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The Americas are undergoing profound changes. While the hegemony of the United States is being called into question, Latin America, for its part, is raising issues specific to its territory, and possesses significant development potential.

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Couverture de Politique étrangère 1-2026

The Global Economy: Caught in the Storm / Politique étrangère, Vol. 91, No. 1, 2026

Date de publication
05 March 2026
Accroche

The global economy has become the primary arena for the clash of power ambitions in a world where understanding, coordination, and concerted multilateralism seem to have been permanently marginalized. In this fragmented landscape, how will American and Chinese strategies interact? Will the European Union manage to break out of its decades-old framework in order to face new competition? And will it be able, like others, to integrate the announced shift from a production economy to a digital, information economy? And what role will financial institutions, and central banks in particular, play in this transitioning international economy?

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The U.S. Policy Toward Taiwan Beyond Donald Trump: Mapping the American Stakeholders of U.S.-Taiwan Relations

Date de publication
17 February 2026
Accroche

Donald Trump’s return to the White House reintroduced acute uncertainty into the security commitment of the United States (U.S.) to Taiwan. Unlike President Joe Biden, who repeatedly stated the determination to defend Taiwan, President Trump refrains from commenting on the hypothetical U.S. response in the context of a cross-Strait crisis.

Marc JULIENNE Peter CHU
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Europe at the Crossroads of DefTech: Rethinking the European Defense Innovation Ecosystem

Date de publication
16 February 2026
Accroche

“The way I look at Iron Dome is as the ultimate manifestation of the future of the United States’ role in future conflicts, which is not to be the world police, but to be the world gun store,” said Palmer Luckey in November 2023. Luckey is the founder of Anduril, one of the most prominent DefTech companies. The ambition is clear: to participate in global rearmament by capitalizing on the quality of American innovations and to dominate the arms market—at least in the West—through technological mastery.

Alexandre PAPAEMMANUEL Laure de ROUCY-ROCHEGONDE

Mind the Deterrence Gap: Assessing Europe’s Nuclear Options

Date de publication
11 February 2026
Accroche

Europe must urgently confront a new nuclear reality. In recent years, Russia’s nuclear-backed revisionism has reintroduced nuclear coercion and the threat of nuclear escalation to the continent, underscoring the importance of credible nuclear deterrence. At the same time, Europe’s traditional reliance on US extended nuclear deterrence appears politically more fragile than at any point since the Cold War. Together, these developments require Europeans to think about their nuclear options.

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Canada’s Recognition of a Palestinian State: What Consequences on its Foreign Policy Toward Palestine?

Date de publication
26 January 2026
Accroche

On September 21, 2025, Canada became the 148th of 157 countries to recognize Palestine as a state. It did this with the United Kingdom (UK) and Australia, defying the United States (US) and Israeli opposition. 

Jeremy Wildeman Justine Dazé

New Cold War? What New Cold War? Confronting the Geoeconomic Fragmentation Narrative with the Data

Date de publication
12 December 2025
Accroche

It has become widely accepted that the world economy should be seen as increasingly shaped by forces of fragmentation, resulting from geopolitical tensions. This article takes another look at this narrative, using international trade data. While an aggregate analysis is consistent with a new Cold War narrative, whereby international trade is increasingly seen as split into two blocs, this is only a mix of very different outcomes. Far from being a widespread trend, geoeconomic fragmentation of trade flows is only significant in “hotspots”: Russia's foreign trade and China-US bilateral exchanges, and the impact is massive in these cases. Outside these “hotspots”, there is no tangible sign that geopolitical tensions have been shaping international trade patterns in terms of blocs, nor is there any hint of a trend toward nearshoring – to the contrary, in fact.

Image de couverture de la publication
Page de couverture - Opening Up the G7 - M. JULIENNE

Opening up the G7 to South Korea to Address Contemporary Global Challenges

Date de publication
19 November 2025
Accroche

The G7’s global influence has diminished as powers like China reshape international governance through initiatives such as BRICS and the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO). With the G7 now representing just 10 per cent of the world’s population and 28 per cent of global GDP, its relevance is increasingly questioned.

