Strait of Hormuz: The War of Nerves
In the event of a major conflict, Iran could decide to close the Strait of Hormuz, which would cause a global energy crisis.
La République islamique a les moyens militaires d'imposer temporairement un tel blocus, mais sa capacité à le faire durer pose question. Pour faire face à l'escalade qu'engendrerait cette décision, elle devrait sans doute recourir aux autres éléments de sa « triade dissuasive » : le terrorisme et l'embrasement régional par l'intermédiaire de ses proxies.
Morgan Paglia est doctorant à l'Institut catholique de Paris et à l'École pratique des hautes études.
Article publié dans Politique étrangère, vol. 86, n° 2, été 2021
Morgan PAGLIA
Former Research Fellow, Security Studies Center
Security Studies Center
Heir to a tradition dating back to the founding of Ifri, the Security Studies Center provides public and private decision-makers as well as the general public with the keys to understanding power relations and contemporary modes of conflict as well as those to come. Through its positioning at the juncture of politics and operations, the credibility of its civil-military team and the wide distribution of its publications in French and English, the Center for Security Studies constitutes in the French landscape of think tanks a unique center of research and influence on the national and international defense debate.
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