The Study Committee on Franco-German Relations (Cerfa)
The Study Committee on Franco-German Relations (Cerfa) was created in 1954 by an inter-governmental agreement between the Federal Republic of Germany and France, in order to raise awareness of Germany in France and analyze Franco-German relations, including in their European and international dimensions. In its conferences and seminars, which bring together experts, political leaders, senior decision-makers and representatives of civil society from both countries, Cerfa develops the Franco-German debate and stimulates political proposals. It regularly publishes studies through two collections: Cerfa notes and studies as well as Franco-German visions.
Cerfa maintains close relations with the network of German foundations and think tanks. In addition to its research and debate activities, Cerfa promotes the emergence of a new Franco-German generation through original cooperation programs. This is how in 2021-2022, Cerfa led a program on multilateralism with the Konrad Adenauer Foundation in Paris. This program is aimed at young professionals from both countries interested in the issues of multilateralism in the context of their activities. It covered a wide range of themes relating to multilateralism, such as international trade, health, human rights and migration, non-proliferation and disarmament. Previously, Cerfa had participated in the Franco-German future dialogue, co-led with the DGAP from 2007 to 2020, and supported by the Robert Bosch Foundation and the Daniel Vernet group (formerly the Franco-German Reflection Group) which was founded in 2014 upon the initiative of the Genshagen Foundation.
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Secretary General of the Study Committee on Franco-German Relations (Cerfa), Ifri
Publications
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Titre Bloc Axe
Research Areas
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Titre Axe de recherche
Domestic Politics – Elections
Cerfa’s Domestic Politics – Elections research axis focuses on Germany’s domestic politics, internal political dynamics, the evolution of the party system and its electoral geography. Our work also highlights the interplay between the political sphere, society and economic structures. Given the specificities of Germany’s federal system, we furthermore are looking at electoral processes in the various Länder. In addition, we dedicate ourselves to the analysis of the rise of the far-right party Alternative for Germany (AfD) and the destabilizing effects it is having on the German political system. Our analysis also aims at capturing recent political evolutions, with the emergence of new forms of coalitions in the Länder and at the federal level, as well as persistent differences in political behavior between the East and West of the country more than 35 years after reunification and its influence on political developments at the federal level (Bund).
Through our “Cerfa Notes” and public events we tackle the issues at stake in election campaigns and their impact on both, the Franco-German cooperation at regional and national level, and on Germany’s position on the European and international stage.
Titre Axe de recherche
Germany on the International Stage
In an international environment characterized by the return of power politics and the weakening of multilateralism, Germany nevertheless remains a key player in Europe. With its strong roots in the European Union and NATO, it is often seen as a stabilizing force.
However, the war of aggression led by Russia against Ukraine, persistent tensions in the Middle East, strategic rivalry between the United States and China, the unpredictability of the Trump administration, as well as the rise of populism and economic and energy pressures, are challenging the traditional foundations of its foreign policy. In this research axis we dedicate ourselves to Germany’s position torn between embodying a pole of stability on the one hand and playing a more assertive international role defending a rules-based international order on the other hand.
Titre Axe de recherche
German Security and Defense Policy
In coordination with Ifri’s Security Studies Center, the Cerfa dedicates this research axis to the structural changes in Germany’s security and defense policy in a context of “historic turning point” (Zeitenwende) initiated after the outbreak of the war in Ukraine and continued by the “epochal shift” (Epochenbruch) called out by Chancellor Friedrich Merz. It examines the doctrinal and capability evolution of the Bundeswehr, the trajectory of military spending, and internal debates on strategic culture and external engagement.
This research axis also focuses the place of Germany within the NATO and the European Union, its choices as far as defense industry and cooperation in capacity matters as well as its geopolitical priorities (Eastern Europe, the Eastern flank, the Indo-Pacific) are concerned. Our work also aims at analyzing these developments’ implications on Franco-German cooperation and on the future of European security in a context of international hardening.
Titre Axe de recherche
France and Germany in Europe
France and Germany continue to be widely perceived as the driving force behind the European Union (EU), due to their political, economic and demographic weight, but also given their diplomatic and strategic influence on the global stage. Their ability to shape initiatives and embody leadership is decisive, bringing about compromises on the European stage. However, beyond agreement between themselves, France and Germany’s legitimacy and capacity to act depend on their ability to build coalitions with other Member States which follow different interests and express different sensitivities. In this context, formats such as the Weimar Triangle, the E3 (France, Germany, United Kingdom) and even broader configurations such as “Weimar plus” illustrate the rise of flexible, thematic coalitions. They reflect an increasingly fragmented European Union, where alignment strategies vary on a vast array of topics like defense, economy, trade, climate or security.