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Regulatory Dynamics and Tensions in the Space Sector: Towards and Americanization of Space Law?

Date de publication
13 November 2025
Accroche

The development of space law has gradually evolved from a top-down normative dynamic dominated by the founding impetus of the UN to a bottom-up normativity driven by national and industrial practices. This evolution is now accompanied by growing normative competition, raising the risk of an Americanization of space law and prompting the question of a European response.

Philippe ACHILLEAS
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Brazil One Year Away from the October 2026 General Elections

Date de publication
23 October 2025
Accroche

Brazil’s general elections will be held on October 4, 2026, to elect the president, vice-president, members of the National Congress, governors, deputy governors and state legislative assemblies. For the presidential and gubernatorial elections, a second round will be held on October 25 if no candidate obtains a majority of the votes in the first round. 

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COP30: An Inflection Point for Climate Action and Governance

Date de publication
21 October 2025
Accroche

The 30th Conference of the Parties (COP30), opening in Belém, Brazil, on November 10th 2025, convenes at a perilous moment. 

Paul WATKINSON
Image principale

The U.S. Policy Toward Taiwan Beyond Donald Trump: Mapping the American Stakeholders of U.S.-Taiwan Relations

Date de publication
17 February 2026
Accroche

Donald Trump’s return to the White House reintroduced acute uncertainty into the security commitment of the United States (U.S.) to Taiwan. Unlike President Joe Biden, who repeatedly stated the determination to defend Taiwan, President Trump refrains from commenting on the hypothetical U.S. response in the context of a cross-Strait crisis.

Marc JULIENNE Peter CHU
Image principale

Europe at the Crossroads of DefTech: Rethinking the European Defense Innovation Ecosystem

Date de publication
16 February 2026
Accroche

“The way I look at Iron Dome is as the ultimate manifestation of the future of the United States’ role in future conflicts, which is not to be the world police, but to be the world gun store,” said Palmer Luckey in November 2023. Luckey is the founder of Anduril, one of the most prominent DefTech companies. The ambition is clear: to participate in global rearmament by capitalizing on the quality of American innovations and to dominate the arms market—at least in the West—through technological mastery.

Alexandre PAPAEMMANUEL Laure de ROUCY-ROCHEGONDE

Mind the Deterrence Gap: Assessing Europe’s Nuclear Options

Date de publication
11 February 2026
Accroche

Europe must urgently confront a new nuclear reality. In recent years, Russia’s nuclear-backed revisionism has reintroduced nuclear coercion and the threat of nuclear escalation to the continent, underscoring the importance of credible nuclear deterrence. At the same time, Europe’s traditional reliance on US extended nuclear deterrence appears politically more fragile than at any point since the Cold War. Together, these developments require Europeans to think about their nuclear options.

Image principale

Canada’s Recognition of a Palestinian State: What Consequences on its Foreign Policy Toward Palestine?

Date de publication
26 January 2026
Accroche

On September 21, 2025, Canada became the 148th of 157 countries to recognize Palestine as a state. It did this with the United Kingdom (UK) and Australia, defying the United States (US) and Israeli opposition. 

Jeremy Wildeman Justine Dazé

New Cold War? What New Cold War? Confronting the Geoeconomic Fragmentation Narrative with the Data

Date de publication
12 December 2025
Accroche

It has become widely accepted that the world economy should be seen as increasingly shaped by forces of fragmentation, resulting from geopolitical tensions. This article takes another look at this narrative, using international trade data. While an aggregate analysis is consistent with a new Cold War narrative, whereby international trade is increasingly seen as split into two blocs, this is only a mix of very different outcomes. Far from being a widespread trend, geoeconomic fragmentation of trade flows is only significant in “hotspots”: Russia's foreign trade and China-US bilateral exchanges, and the impact is massive in these cases. Outside these “hotspots”, there is no tangible sign that geopolitical tensions have been shaping international trade patterns in terms of blocs, nor is there any hint of a trend toward nearshoring – to the contrary, in fact.

