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Japan’s Takaichi Landslide: A New Face of Power

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Asie Visions
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Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi has turned her exceptional popularity into a historic political victory. The snap elections of February 8 delivered an overwhelming majority for the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), driven by strong support from young voters, drawn to her iconoclastic and dynamic image, and from conservative voters reassured by her vision of national assertiveness. This popularity lays the foundation for an ambitious strategy on both the domestic and international fronts.

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Le président américain Barack Obama et le Premier ministre japonais Shinzo Abe lors d’une cérémonie à Hiroshima en mai 2016.
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On the diplomatic front, Takaichi has adopted a firm stance toward China, warning of the risk of a blockade of the Taiwan Strait and resisting Beijing’s economic and diplomatic pressure. At the same time, she is consolidating the alliance with the United States under the second Trump administration by deepening military and economic integration, while diversifying Japan’s strategic partnerships to guard against the risks of excessive dependence.


Security and defense lie at the core of her strategy. Defense spending is set to rise to 2% of gross domestic product (GDP) as early as 2026 and expand further; constitutional and legal constraints on arms exports and the hosting of nuclear-related capabilities are to be eased; and the defense industry is being promoted as both a driver of growth and a lever of strategic autonomy. Together, these measures aim to strengthen deterrence and advance Japan’s military normalization.

Economically, Takaichi seeks to secure Japan’s autonomy and resilience by investing in strategic sectors such as semiconductors, aerospace, space, and defense, while also stimulating domestic consumption. Japan thus positions itself as a solid and reliable partner for France and Europe, capable of playing a central role in the Indo-Pacific and of contributing to a rebalancing of the international order in the face of regional and global hegemons.

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Japan’s Takaichi Landslide: A New Face of Power

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Céline PAJON

Céline PAJON

Intitulé du poste

Research Fellow, Head of Japan and Indo-Pacific Research, Center for Asian Studies, Ifri

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Center for Asian Studies
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Asia is a nerve center for multiple global economic, political and security challenges. The Center for Asian Studies provides documented expertise and a platform for discussion on Asian issues to accompany decision makers and explain and contextualize developments in the region for the sake of a larger public dialogue.

The Center's research is organized along two major axes: relations between Asia's major powers and the rest of the world; and internal economic and social dynamics of Asian countries. The Center's research focuses primarily on China, Japan, India, Taiwan and the Indo-Pacific, but also covers Southeast Asia, the Korean peninsula and the Pacific Islands. 

The Centre for Asian Studies maintains close institutional links with counterpart research institutes in Europe and Asia, and its researchers regularly carry out fieldwork in the region.

The Center organizes closed-door roundtables, expert-level seminars and a number of public events, including an Annual Conference, that welcome experts from Asia, Europe and the United States. The work of Center’s researchers, as well as that of their partners, is regularly published in the Center’s electronic journal Asie.Visions.

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Space Security and Missile Defense : Japan's Quest for Autonomy and Indispensability

Date de publication
10 November 2026
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Seeking greater autonomy without loosening its alliance with the United States, Japan has steadily turned space into a pillar of its defense, building sovereign capabilities that also make it an indispensable partner, to Washington and beyond. This approach raises questions for Europe, whose ties with Japan are multiplying but which has yet to define what it can concretely bring to Tokyo, particularly in missile warning.

Nanae Baldauff
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China’s Climate Leadership after Hormuz: How Should Europe Adjust?

China’s Climate Leadership after Hormuz: How Should Europe Adjust?

Date de publication
26 October 2026
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The effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz in early 2026 offered an unplanned stress test of China’s approach to energy security, and China passed it far better than most expected. The episode demonstrated that the underlying risk of supply disruption is real, while validating a preference for resilience and resource security that has long underpinned Chinese energy and climate policy and has now been reinforced under the banner of building an “energy powerhouse.”

China as an ambivalent supporter of the WTO and the multilateral trading system

Date de publication
25 September 2026
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Amid rising trade tensions between Europe and China and broader uncertainty in the international rules-based trade regime, Beijing has worked to preserve and bolster the multilateral trading system while at the same time failing to reform the domestic policies that have served to undermine that same system.    

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Canada in the Indo-Pacific: Sustaining the Pivot, Partnering with France

Date de publication
02 November 2026
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Since the launch of Canada’s inaugural Indo-Pacific Strategy (IPS) in November 2022, Ottawa has moved—with notable but uneven momentum—from the margins of regional engagement to a position of growing strategic visibility. The Strategy, backed by an initial $2.3 billion five-year investment, reflects a long-overdue recognition: Canada is a Pacific nation whose prosperity and security are inextricably linked to the stability of the world’s most economically and strategically consequential region.

Jonathan Berkshire Miller
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Céline PAJON, « Japan’s Takaichi Landslide: A New Face of Power », Papers, Asie Visions, Ifri, 11 February 2026.
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Japan’s Takaichi Landslide: A New Face of Power