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Strait of Hormuz: The War of Nerves

Politique étrangère Articles from Politique Etrangère
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Politique étrangère, Vol. 86, No. 2, Summer 2021
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In the event of a major conflict, Iran could decide to close the Strait of Hormuz, which would cause a global energy crisis.

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La République islamique a les moyens militaires d'imposer temporairement un tel blocus, mais sa capacité à le faire durer pose question. Pour faire face à l'escalade qu'engendrerait cette décision, elle devrait sans doute recourir aux autres éléments de sa « triade dissuasive » : le terrorisme et l'embrasement régional par l'intermédiaire de ses proxies.

Morgan Paglia est doctorant à l'Institut catholique de Paris et à l'École pratique des hautes études.

Article publié dans Politique étrangère, vol. 86, n° 2, été 2021

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Morgan PAGLIA

Intitulé du poste

Former Research Fellow, Security Studies Center

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Security Studies Center
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Heir to a tradition dating back to the founding of Ifri, the Security Studies Center provides public and private decision-makers as well as the general public with the keys to understanding power relations and contemporary modes of conflict as well as those to come. Through its positioning at the juncture of politics and operations, the credibility of its civil-military team and the wide distribution of its publications in French and English, the Center for Security Studies constitutes in the French landscape of think tanks a unique center of research and influence on the national and international defense debate.

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Strategic Shift in NATO’s Support for Ukraine. A Study of NSATU and PURL Initiatives

Date de publication
04 June 2026
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This study analyzes a significant transformation in NATO’s practical support to Ukraine, marked by the establishment of the NATO Security Assistance and Training for Ukraine (NSATU) mission and the Prioritized Ukraine Requirements List (PURL) funding mechanism.

Iryna KRASNOSHTAN
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French Forward Deterrence: What Is in It for the Baltic States?

Date de publication
25 May 2026
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For what may be its most significant stress test since the end of the Cold War, European deterrence is under strain. Russia’s war against Ukraine has demonstrated Moscow’s willingness to use force and its ability to combine conventional operations with nuclear signalling, coercive rhetoric, and hybrid actions. At the same time, the gradual deterioration of transatlantic relations has revived concerns about the reliability of extended deterrence.

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Europe at the Crossroads of DefTech: Rethinking the European Defense Innovation Ecosystem

Date de publication
16 February 2026
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“The way I look at Iron Dome is as the ultimate manifestation of the future of the United States’ role in future conflicts, which is not to be the world police, but to be the world gun store,” said Palmer Luckey in November 2023. Luckey is the founder of Anduril, one of the most prominent DefTech companies. The ambition is clear: to participate in global rearmament by capitalizing on the quality of American innovations and to dominate the arms market—at least in the West—through technological mastery.

Alexandre PAPAEMMANUEL Laure de ROUCY-ROCHEGONDE
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Taking the Pulse: Is France’s New Nuclear Doctrine Ambitious Enough?

Date de publication
12 March 2026
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French President Emmanuel Macron has unveiled his country’s new nuclear doctrine. Are the changes he has made enough to reassure France’s European partners in the current geopolitical context?

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politique étrangère, asie de  l'est face a la chine, que faire de la dette couverture
Morgan PAGLIA, « Strait of Hormuz: The War of Nerves », Politique étrangère, Articles from Politique Etrangère, Ifri, 7 June 2021.
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