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Russia-Eurasia

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Eurasia is undergoing profound changes. While the Soviet past has left a lasting imprint, Russia and the countries of Eastern Europe, Central Asia and the South Caucasus have their own trajectory.

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The Eurasian Economic Union
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Publications
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The New Russian Diaspora: Europe’s Challenge and Opportunity

Date de publication
10 June 2024
Accroche

This report assesses both the scale and the roots of the outward migration from the Russian Federation coinciding with Putin’s turning of Russia into an aggressive authoritarian state.

Vladislav INOZEMTSEV
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In Putin's wartime Russia, military corruption is suddenly taboo

10 June 2024
Accroche

To be sure government spending reaches the battlefield in Ukraine, President Vladimir Putin is suddenly putting high priority on purging Defense Ministry officials accused of corruption. Russia's war in Ukraine has turned out to be a powerful anti-corruption initiative — at least at the Ministry of Defense.

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Russia’s Ideological Construction in the Context of the War in Ukraine

Date de publication
22 March 2024
Accroche

Since the full-scale invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, the Russian government has been proactive in the ideological realm to ensure the sustainability of the war for Russian society. 

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The Military Stakes in the War in Ukraine: An Illusory Stalemate?

Date de publication
08 March 2024
Accroche

The Ukrainian counter-offensive, which was supposed to result in a major breakthrough in 2023, came up against solid Russian defenses and ended in failure.

Yohann MICHEL Olivier SCHMITT Élie TENENBAUM
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Islam, politique et société en Ouzbékistan. Enquête sur le renouveau religieux de la jeunesse ouzbèke

Date de publication
08 January 2024
Accroche

This study aims to decipher the complex relationships between politics, Islam, and society in Uzbekistan and, more specifically, the dynamics at work in the religious revival of Uzbek youth.

Olivier FERRANDO

Central Asia: Making Use of a Historic Opportunity

Date de publication
15 December 2023
Accroche

This report analyzes the economic and geopolitical situation in Central Asia.

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Georgia: Another Russian Front

Date de publication
01 December 2023
Accroche

The end of 2023 is due to mark a turning point in Georgian history. In December, the European Council will decide whether to award the country European Union (EU) candidate status.

Régis GENTÉ
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Russia’s New Challenges in the Baltic/Northern European Theater

Date de publication
14 November 2023
Accroche

The long war in Ukraine has brought a drastic geopolitical reconfiguration of the Baltic theater and a deep shift in the military balance between Russia and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO).

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War in Ukraine: what prospects after the counter-offensive?

07 November 2023
Accroche

Interview between Dmytro Kuleba, Ukrainian Foreign Minister, and Thierry de Montbrial, Founder and Executive Chairman of the French Institute of International Relations, Founder and Chairman of the World Policy Conference. 

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Gaza-Israel conflict: Opportunity and risk for Russia's Putin

18 October 2023
Accroche

The conflict between Hamas and Israel is both an opportunity and a risk for Russian President Vladimir Putin, who has been mired in pressing his invasion of Ukraine for the past 19 months.

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Gaza-Israel conflict: Opportunity and risk for Russia's Putin

18 October 2023
Accroche

The conflict between Hamas and Israel is both an opportunity and a risk for Russian President Vladimir Putin, who has been mired in pressing his invasion of Ukraine for the past 19 months.

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The Next Surge of Conflict in the South Caucasus Is Still Preventable

Date de publication
17 October 2023
Accroche

The tragic exodus of the Armenian population from the Nagorno Karabakh region has closed a chapter in the long saga of conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan.

The Wind Rose’s Directions: Russia’s Strategic Deterrence during the First Year of the War in Ukraine

Date de publication
28 August 2023
Accroche
Since the beginning of the Russian war of aggression on Ukraine, and even before February 2022, the Russian government has conducted intense nuclear rhetoric and actions.
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Dimitri Minic: 'The Kremlin's credibility has been shaken'

24 June 2023
Accroche

For this Russian army specialist, at least part of the armed forces rallying behind the founder of the Wagner group, Yevgeny Prigozhin, cannot be ruled out.

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French Expert Says Afghanistan-Related Challenges Loom Large for Central Asia as Geopolitical Competition Intensifies

19 June 2023
Accroche

Addressing the situation in Afghanistan remains on top of the agenda for Central Asia, said Michael Levystone, an associate research fellow at the Institut Français des Relations Internationale (IFRI) Russia/Eurasia Center, in an exclusive interview with The Astana Times. The expert, who participated in the Astana International Forum (AIF) on June 8-9, also discussed the intensifying geopolitical competition in Central Asia, regional connectivity and water scarcity.

