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RAMSES 2021. At the Edge?

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RAMSES 2021, September 2020
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RAMSES 2021. At the Edge?, written by Ifri's research team and external experts, offers an in-depth and up-to-date analysis of geopolitics in today’s world.

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  • In "Perspectives", the opening section of RAMSES 2021, Thierry de Montbrial, founder and Executive Chairman of Ifri, provides an analysis of the state of global affairs.
  • Three main questions are treated in the second section, "Trois enjeux pour 2021":

                  - Global Health/Climate: COVID-19, what now?: The coronavirus is emblematic of globalization: no one controls or masters its spread. Who is governing? There is no specific governance for such global matters as health, environment, information…

                  - Europe: redo or undo: As usual, reviews of the European Union are mixed: pale but decisive, unavoidable. Should it be redone or undone? Should Europe think of itself as a political project or subsist as a mere safety net: these are options facing the Conference on the Future of Europe.

                  - Middle East: 10 years after the false spring: The post-spring decade and the coronavirus crisis go side by side: reinforcement of control over civil societies, growing weight of authoritarian regimes, meltdown of the global economy, and an important division of societies in rebellion.

  • The third section, Le Monde en questions, offers a thorough study of recent conflicts, strategies, and important international negotiations.
     
  • The final section, Les Repères, presents a mix of statistics, timelines and original maps.

 

RAMSES 2021 also includes 8 videos featuring Ifri researchers providing concise analysis of the most critical issues in international affairs.

 

>> Purchase the book in French <<

 

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ISBN / ISSN

978-2-10-080585-3

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Author(s)
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Thierry DE MONTBRIAL

Thierry de MONTBRIAL

Intitulé du poste

Founder and Executive Chairman of Ifri - Member of the Institut de France (Académie des Sciences morales et politiques)

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Dominique DAVID

Dominique DAVID

Intitulé du poste

Chair of the Austro-French Centre for Rapprochement in Europe (ÖFZ), Advisor to the Executive Chairman, Editor-in-chief of Politique étrangère and co-Director of Ramses

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Süleymaniye Mosque, Istanbul, Türkiye
Turkey/Middle East Program
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Ifri's Turkey/Middle East Program aims to provide expertise on the trends and developments in politics, societies and economies across the region.

The programme has the following objectives:

  • Proposing a new approach towards the MENA region through an analysis of local, regional, and international dynamics with the potential to guide and influence new policies.
  • Highlighting the role of foreign powers which have traditionally been present in the region and analyzing the new role taken on by emerging countries ;
  • Anticipating new directions and outlooks in each country.
  • Interpreting risks and potentials and putting forward new templates for analysis.

The programme has built a dense network of researchers and experts who provide expertise on the MENA region and working together on a range of crosscutting themes.

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Escalation within Continuity: Spain’s Foreign Policy towards Israel and Palestine after October 7th

Date de publication
05 May 2026
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Over the past two years, Spain has emerged as one of the most vocal countries in supporting the Palestinian cause. While Madrid initially aligned with the prevailing European position, recognizing Israel’s right to self-defense after the 7 October attacks, it soon distinguished itself from most European Union (EU) Member States by questioning and later condemning Israel’s conduct of war in Gaza.

Moussa BOUREKBA
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Australia’s Recognition of Palestine: A Case of Supporting the Status Quo over Accountability

Date de publication
21 April 2026
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Hamas’s terrorist attacks against Israel on October 7, 2023, killed over a thousand Israelis, altering irrevocably the way the Palestinian/Israeli conflict is viewed internationally. Australia’s government professed profound shock and disgust at Hamas’s attacks, together with its unwavering diplomatic and political support for Israel. But as Israel’s response became more concerned with exacting revenge and as the pretext to fulfill long-held ideological dreams of a Greater Israel, support from Australia became more muted and conditional. This culminated in Australia joining Britain, France, and Canada in formally recognizing a Palestinian state at the United Nations General Assembly meeting in September 2025.

Martin KEAR
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Russia, the Palestinians and Gaza: Adjustments after October 7th

Date de publication
23 February 2026
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The Soviet Union (USSR), and subsequently the Russian Federation as its internationally recognized legal successor, has consistently sought to play a visible role in efforts to resolve the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.

Dmitry MARYASIS
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Canada’s Recognition of a Palestinian State: What Consequences on its Foreign Policy Toward Palestine?

Date de publication
26 January 2026
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On September 21, 2025, Canada became the 148th of 157 countries to recognize Palestine as a state. It did this with the United Kingdom (UK) and Australia, defying the United States (US) and Israeli opposition. 

Jeremy Wildeman Justine Dazé

How can this study be cited?

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Thierry de MONTBRIAL, Dominique DAVID, « RAMSES 2021. At the Edge? », Issues from Ramses, Ifri, 2 September 2020.
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