East Asia Confronted with China
China is now an undeniable heavyweight on the international scene, wielding a remarkable range of political strategies. Studying its position in the surrounding area of Southeast Asia in relation to Japan, Korea, Taiwan, and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) countries, as well as Australia, gives us an understanding of both the strength and the limits of such a diverse range of actions.
Military aggression in the China Seas, seduction by way of vaccines, economic control, investments wielded as tools of influence, attempts at political takeover, the marginalization of outside (i.e., Western) players in favor of organizations based within the region . . . anything goes in China’s bid to reinforce the centrality of its power in the face of states that are torn between their interests in neighboring countries and their desire for independence. The balance of power in Southeast Asia could well be symbolic of the world to come.
COVID-19 has not upset the geopolitical rationales at work across the world: the geography of vaccine distribution clearly shows it. This distribution, which broadly corresponds with the assertiveness of global powers in their respective zones of influence, reveals a geopolitics of immunity. On the other hand, the general consensus of those who have relied upon globalization up to now has been called into question, in particular with regard to the sustainability of public debt. How will they close the floodgates that were opened during the public funding crisis? Will the debts that were created therein be paid back, and if so, how?
This issue is available in French only.
CASE FILE
EASTERN ASIA CONFRONTED WITH CHINA
China/Japan: Redefining Coexistence, by Céline Pajon
China/South Korea: Mutual Frustration, by Antoine Bondaz
Beijing: Taiwan's Worst and Greatest Enemy, by Marc Julienne and John Seaman
China and South-East Asia: Has the Die Been Cast, by Sophie Boisseau du Rocher
Australian Resistance in response to China, by Nadège Rolland
COUNTER ANALYSIS
HOW TO DEAL WITH DEBT?
Is Public Debt a Problem?, by François Geerolf and Pierre Jacquet
Public Debt Outlook, by François Ecalle
CURRENT AFFAIRS
COVID-19: The Geopolitics of Herd Immunity, by Patrick Allard (In French only - COVID-19 : géopolitique de l'immunité collective)
How Can American Democracy Be Fixed?, by Laurence Nardon
BAROMETERS
Strait of Hormuz: The War of Nerves, by Morgan Paglia (In French only - Détroit d'Ormuz : la guerre des nerfs)
Dubai's Model Versus Abu Dhabi's Centralism, by Matthieu Etourneau
Are the two Koreas Perpetually Moving Towards Peace?, by Rémy Hémez
REFLECTIONS
Europe: Power and Finance, by Sylvie Goulard
BOOK REVIEWS
Toxic Politics: China’s Environmental Health Crisis and Its Challenge to the Chinese State, by Yanzhong Huang
China Goes Green : Coercive Environmentalism for a Troubled Planet, by Yifei Li et Judith Shapiro
By John Seaman
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East Asia Confronted with China
Iran: Anatomy of a Power at War
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“Remodeling” the Middle East?
Chaos continues to spread, seemingly without end, across the Middle East. The Israeli-American attack on Iran has resulted in a clear military and diplomatic failure, but it is paving the way for a regional realignment, the consequences of which remain uncertain. New regional groupings are taking shape, either centered around Israel or built on the prospect of coexistence with Tehran, alongside a decline in American influence and the marginalization of Europe, while China maintains a low-key presence.
Silicon Valley and War: Lessons from Ukraine
Over the course of international conflicts, and particularly in Ukraine, major tech companies have emerged as central actors. Initially subject to wartime maneuvering, they have since become decisive actors in their own right, privatizing a significant share of wartime exchanges, shaping the information flows of societies, and presenting themselves as providers of security. This situation raises important questions about states’ autonomy in making decisions and taking action.
Does Artificial Intelligence Change the Nature of War?
From Gaza to Ukraine and Iran, current conflicts are being shaped by the arrival of artificial intelligence and robots on the battlefield. The changes under way are so profound that humans risk rapidly losing control over entire aspects of the conduct of military operations. While these technological developments are altering the character of war, their impact on the very nature of war itself remains a matter of debate.