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RAMSES 2025. Between Powers and Powerlessness

Ramses Issues from Ramses
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Never before have there been so many powers able to upset the international balance of power, and never before have the dominant powers seemed so powerless to counter the fragmentation of the world.

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Ramses 2025_US
Corps analyses

The Middle East: the recomposition announced decades ago seems further away than ever in the tangle of battles and influences: the United States, Iran, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Turkey, even Russia, China or the Europeans – who could carry enough weight to help resolve an Israeli-Palestinian problem that has returned, in blood, to the forefront of the news? Who could help redraw the balance for regional peace?

 

The United States: dominant power, unquestionably; but how is its diplomatic, military, economic and cultural domination exercised? The disorder of the presidential campaign shows us a country in the throes of questioning its role in the world, hesitating about the areas of its commitment, and above all divided, uncertain about the stability and coherence of its own society...

 

The European Union: for its part, the EU is trying to put on a brave face, to reassure itself of its ability to meet the challenges that are piling up: the war in Ukraine, the economic slowdown, technological competition, the energy transition... But are its unity and its decisions equal to what lies ahead: the debate on enlargement, the recovery of Ukraine, the organization of security across the continent...?

 

Ramses 2025 characterizes this fundamental instability of the world, this fragmentation of strategic spaces, through three opening chapters: “Middle East: the never-ending recomposition”; “United States: the worrying empire”; “European Union: a frustrated destiny”; and through a global tour of upcoming crises and events: the Caucasus, Latin America, Asia-Pacific, New Caledonia, maritime flows, food issues, migration, the Olympics...

 

>> Purchase the book in French <<

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ISBN / ISSN

978-2-10-086920-6

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Author(s)
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Thierry DE MONTBRIAL

Thierry de MONTBRIAL

Intitulé du poste

Founder and Executive Chairman of Ifri - Member of the Institut de France (Académie des Sciences morales et politiques)

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Dominique DAVID

Dominique DAVID

Intitulé du poste

Chair of the Austro-French Centre for Rapprochement in Europe (ÖFZ), Advisor to the Executive Chairman, Editor-in-chief of Politique étrangère and co-Director of Ramses

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Süleymaniye Mosque, Istanbul, Türkiye
Turkey/Middle East Program
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Ifri's Turkey/Middle East Program aims to provide expertise on the trends and developments in politics, societies and economies across the region.

The programme has the following objectives:

  • Proposing a new approach towards the MENA region through an analysis of local, regional, and international dynamics with the potential to guide and influence new policies.
  • Highlighting the role of foreign powers which have traditionally been present in the region and analyzing the new role taken on by emerging countries ;
  • Anticipating new directions and outlooks in each country.
  • Interpreting risks and potentials and putting forward new templates for analysis.

The programme has built a dense network of researchers and experts who provide expertise on the MENA region and working together on a range of crosscutting themes.

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Illustration Programme Amériques
Americas Program
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Ifri's work on the Americas region focuses mainly on the United States. Indeed, for more than 20 years, Ifri's Americas Program has provided keys to understanding American society and domestic policy while shedding light on developments in the country's foreign policy, including transatlantic relations and trade issues. 

 

Since 2023, a specific axis on Latin America structures more actively Ifri's research on this region.

 

Ifri's Canada program was active in 2015 and 2016.

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Indonesia and the Palestinian Cause

Date de publication
25 July 2025
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During his inaugural presidential speech on October 20, 2024, Indonesia’s incumbent president, Prabowo Subianto, iterated certain principles central to the philosophical foundation of the Indonesian nation. He noted Indonesia’s longstanding foreign policy of non-alignment or “bebas dan aktif” (free and active) and its aversion to military pacts.

Daniel PETERSON
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Middle Power Lawfare : South Africa, International Justice, and the Gaza Crisis

Date de publication
21 July 2025
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The intensification of violence in Gaza following Hamas’s 7 October 2023 Al Aqsa Flood attack and Israel’s military response prompted a broader reassessment of global diplomacy. Longstanding geopolitical alignments were disrupted, and questions about humanitarian obligations, institutional accountability, and the limits of state conduct returned to the centre of international debate.

Gustavo DE CARVALHO
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Adıyaman, the “Ownerless City”: Story of a Political Emancipation

Date de publication
11 July 2025
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Over the past two years, the city of Adıyaman has made headlines for two major reasons: first, its devastation by the earthquake of February 6, 2023, which struck between Turkey and Syria, and second, its significant political shift following the municipal elections of March 31, 2024. 

Giulia FOURNIER
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The Evolving Role of Nuclear Rhetoric in Iran’s Strategic Calculus

Date de publication
03 July 2025
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How has the Iranian strategic discourse about nuclear weapons and deterrence evolved? 

How can this study be cited?

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