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Overwhelmed: Germany’s Israel Policy after October 7th

Memos
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Date de publication
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Accroche

Few countries have been as profoundly affected by the attacks of October 7th and the subsequent Gaza war as Germany. This is not merely a political controversy. It reflects a deeper structural problem: German-Israel policy has long rested on two guiding principles—a particular historical responsibility toward Israel derived from the Holocaust, and a firm commitment to universalist norms, above all international law and human rights.

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Munich, Germany - May 18, 2024: Protest banners and activists at a demonstration for peace in Gaza
Munich, Germany - May 18, 2024: Protest banners and activists at a demonstration for peace in Gaza
FooTToo/Shutterstock.com
Table of contents
Table of contents

Titre
Key Takeaways

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German-Israel policy has long rested on two guiding principles—historical responsibility toward Israel and a commitment to universalist norms—whose tension was managed, but never resolved, through the framework of the two-state solution.

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The attacks of October 7th and the subsequent Gaza war did not create this tension, but fundamentally altered the conditions under which it could be managed, effectively overwhelming the established policy framework.

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The result has been a pattern of oscillation, deferral, and selective emphasis—visible across in shifting arms deliveries, ambivalent positions on international legal proceedings, the two-state solution, and Germany’s response to regional escalation.

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As a result, Germany increasingly maintains its commitments at a declaratory level, avoiding decisions that would clarify how these identity-based principles apply in practice.

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Tensions between these principles were long managed through a shared political horizon, most notably the two-state solution—a framework the events of October 7th have profoundly shaken. What has emerged in its place is a pattern of oscillation, selective emphasis, and the postponement of difficult decisions—visible across arms deliveries, international legal proceedings, and responses to regional escalation.

German policy on Israel has long been structured around two guiding principles embedded in the Federal Republic’s post-war identity. On the one hand, there is a particular commitment to Israel derived from the Holocaust, often framed as Staatsräson: Israel’s security forms part of Germany’s raison d’état. As Chancellor Angela Merkel (Christian Democratic Union of Germany, CDU) put it in 2008, “Every federal government and every chancellor before me has been committed to Germany’s special historical responsibility for Israel’s security. This historical responsibility is part of my country’s raison d’état.

This relationship has also been reflexive: Israel became not only an object of foreign policy, but a reference point for Germany’s political self-understanding. In 2018, former Social Democratic Party of Germany (SPD) chairman Martin Schulz stated: “With the existence of Israel and the recognition of its security, our country symbolizes a definitive departure from the crimes and the mindset of the criminals who plunged our country and the world into misery. (…) In protecting Israel, we protect from the demons of our own people’s past”.

On the other hand, German foreign policy is firmly anchored in universalist norms—above all international law and human rights—which are themselves prominently enshrined in the Grundgesetz (Fundamental Law). German governments have consistently emphasized that their policy toward Israel is embedded in this broader commitment. This also enabled criticism of Israeli policies, including on settlements and Palestinian political rights.
 

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Overwhelmed: Germany’s Israel Policy after October 7th

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Author(s)
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Süleymaniye Mosque, Istanbul, Türkiye
Turkey/Middle East Program
Accroche centre

Ifri's Turkey/Middle East Program aims to provide expertise on the trends and developments in politics, societies and economies across the region.

The programme has the following objectives:

  • Proposing a new approach towards the MENA region through an analysis of local, regional, and international dynamics with the potential to guide and influence new policies.
  • Highlighting the role of foreign powers which have traditionally been present in the region and analyzing the new role taken on by emerging countries ;
  • Anticipating new directions and outlooks in each country.
  • Interpreting risks and potentials and putting forward new templates for analysis.

The programme has built a dense network of researchers and experts who provide expertise on the MENA region and working together on a range of crosscutting themes.

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Escalation within Continuity: Spain’s Foreign Policy towards Israel and Palestine after October 7th

Date de publication
05 May 2026
Accroche

Over the past two years, Spain has emerged as one of the most vocal countries in supporting the Palestinian cause. While Madrid initially aligned with the prevailing European position, recognizing Israel’s right to self-defense after the 7 October attacks, it soon distinguished itself from most European Union (EU) Member States by questioning and later condemning Israel’s conduct of war in Gaza.

Moussa BOUREKBA
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Australia’s Recognition of Palestine: A Case of Supporting the Status Quo over Accountability

Date de publication
21 April 2026
Accroche

Hamas’s terrorist attacks against Israel on October 7, 2023, killed over a thousand Israelis, altering irrevocably the way the Palestinian/Israeli conflict is viewed internationally. Australia’s government professed profound shock and disgust at Hamas’s attacks, together with its unwavering diplomatic and political support for Israel. But as Israel’s response became more concerned with exacting revenge and as the pretext to fulfill long-held ideological dreams of a Greater Israel, support from Australia became more muted and conditional. This culminated in Australia joining Britain, France, and Canada in formally recognizing a Palestinian state at the United Nations General Assembly meeting in September 2025.

Martin KEAR
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Russia, the Palestinians and Gaza: Adjustments after October 7th

Date de publication
23 February 2026
Accroche

The Soviet Union (USSR), and subsequently the Russian Federation as its internationally recognized legal successor, has consistently sought to play a visible role in efforts to resolve the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.

Dmitry MARYASIS
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Canada’s Recognition of a Palestinian State: What Consequences on its Foreign Policy Toward Palestine?

Date de publication
26 January 2026
Accroche

On September 21, 2025, Canada became the 148th of 157 countries to recognize Palestine as a state. It did this with the United Kingdom (UK) and Australia, defying the United States (US) and Israeli opposition. 

Jeremy Wildeman Justine Dazé
Page image credits
Munich, Germany - May 18, 2024: Protest banners and activists at a demonstration for peace in Gaza
FooTToo/Shutterstock.com

How can this study be cited?

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Peter LINTL, « Overwhelmed: Germany’s Israel Policy after October 7th », Memos, Ifri, 1 June 2026.
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Overwhelmed: Germany’s Israel Policy after October 7th