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The Gulf Search for Power(s) / Politique étrangère, Vol. 90, No. 4, 2025

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Persian Gulf countries have become heavyweights in the international arena, wielding influence both regionally and far beyond. Acting as diplomatic mediators, investors, and hosts of global events, they are attempting to move beyond their long-standing role as suppliers of energy resources and reshape their economic, social, and political foundations through ambitious national “Visions”. Their international alliances are proving increasingly flexible, broadening their diplomatic reach (even if Washington’s influence remains decisive)—with Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the United Arab Emirates all part of a dynamic pushing many global actors toward multi-alignment.

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In Southeast Asia, the balance of influence tilts between China and the United States. Does the region’s broad spectrum of foreign policies signal flexibility and pragmatism, allowing these countries to capitalize on the Sino-American rivalry? Or does it instead reveal the underlying economic, social, and political contradictions of a space struggling to organize itself collectively? Despite its aspirations to become the leading regional architecture, in practice ASEAN exerts little influence over the defense and security decisions of its members, who are caught between largely conflicting agendas.

In multiple ways, the Gulf and Southeast Asia epitomize the emergence of a deregulated world order, where a multitude of actors vie to leverage their room for strategic maneuver—a latitude that remains precarious as major behemoths tirelessly amass the instruments of their dominance.


THE GULF'S SEARCH FOR POWER(S)

The New Diplomatic Weight of Gulf Countries, by Camille Lons

Gulf Sovereign Wealth Funds: Major Actors in World Finance, by François-Aïssa Touazi

Saudi Arabia 2030: EnVisioning all the Challenges, by Hasni Abidi

Qatar and the UAE: Mirrored Ambitions, by Emma Soubrier

Caught between Beijing and Washington: The Gulf’s Search for Multi-Alignment, by Jean-Loup Samaan

 

SOUTHEAST ASIA BETWEEN BEIJING AND WASHINGTON

Caught between China and the US: Southeast Asia’s strategic fence-sitting, by Sophie Boisseau-du-Rocher and Françoise Nicolas

Has ASEAN become Marginalized within Regional Security architecture?, by Juliette Loesch

 

CURRENT AFFAIRS

Bangladesh: Caught between a Political Crisis and the Rise of Islamism, by Charza Shahabuddin

Frontex, the First and Last European “Army”?, by Thomas Canvel

Foreign Policy at City Hall, by Yves Viltard

 

REFLECTIONS

Toward a Latino-Pacific Geo-economic Strategy, by Andrés Bórquez, Juan Enrique Serrano-Moreno, Carlos Olguín, and Rodrigo del Río

Iraq power Outages: An Absence of Governance?, by Myriam Benraad

Will France’s Nuclear Deterrent Extend Europe-Wide?, by Elie Perot

 

BOOK REVIEWS
Editor: Marc Hecker

L'ère des affrontements: Les grands tournants géopolitiques, by Thierry de Montbrial
Reviewed by Alain Dejammet

Under the Nuclear Shadow: China’s Information-Age Weapons in International Security, by Fiona Cunningham
China’s Quest for Military Supremacy, by Joel Wuthnow and Phillip C. Saunders
Reviewed by Marc Julienne

 

Other information:

216 pages. 23 euros.

December 2nd, 2025.

Diffusion : Pollen/Dif'Pop.

Subscription: Armand Colin.

To buy an issue: leslibraires.fr.

To buy the Epub (in French): Immatériel.fr.

Have a look on Politique étrangère's blog: Politique étrangère.

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ISBN / ISSN

9791037309600

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Wars in the Next Decade

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Forecasting in areas of strategy is particularly delicate as predictions may impact the course of events. While several major trends in the evolution of conflicts during the next decade can be identified, precise forecasts are impossible. Yet one thing is certain: in the next 10 years, decision-makers face unknown risks of significant consequence.

Lawrence FREEDMAN
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After the Demographic Explosion

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Demographic forecasting is not an exact science. UN projections, which suggest that the world population may rise to 11.2 billion in 2100, could be overestimates. Indeed, fertility could fall more rapidly and life expectancy may rise less than expected. The Sahel is set to experience the most spectacular demographic explosion, but this will not necessarily lead to massive migration to Europe.

Hervé LE BRAS
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When Technology Shapes the World

Date de publication
20 March 2019
Accroche

New technologies, particularly in cyberspace, have a strong impact on international relations and conflict. Malicious actors, be they lstates or non-state actors, have developed sophisticated means of influence. They tend to coordinate their physical and cyber activities with ever-greater precision. The security strategies of Western states need to change as a result and cease operating in silos.

Jared COHEN
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Europe in Ten Years

Date de publication
20 March 2019
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In the last 10 years, European integration has suffered several shocks. These shocks have challenged the historical narrative of the European Union, and have profoundly affected policies, as well as support by the peoples of Europe for the EU project. The real risk of disintegration can only be avoided if Member States accept to overhaul European integration, based on the idea of “civilizing globalization” and adopting corresponding policies grounded in solidarity.

Nicole GNESOTTO
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Couverture de Politique étrangère 4-2025
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