This research axis proposes to analyze Franco-German relations in both their European and international dimensions. It examines the conditions under which the two countries embody joint leadership within an EU characterized by a rebalancing of internal power relations, the diversification of coalitions and the emergence of new centers of influence. It also examines how Franco-German agreements and disagreements structure European decision-making dynamics, affect the Union's capacity for external action and redefine – in the medium and long term – the tradeoffs between integration, sovereignty and solidarity within the European project.
Titre Axe de recherche
European competitiveness, industrial base, trade and economic security
Reports by Enrico Letta and Mario Draghi on the competitiveness of the European market have highlighted the economic gap between the European Union (EU) and the United States and China, and therefore the need for the EU to catch up. As the “economic engine” and leading industrial power in Europe, Germany has significant leverage to invest in future technologies as part of the dual green and digital transitions.
In the face of a hardening international economic environment against the backdrop of trade tariffs, export controls and market access restrictions, the EU and its Member States, particularly France and Germany, are expected to bring the EU’s Economic Security Strategy published by the European Commission to fruition.
This research axis examines trade and industrial policies, diversification strategies of the EU in order to multiply supply sources and export markets, and trade defense mechanisms to shield the Union against unfair trade practices.
Publications
The 2026 State Elections in Baden-Württemberg: First Test For Chancellor Merz's Federal Government?
The state election in Baden-Wuerttemberg in March 2026 will be the first major test of public opinion for Chancellor Friedrich Merz's federal government. At the same time, Baden-Wuerttemberg is one of the federal states that—as an important location for the German automotive industry and its suppliers—is particularly affected by the transformation policy driven by climate change and the international conflict constellation.
Bundeswehr: From Zeitenwende (historic turning point) to Epochenbruch (epochal shift)
The Zeitenwende (historic turning point) announced by Olaf Scholz on February 27, 2022, is shifting into high gear. Financially supported by the March 2025 reform of Germany’s “debt break” and backed by a broad political and societal consensus to strengthen and modernize the Bundeswehr, Germany's military capabilities are set to rapidly increase over the coming years. Expected to assume a central role in the defense of the European continent in the context of changing transatlantic relations, Berlin’s military-political position on the continent is being radically transformed.
Merz’ European Policy-making: The End of the ‘German Vote’?
Friedrich Merz’s European ambition is to turn Germany, long seen as hesitant into a leading actor within the European Union (EU). To that end, he has pledged to end the “German vote,” a phenomenon that epitomizes the paradox of a country both indispensable and frequently absent from European decision-making.
Securing critical raw material (CRM) value chains – a prerequisite for Europe’s technological resilience
At the heart of economic security, technological resilience is a backbone of the European Union’s (EU) competitiveness. The EU’s energy and digital transitions depend on critical raw materials (CRM).
Reconciling competitiveness and demographic change: a Franco-German imperative
France and Germany are facing parallel demographic shifts that could reshape the future of their economies and their social models. These shifts reflect broader European patterns but are magnified by the central role both nations play in EU governance and competitiveness.
Taking the Pulse: Does France's Political Crisis Weaken Europe's Geopolitical Hand?
While the EU tries to navigate a myriad international challenges, France is experiencing historic political disarray. What impact will instability in Paris have on Europe's geostrategic capacity?
Imaginary and Reality of the Franco-German border: a Laboratory for Europe of tomorrow
In Europe, the question of borders is a central issue. According to the European Parliament, border regions cover around 40% of the European Union (EU) territory, concentrate 30% of its population and produce nearly a third of its gross domestic product.
A Franco-German “Reset”? The Ambitions of the Franco-German Council of Ministers. Challenges of Joint Leadership in Europe
As a Catholic from the Rhineland, Friedrich Merz is heir to the CDU’s Franco-German policy, from Konrad Adenauer to Helmut Kohl and Wolfgang Schäuble. While Franco-German rhetoric and reflexes are deeply ingrained in him, their results must nevertheless be put into perspective.
Social Policies in Germany. Assessment of the “Traffic Light” Coalition and Prospects for the New Government
Notes du Cerfa, No. 188, Ifri, July 2025 — The defeat of the “traffic light” governing coalition in the snap parliamentary elections of February 2025 calls for an initial – necessarily selective – assessment of the social policies implemented during its term.
The “Huawei Saga” in Europe Revisited: German Lessons for the Rollout of 6G
While the European Union attempted to coordinate a collective response through its 5G Toolbox in Europe’s 5G infrastructure, member states diverged significantly in balancing political, economic, and technological considerations. Germany, despite its economic ties to China and status as Europe’s largest telecom market, only reached a tentative agreement in July 2024—one that appears largely symbolic.
The Team
Our research fellows: The Study Committee on Franco-German Relations (Cerfa)
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