’s Recognition of a Palestinian State: What Consequences on its Foreign Policy Toward Palestine?

Memos
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Date de publication
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Pro-Israel and Pro-Palestine demonstrators in Toronto, Canada.
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On September 21, 2025, Canada became the 148th of 157 countries to recognize Palestine as a state. It did this with the United Kingdom (UK) and Australia, defying the United States (US) and Israeli opposition. 

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 Pro-Palestinian and Pro-Israel Protests in Toronto, Canada – May 8th, 2024
Pro-Palestinian and Pro-Israel Protests in Toronto, Canada – May 8th, 2024
Shawn Goldberg/Shutterstock.com
Table of contents
Table of contents
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Key Takeaways
  • Recognition is Tactical, not Principled: It is a pragmatic response to domestic pressure and international reputational damage, not a sincere departure from entrenched support for Israel.
  • Legal Consequences: The act breaks policy orthodoxy and comes with binding legal obligations under international law. The test is whether this compels concrete actions.
  • Risk of Hollow Symbolism: Without substantive follow-up (i.e., sanctions, arms embargo), recognition risks rehabilitating Israel’s image and relieving pressure from Canada for meaningful action, without improving conditions for Palestinians.
  • Irreversible Political Shift: Public perceptions have been irrevocably altered. Palestinian rights are now a core political issue. This could force future policy shifts.
  • A Bellwether? Canada’s fracture under domestic pressure raises questions about whether this shift signals a broader policy unravelling among Israel’s closest Western supporters.
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979-10-373-1158-0

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Canada’s Recognition of a Palestinian State: What Consequences on its Foreign Policy Toward Palestine?

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Author(s)
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Süleymaniye Mosque, Istanbul, Türkiye
Turkey/Middle East Program
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Ifri's Turkey/Middle East Program aims to provide expertise on the trends and developments in politics, societies and economies across the region.

The programme has the following objectives:

  • Proposing a new approach towards the MENA region through an analysis of local, regional, and international dynamics with the potential to guide and influence new policies.
  • Highlighting the role of foreign powers which have traditionally been present in the region and analyzing the new role taken on by emerging countries ;
  • Anticipating new directions and outlooks in each country.
  • Interpreting risks and potentials and putting forward new templates for analysis.

The programme has built a dense network of researchers and experts who provide expertise on the MENA region and working together on a range of crosscutting themes.

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Escalation within Continuity: Spain’s Foreign Policy towards Israel and Palestine after October 7th

Date de publication
05 May 2026
Accroche

Over the past two years, Spain has emerged as one of the most vocal countries in supporting the Palestinian cause. While Madrid initially aligned with the prevailing European position, recognizing Israel’s right to self-defense after the 7 October attacks, it soon distinguished itself from most European Union (EU) Member States by questioning and later condemning Israel’s conduct of war in Gaza.

Moussa BOUREKBA
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Australia’s Recognition of Palestine: A Case of Supporting the Status Quo over Accountability

Date de publication
21 April 2026
Accroche

Hamas’s terrorist attacks against Israel on October 7, 2023, killed over a thousand Israelis, altering irrevocably the way the Palestinian/Israeli conflict is viewed internationally. Australia’s government professed profound shock and disgust at Hamas’s attacks, together with its unwavering diplomatic and political support for Israel. But as Israel’s response became more concerned with exacting revenge and as the pretext to fulfill long-held ideological dreams of a Greater Israel, support from Australia became more muted and conditional. This culminated in Australia joining Britain, France, and Canada in formally recognizing a Palestinian state at the United Nations General Assembly meeting in September 2025.

Martin KEAR
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Russia, the Palestinians and Gaza: Adjustments after October 7th

Date de publication
23 February 2026
Accroche

The Soviet Union (USSR), and subsequently the Russian Federation as its internationally recognized legal successor, has consistently sought to play a visible role in efforts to resolve the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.

Dmitry MARYASIS
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How to Jumpstart Economic Recovery in Syria? The role of syrian entrepreneurs in Turkey

Date de publication
21 November 2025
Accroche

This report examines the potential role of Syrian-partnered companies operating in Türkiye in supporting economic recovery and reconstruction efforts in Syria. Based on data collected through field research and surveys conducted by the Economic Policy Research Foundation of Türkiye (TEPAV), the report provides an overview of the business characteristics, sectoral distribution, and cross-border economic activities of Syrian entrepreneurs. The report explores how this business activity could contribute to restoring supply chains, stimulating local production, and generating employment.

Güven SAK Ece Berfin ERGEZER
Page image credits
Pro-Palestinian and Pro-Israel Protests in Toronto, Canada – May 8th, 2024
Shawn Goldberg/Shutterstock.com

How can this study be cited?

Image de couverture de la publication
Pro-Israel and Pro-Palestine demonstrators in Toronto, Canada.
Jeremy Wildeman, Justine Dazé, « Canada’s Recognition of a Palestinian State: What Consequences on its Foreign Policy Toward Palestine? », Memos, Ifri, 26 January 2026.
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Image de couverture de la publication
Pro-Israel and Pro-Palestine demonstrators in Toronto, Canada.

Canada’s Recognition of a Palestinian State: What Consequences on its Foreign Policy Toward Palestine?