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Japan’s Takaichi Landslide: A New Face of Power

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Asie Visions
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Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi has turned her exceptional popularity into a historic political victory. The snap elections of February 8 delivered an overwhelming majority for the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), driven by strong support from young voters, drawn to her iconoclastic and dynamic image, and from conservative voters reassured by her vision of national assertiveness. This popularity lays the foundation for an ambitious strategy on both the domestic and international fronts.

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Le président américain Barack Obama et le Premier ministre japonais Shinzo Abe lors d’une cérémonie à Hiroshima en mai 2016.
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On the diplomatic front, Takaichi has adopted a firm stance toward China, warning of the risk of a blockade of the Taiwan Strait and resisting Beijing’s economic and diplomatic pressure. At the same time, she is consolidating the alliance with the United States under the second Trump administration by deepening military and economic integration, while diversifying Japan’s strategic partnerships to guard against the risks of excessive dependence.


Security and defense lie at the core of her strategy. Defense spending is set to rise to 2% of gross domestic product (GDP) as early as 2026 and expand further; constitutional and legal constraints on arms exports and the hosting of nuclear-related capabilities are to be eased; and the defense industry is being promoted as both a driver of growth and a lever of strategic autonomy. Together, these measures aim to strengthen deterrence and advance Japan’s military normalization.

Economically, Takaichi seeks to secure Japan’s autonomy and resilience by investing in strategic sectors such as semiconductors, aerospace, space, and defense, while also stimulating domestic consumption. Japan thus positions itself as a solid and reliable partner for France and Europe, capable of playing a central role in the Indo-Pacific and of contributing to a rebalancing of the international order in the face of regional and global hegemons.

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Japan’s Takaichi Landslide: A New Face of Power

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Author(s)
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Céline PAJON

Céline PAJON

Intitulé du poste

Research Fellow, Head of Japan and Indo-Pacific Research, Center for Asian Studies, Ifri

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Center for Asian Studies
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Asia is a nerve center for multiple global economic, political and security challenges. The Center for Asian Studies provides documented expertise and a platform for discussion on Asian issues to accompany decision makers and explain and contextualize developments in the region for the sake of a larger public dialogue.

The Center's research is organized along two major axes: relations between Asia's major powers and the rest of the world; and internal economic and social dynamics of Asian countries. The Center's research focuses primarily on China, Japan, India, Taiwan and the Indo-Pacific, but also covers Southeast Asia, the Korean peninsula and the Pacific Islands. 

The Centre for Asian Studies maintains close institutional links with counterpart research institutes in Europe and Asia, and its researchers regularly carry out fieldwork in the region.

The Center organizes closed-door roundtables, expert-level seminars and a number of public events, including an Annual Conference, that welcome experts from Asia, Europe and the United States. The work of Center’s researchers, as well as that of their partners, is regularly published in the Center’s electronic journal Asie.Visions.

France’s View: From Diplomacy to Public-Private Action

Date de publication
25 September 2026
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France has emerged as the EU’s IMEC forerunner, combining port infrastructure, diplomatic alliances and public-private cooperation. With Marseille Fos at its core, the country brings a strategic hub for logistics, energy and digital connectivity to the corridor.

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Trump II, the Crisis of the Rules-Based Order and Europe’s Indo-Pacific Strategy

Date de publication
10 September 2026
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This article examines the implications of Trump II for Europe’s engagement in the Indo-Pacific. The piece contends that Trump II is accelerating the erosion of the rules-based order and undermining the relevance of the Free and Open Indo-Pacific (FOIP) concept, while forcing Europe to refocus on its own continental security amid US retrenchment. Paradoxically, these very constraints create conditions for a more autonomous, pragmatic, and explicitly interest-driven European engagement in the Indo-Pacific, rather than outright withdrawal.

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China and Trade in CRMs

China and Trade in Critical Raw Materials (CRMs)

Date de publication
15 September 2026
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Critical raw materials (CRMs) have become central features of a new dynamic in global power politics, with China now wielding considerable leverage. Amid rising regional and global uncertainty, resource security is back in the spotlight as a key determinant of sovereignty and national security for Europe, its allies and its partners. The very survival of key, even vital industries, from automotive to aerospace to health to energy to defense, is at stake.

John SEAMAN Vincent DONNEN Wouter JACOBS
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Japan’s Energy Policy after Hormuz. Security, Competitiveness, and Decarbonization

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04 September 2026
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The 2026 Hormuz crisis has strengthened rather than weakened the rationale for Japan’s decarbonization strategy, contrary to what might have been expected. Rather than energy policy supplanting climate policy, the two should actually be viewed as inseparable.

Takashi Hattori
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Céline PAJON, « Japan’s Takaichi Landslide: A New Face of Power », Papers, Asie Visions, Ifri, 11 February 2026.
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Japan’s Takaichi Landslide: A New Face of Power