Image de couverture de la publication
Page de couverture - Opening Up the G7 - M. JULIENNE

Opening up the G7 to South Korea to Address Contemporary Global Challenges

Date de publication
19 November 2025
Accroche

The G7’s global influence has diminished as powers like China reshape international governance through initiatives such as BRICS and the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO). With the G7 now representing just 10 per cent of the world’s population and 28 per cent of global GDP, its relevance is increasingly questioned.

Image principale

Regulatory Dynamics and Tensions in the Space Sector: Towards and Americanization of Space Law?

Date de publication
13 November 2025
Accroche

The development of space law has gradually evolved from a top-down normative dynamic dominated by the founding impetus of the UN to a bottom-up normativity driven by national and industrial practices. This evolution is now accompanied by growing normative competition, raising the risk of an Americanization of space law and prompting the question of a European response.

Philippe ACHILLEAS
Image principale

Brazil One Year Away from the October 2026 General Elections

Date de publication
23 October 2025
Accroche

Brazil’s general elections will be held on October 4, 2026, to elect the president, vice-president, members of the National Congress, governors, deputy governors and state legislative assemblies. For the presidential and gubernatorial elections, a second round will be held on October 25 if no candidate obtains a majority of the votes in the first round. 

Image principale

COP30: An Inflection Point for Climate Action and Governance

Date de publication
21 October 2025
Accroche

The 30th Conference of the Parties (COP30), opening in Belém, Brazil, on November 10th 2025, convenes at a perilous moment. 

Paul WATKINSON
Image de couverture de la publication
Vignette couverture 3-2025

Trump II and the World / Politique étrangère, Vol. 90, No. 3, 2025

Date de publication
09 September 2025
Accroche

Does Trumpism exist? And if so, how can its ideology be characterized, given the myriad currents underpinning it—from populism and the Christian Right to paleolibertarianism and technolibertarianism? Does it embody a genuine worldview that informs its diplomatic actions?  An obsessive drive to overturn long-standing practices, alliances, and commitments deemed “detrimental” to American interests, coupled with a fixation on transactional, one-off deals, appears to serve as its de facto strategy—hence the widespread weakening of allied ties. Observers are equally at a loss to discern an economic strategy, and above all reluctant to anticipate the possible outcomes of its contradictory maneuvers.

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America's Defense Pact with Australia and the U.K. Has Humiliated France's Macron. But It Might Also Help Him

21 September 2021
Accroche

For years, French President Emmanuel Macron butted heads, bit his tongue in frustration, and lashed out at former President Donald Trump, who refused to yield an inch to his entreaties about global cooperation. Trump pulled the U.S. out of the Iran nuclear deal and the Paris Agreement on climate change—cherished projects for Macron—and trashed the NATO military alliance as “obsolete.”

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Foreign Policy

U.S. Allies Look on in Dismay While U.S. Rivals Rejoice

05 June 2020
Accroche

Trump’s failure to convene a G-7 meeting is only the latest blow to America’s crumbling prestige in the face of nationwide unrest. When German Chancellor Angela Merkel last week declined an invitation to join U.S. President Donald Trump in Washington for a star-crossed meeting of the G-7, and then British Prime Minister Boris Johnson rebuffed Trump’s plans to bring Russia back into the group, it underscored how profoundly U.S. allies and partners have soured on American leadership amid a mishandled pandemic and a violent crackdown on protesters.

U.S. Foreign Policy in the Age of Trump

12 December 2019
Accroche

Despite a very particular style, the Trump administration's foreign policy continues on many points the American withdrawal from World affairs which had started under Barack Obama. The main trends of thought of American foreign policy show this evolution, with the resurgence of non-interventionist and even nationalist ideas amongs DC think-tankers.

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Presentation of Ramses 2026, Ifri, Paris
Related centers and programs
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Illustration Programme Amériques
Americas Program
Accroche centre

Ifri's work on the Americas region focuses mainly on the United States. Indeed, for more than 20 years, Ifri's Americas Program has provided keys to understanding American society and domestic policy while shedding light on developments in the country's foreign policy, including transatlantic relations and trade issues. 

 

Since 2023, a specific axis on Latin America structures more actively Ifri's research on this region.

 

Ifri's Canada program was active in 2015 and 2016.

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Americas Map
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