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Dimitri Minic: 'The Russian army is influenced by beliefs that detaches it from objective reality'

08 June 2023
Accroche

According to the researcher, the failure of the Russian army in Ukraine is the result of the implementation of a theory that emerged in the 2000s, which places a central focus on 'psychological-informational' warfare rather than armed combat.

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Moldova, a Political System Under Pressure: Between European Aspirations and War in Ukraine

Date de publication
31 May 2023
Accroche

Maia Sandu, who was elected President of the Republic of Moldova by direct universal suffrage in November 2020, won a large parliamentary majority in the snap parliamentary elections held in July 2021. Her plan for the internal transformation of Moldova is closely linked to her objective of progress toward the European Union.

Florent PARMENTIER
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How the Russian Army Changed its Concept of War, 1993-2022

Date de publication
23 May 2023
Accroche

The traditional and high-intensity war that has occurred in Ukraine since Russia decided to invade raises a key issue: did post-soviet Russian strategic thought really prepare Russia for waging this war?

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The Strategic Repositioning of LNG: Implications for Key Trade Routes and Choke Points

Date de publication
12 April 2023
Accroche

2022 saw the climax so far of the weaponization of energy. Following its geopolitical demise, Russia has undertaken its own gas amputation, moving from a super energy power status to a diminished role with uncertain prospects and only hard options left.

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Xi's Moscow Visit Risks Further Emboldening Putin: Analysts

23 March 2023
Accroche

There is no sign the visit of Chinese President Xi Jinping to Moscow will rein in President Vladimir Putin in his war in Ukraine, even if it again highlights a lopsided relationship where Russia is clearly the junior partner, analysts say.

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Beyond Putin: Russia’s Generations Y and Z

Date de publication
20 March 2019
Accroche

Of Russia’s 146 million citizens (if we include those in Crimea), 63 million—or 43 percent—are under 34 years of age. Of these, 30 million belong to Generation Y (millennials in their 20s and early 30s), 15 million belong to Gen Z (teenagers), and a further 18 million are part of the youngest generation (less than 10 years of age).

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Tailored Assurance: Balancing Deterrence and Disarmament in Responding to NATO-Russia Tension

Date de publication
03 July 2018
Accroche

The 2018 Nuclear Posture Review (NPR) called for tailoring assurance across America’s allies, including NATO, as part of an overall deterrence and assurance strategy. 

The NPT and the Origins of NATO’s Nuclear Sharing Arrangements

Date de publication
07 February 2017
Accroche

Russia has recently accused the United States and NATO Allies of violating the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) by arguing that NATO's nuclear sharing arrangements are not permitted under the Treaty.

Russia's Asia Strategy: Bolstering the Eagle's Eastern Wing

Date de publication
06 June 2016
Accroche

Among Russia’s strategic priorities, Asia traditionally played a secondary role compared to the West. In the mid-1990s, then Foreign Minister Yevgeny Primakov initiated a rapprochement with China and India. Then, in 2014, deteriorating relations between Russia and the West prompted Moscow to begin its “great pivot to the East”.

Dmitri TRENIN
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The Return of Geopolitical Risk - Russia, China and the United States

Date de publication
06 April 2016
Accroche

The year 2014 was defined by the conflict in Ukraine, the emergence of Daesh, and tensions between China and Japan. As for 2015, it has witnessed the spread of Daesh, the conflict in Yemen, the Greek crisis, revelations about the activity of the National Security Agency (NSA), the migrant crisis, and a ramping-up of terrorist attacks. 

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Russia’s Immigration Policy: New Challenges and Tools

Date de publication
20 January 2016
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A new stage in the development of Russia's migration policy is upon us. Since 2010, legal amendments and the Concept of Migration Policy of the Russian Federation to 2025, adopted in June 2012, marked a clear change in how migration flows are regulated, the aim being now to maximise the economic benefit of labour migration.

Lyoubov BISSON

Can Washington move beyond "Ukraine fatigue"?

Date de publication
09 November 2015
Accroche

For the past two years, the United States has been at grips with an increasingly revisionist Russia in continental Europe. The crisis in Ukraine deteriorated the state of the bilateral relationship with Moscow [1] to what could be an all-time low since the end of the Cold War [2].

Cross-Domain Coercion: The Current Russian Art of Strategy

Date de publication
02 November 2015
Accroche

This paper traces the evolution of Russian views on the art of coercion, and on the role of nuclear weapons in it, from the post-Cold War “regional nuclear deterrence” thinking to the current “Gerasimov Doctrine”.

U.S. Engagement Towards Central Asia: No Great Game After All?

