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Japan’s Takaichi Landslide: A New Face of Power

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Asie Visions
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Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi has turned her exceptional popularity into a historic political victory. The snap elections of February 8 delivered an overwhelming majority for the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), driven by strong support from young voters, drawn to her iconoclastic and dynamic image, and from conservative voters reassured by her vision of national assertiveness. This popularity lays the foundation for an ambitious strategy on both the domestic and international fronts.

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House of Representatives election in Tokyo,Japan - 8 FEB 2026. Liberal Democratic Party supporter seen holding a poster of Party President Sanae Takaichi in Ginza
House of Representatives election in Tokyo,Japan - 8 FEB 2026. Liberal Democratic Party supporter seen holding a poster of Party President Sanae Takaichi in Ginza
James Matsumoto/SOPA Images/Shutterstock
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On the diplomatic front, Takaichi has adopted a firm stance toward China, warning of the risk of a blockade of the Taiwan Strait and resisting Beijing’s economic and diplomatic pressure. At the same time, she is consolidating the alliance with the United States under the second Trump administration by deepening military and economic integration, while diversifying Japan’s strategic partnerships to guard against the risks of excessive dependence.


Security and defense lie at the core of her strategy. Defense spending is set to rise to 2% of gross domestic product (GDP) as early as 2026 and expand further; constitutional and legal constraints on arms exports and the hosting of nuclear-related capabilities are to be eased; and the defense industry is being promoted as both a driver of growth and a lever of strategic autonomy. Together, these measures aim to strengthen deterrence and advance Japan’s military normalization.

Economically, Takaichi seeks to secure Japan’s autonomy and resilience by investing in strategic sectors such as semiconductors, aerospace, space, and defense, while also stimulating domestic consumption. Japan thus positions itself as a solid and reliable partner for France and Europe, capable of playing a central role in the Indo-Pacific and of contributing to a rebalancing of the international order in the face of regional and global hegemons.

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Japan’s Takaichi Landslide: A New Face of Power

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Author(s)
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Céline PAJON

Céline PAJON

Intitulé du poste

Research Fellow, Head of Japan and Indo-Pacific Research, Center for Asian Studies, Ifri

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Center for Asian Studies
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Asia is a nerve center for multiple global economic, political and security challenges. The Center for Asian Studies provides documented expertise and a platform for discussion on Asian issues to accompany decision makers and explain and contextualize developments in the region for the sake of a larger public dialogue.

The Center's research is organized along two major axes: relations between Asia's major powers and the rest of the world; and internal economic and social dynamics of Asian countries. The Center's research focuses primarily on China, Japan, India, Taiwan and the Indo-Pacific, but also covers Southeast Asia, the Korean peninsula and the Pacific Islands. 

The Centre for Asian Studies maintains close institutional links with counterpart research institutes in Europe and Asia, and its researchers regularly carry out fieldwork in the region.

The Center organizes closed-door roundtables, expert-level seminars and a number of public events, including an Annual Conference, that welcome experts from Asia, Europe and the United States. The work of Center’s researchers, as well as that of their partners, is regularly published in the Center’s electronic journal Asie.Visions.

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Crisis in the Strait of Hormuz. A Stress Test for Taiwan with Global Implications

Date de publication
17 April 2026
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The large-scale military operation carried out by the United States (US) and Israel against Iran triggered an Iranian retaliation that resulted in the partial destruction of natural gas liquefaction infrastructure and severe disruption of maritime traffic in the Strait of Hormuz. The economies of East Asia—South Korea, Japan, and Taiwan in particular—are highly exposed to this crisis due to their reliance on liquefied natural gas (LNG) imports for electricity generation.

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Emmanuel Macron in Japan and South Korea: A Historic Opportunity for Euro-Asian Rapprochement

Date de publication
02 April 2026
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President Emmanuel Macron is touring Japan and South Korea at a time when the interests of these three countries have never been more aligned, and more broadly between Europe and East Asian democracies.

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Afghanistan-Pakistan: The Overlooked War at the Margins of the Middle East Conflict

Date de publication
31 March 2026
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Pakistan has historically maintained the closest ties to the Taliban movement and initially viewed its return to power in Afghanistan in the summer of 2021 with considerable optimism. The bilateral relationship has since deteriorated, and the two neighbors have been caught in a cycle of escalation since last fall. In October 2025, Pakistan launched its first airstrikes on Kabul. For three weeks in February–March 2026, Afghanistan intensified ground assaults on the Pakistani side of the border as well as drone attacks on Islamabad and Rawalpindi. Pakistan, for its part, has intensified airstrikes on Afghan border areas, as well as on Kabul and Kandahar. Given the dynamics at play at the bilateral and regional levels, the prospects for a sustained return to stability appear limited.

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European Union-India: Lasting Rapprochement or Partnership of Convenience?

Date de publication
26 February 2026
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The partnership between the European Union (EU) and India has long been limited to economic exchanges. Its political dimension has gradually developed, culminating in its elevation to the status of a “strategic partnership” in 2004. However, the failure of negotiations for a free-trade agreement in 2013 slowed this momentum. Since the early 2020s, in an uncertain geopolitical context, bilateral rapprochement has gained new momentum.

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House of Representatives election in Tokyo,Japan - 8 FEB 2026. Liberal Democratic Party supporter seen holding a poster of Party President Sanae Takaichi in Ginza
James Matsumoto/SOPA Images/Shutterstock

How can this study be cited?

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Céline PAJON, « Japan’s Takaichi Landslide: A New Face of Power », Papers, Asie Visions, Ifri, 11 February 2026.
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Japan’s Takaichi Landslide: A New Face of Power