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Ukraine

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Ukraine is the main target of Russian expansionism. The stakes are high for Kyiv: a long and bloody war, reconstruction, further democratic reforms and European integration.

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Publications
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Russian Military Manpower After Two and a Half Years of War in Ukraine

Date de publication
25 November 2024
Accroche

In addition to a military victory in Ukraine, the Russian leadership is planning to build up sizable troop formations for a possible conflict with NATO in the Baltic region and the Kola Peninsula. In particular, current plans aim for the military manpower to grow by about 350,000, reaching a total of 1.5 million soldiers and commanders. In the context of the current conflict in Ukraine, this cannot be accomplished without a new wave of mass mobilization. 

Yuri E. FEDOROV
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Russia’s New Challenges in the Baltic/Northern European Theater

Date de publication
14 November 2023
Accroche

The long war in Ukraine has brought a drastic geopolitical reconfiguration of the Baltic theater and a deep shift in the military balance between Russia and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO).

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German Defense Policy: A Historic Turning Point?

Date de publication
13 September 2022
Accroche

The war in Ukraine has been a rude awakening for Berlin. 

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Germany, the “Zeitenwende” and the Future of NATO

Date de publication
31 August 2022
Accroche
NATO has adopted a new strategic concept, which should provide guidance for the next ten years. But the Russian aggression against Ukraine on February 24, 2022, has changed everything.
Detlef PUHL
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The Return of High-Intensity Conflict in Ukraine: Lessons for Land Forces

Date de publication
27 July 2022
Accroche

After twenty years of counter-terrorism, the Ukrainian battlefield marks the renewal of so-called “high-intensity” warfare. It constitutes a major strategic turning point, reversing the contemporary model of wars involving the West.

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War in Ukraine: Schumpeter in Sovietland ?

Date de publication
07 June 2022
Accroche

On 24 February 2022, Russia invaded Ukraine. Moscow’s initial plan was to use a “shock and awe” approach to conquer Kyiv quickly. 

Michel GOYA
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Polityka Insight Podcast logo
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Both sides of the Atlantic | Warsaw European Conversation 2026

03 April 2026
Nom du journal, revue ou émission
Polityka Insight Podcast
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This episode discusses the future of transatlantic relations and the evolution of security policy on both sides of the Atlantic. It examines France’s strategic stance and the implications of potential leadership change. It also looks at the dynamics of U.S. domestic politics – the role of political parties and civil society in curbing Donald Trump’s power, and the significance of the midterm elections. It considers what these processes mean for Europe, especially in the context of Article 5. Joining Marta Prochwicz-Jazowska, Deputy Head of the ECFR Warsaw office, in the discussion will be Thomas Gomart, director of the French Institute of International Relations, and Amanda Sloat, professor at the School of Politics, Economics, and Global Affairs at IE University.

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Logo Le Monde
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The war could still last for years and paradoxically, time is not on the Kremlin's side

27 February 2026
Nom du journal, revue ou émission
Le Monde
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Dimitri Minic, Scientific Director of the Observatory on Russia, Eastern Europe, the Caucasus, and Central Asia and a Research Fellow at Ifri’s Russia/Eurasia Center, argues in an interview with Le Monde that “Ukraine should not be buried too quickly,” even if the current balance of power favors Russia.

 

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Logo Le Monde
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'Russia holds a decisive edge in terms of manpower, firepower and mobilization capacity'

04 November 2025
Nom du journal, revue ou émission
Le Monde
Accroche

Three researchers at the French Institute of International Relations, Dimitri Minic, Tatiana Kastouéva-Jean and Paul Maurice, are urging Europe to intensify its power dynamic with Moscow. The French Institute of International Relations (IFRI) published a report on Tuesday, November 4, that highlights Europe's vulnerabilities in the event of a high-intensity conflict with Russia.

 

 

Replay - France-Ukraine Forum 2025

25 September 2025
Nom du journal, revue ou émission
Ifri
Accroche

Replay of the France-Ukraine Forum 2025. - Three years after the start of Russia's full-scale war against Ukraine, the France-Ukraine 2025 Forum will welcome politicians, experts, academics, and civil society representatives from both countries to discuss three main topics: Ukraine's current military strategy and strategic perspectives;  the country's resilience and recovery; Ukraine's European and transatlantic perspectives, including the EU accession process and its aspirations to join NATO.

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The Return of High-Intensity Conflict in Ukraine: Lessons for Land Forces

Date de publication
27 July 2022
Accroche

After twenty years of counter-terrorism, the Ukrainian battlefield marks the renewal of so-called “high-intensity” warfare. It constitutes a major strategic turning point, reversing the contemporary model of wars involving the West.

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Troop carrier and tank with Ukrainian flag
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