Date de publication
07 October 2015
Accroche

Since the collapse of the Soviet Union in the 1990s, Washington has defined general foreign policy objectives towards the Republics of Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan.

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The Nexus Between the Conflicts in the Mideast and Ukraine

Date de publication
05 June 2015
Accroche

Two simultaneous conflicts in Europe and the Middle East have brought the international order into flux. Russia’s annexation of Crimea and destabilization of eastern Ukraine have deeply undermined European security. Meanwhile, the self-declared Islamic State’s proclamation of a caliphate in western Iraq and eastern Syria has unsettled the Middle East. While it may be tempting for foreign policymakers to consider "Syraq" and "Rukraine" as unrelated crises, the tensions in Eastern Europe have strong implications for the situation in the Middle East, and vice versa. Indeed one of the greatest challenges to global governance is the combination of an assertive and declining Russia, and a disintegrating Middle East.

To read this Global Memo

All Global Memos

 

 

Global Memos are briefs by the Council of Councils that gather opinions from global experts on major international developments.

The Council of Councils is a Council on Foreign Relations initiative connecting leading foreign policy institutes from around the world in a common conversation on issues of global governance and multilateral cooperation. The Council of Councils draws on the best thinking from around the world to find common ground on shared threats, build support for innovative ideas, and introduce remedies into the public debate and policymaking processes of member countries. The membership of the Council of Councils includes leading institutions from twenty-five countries, roughly tracking the composition of the Group of Twenty (G20). The network facilitates candid, not-for-attribution dialogue and consensus building among influential opinion leaders from established and emerging nations.

FOUNDING COUNCIL OF COUNCILS MEMBER THINK TANKS

 

 

 

 

U.S.-Russian Relations: The Path Ahead after the Crisis

Date de publication
09 December 2014
Accroche

CSIS expert Jeff Mankoff explains the reasons of the crisis in Ukraine, and how the U.S. should try to reestablish a more stable situation in central Europe, mixing containment and engagement of the Russian partner.

The EU, Russia and the Eastern Partnership: What Dynamics under the New German Government?

Date de publication
01 February 2014
Accroche

The Eastern Partnership summit in Vilnius in November 2013 demonstrated that the European Union’s policy toward its eastern neighbors has developed into a highly contentious issue between the EU and Russia.

Dominik TOLKSDORF

Internet, accélérateur des transformations de la Russie

Date de publication
01 February 2013
Accroche

La crise économique mondiale survenue en 2008, qui s’est durement répercutée en Russie, a cristallisé le mécontentement de la population, en particulier des classes moyennes et supérieures. Ce ressentiment, les réseaux sociaux et les blogs permettent de l’exposer sur la « place publique » en obtenant une résonance significative. Cette évolution n’est pas propre à la Russie ; elle est générationnelle.

Disponible sur Cairn

Kazakhstan and Eurasian Economic Integration: Quick Start, Mixed Results and Uncertain Future

Date de publication
26 November 2012
Accroche

Kazakhstan's economic integration with Russia and Belarus has been advancing at break-neck speed.

Nargis KASSENOVA

Economic Constraint and Ukraine's Security Policy

Date de publication
27 May 2011
Accroche

Since winning the 2010 presidential elections in Ukraine, Viktor Yanukovych has worked hard to repair Kyiv's relationship with Moscow.

Dominic FEAN

How the Chinese See Russia

Date de publication
09 January 2011
Accroche

This essay examines Chinese attitudes toward Russia as a great power, neighbor, partner and competitor.

The NATO - Russia Relationship: Defining Moment or Déjà Vu?

Date de publication
13 November 2008
JULIANNE SMITH

U.S.-Russia Relations, Facing Reality Pragmatically

Date de publication
21 July 2008
Thomas GRAHAM
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Ifri, a foundation recognized as being of public utility, relies largely on private donors – companies and individuals – to guarantee its sustainability and intellectual independence. Through their funding, donors help maintain the Institute's position among the world's leading think tanks. By benefiting from an internationally recognized network and expertise, donors refine their understanding of geopolitical risk and its consequences on global politics and the economy. In 2026, Ifri partners with over 90 French and international companies and organizations.

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Related centers and programs
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Russie, Eurasie, Carte
Russia/Eurasia Center
Accroche centre

Founded in 2005 within Ifri, the Russia/Eurasia Center conducts research and organizes debates on Russia, Eastern Europe, Central Asia, and the South Caucasus. Its goal is to understand and anticipate the evolution of this complex and rapidly changing geographical area in order to enrich public discourse in France and Europe and to assist in strategic, political, and economic decision-making.

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The Eurasian Economic Union
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