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Economy

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The economy is an essential attribute of power and a major component of international relations. While geopolitical tensions are on the rise, economic interdependence remains strong.

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Publications
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A Brave New World for Trade

Date de publication
21 December 2017
Accroche

The global environment for trade is undergoing significant changes. New emerging players such as China are aiming to adapt the rules and institutions inherited from the postwar Bretton Woods system.

 

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Is South Africa at Risk? A Political Economy Analysis

Date de publication
15 December 2017
Accroche

The President, Jacob Zuma, replaced his respected Minister of Finance, Pravin Gordhan, on the 30th March 2017. It was the second attempt in two years (this time successful) to put an official in this key position who is "acquiescent" to the president's projects.

Nicolas PONS-VIGNON

Michala MARCUSSEN - Trump: One Year After The Election

15 December 2017
Accroche

Is the American economy doing well? Will the Tax Reform change this? How could the bond markets evolve in 2018?

Karlyn BOWMAN - Trump: One Year After The Election

15 December 2017
Accroche

3 questions to Karlyn BOWMAN, Senior Fellow, American Entreprise Institute

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Chinese Investment in Europe. A Country-Level Approach

Date de publication
14 December 2017
Accroche

Chinese investments in Europe have surged in recent years, becoming both a source of hope and growing concern across the continent.

John SEAMAN Mikko HUOTARI Miguel OTERO-IGLESIAS

Chinese Think Tanks: Ambitions and Contradictions

Date de publication
30 November 2017
Accroche

Since Xi Jinping became president of China, the number of think tanks has considerably increased.

France and Japan in Africa: a Promising Partnership

Date de publication
31 July 2017
Accroche

If some African countries are on their way to achieving dynamic economic growth, many are also still struggling with a lack of economic and social infrastructure, latent governance issues and often complex and risky security environments. In this context, both Japan and European countries, especially France, are making efforts to increase not only their development assistance, but also private investments and security cooperation in Sub-Saharan Africa.

The German landscape of foundations and think tanks.

Date de publication
18 July 2017
Accroche

The number of crises we face is rising, due to failing states, wars and armed conflicts, poverty and lack of good governance in many countries. State and society are constantly confronted with new challenges. These crises occur simultaneously and at an ever faster pace. 

Nicole RENVERT
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Hong Kong, 20 ans years after the retrocession

01 July 2017
Accroche

20 years after its retrocession to China, the 1st July 1997, what are the political and institutionnal autonomy guaranties for Hong Kong, while Carrie Lam is about to take its lead? How long will Hong Kong youth claim its own identity? What challenges for the World City?

The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor and the New Regional Geopolitics

Date de publication
29 June 2017
Accroche

The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) brings a dimensional shift in the two countries' relations at a time of significant geopolitical change. But while it promises wide-ranging benefits for infrastructure development and economic growth in Pakistan, a number of important challenges remain to be overcome if the project is to be sustainable and produce long-term benefits for Pakistanis.

Zahid HUSSAIN

Japan's Revived African Policy

Date de publication
20 June 2017
Accroche

By organising TICAD (Tokyo International Conference on African Development) for the first time in Africa in August 2016, Japan intended to accelerate and deepen its relationship with the continent. 

The ASEAN Economic Community’s Original Integration Model

Date de publication
12 June 2017
Accroche

When it was created 50 years ago, ASEAN's (Association of Southeast Asian Nations) economic ambitions were rather modest. However, up until 1992 it progressively integrated the economies of its member states.

ASEAN at 50: Half a Century of Unique Experience

Date de publication
12 June 2017
Accroche

In its fifty-year existence, the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) has developed a complex, progressive and balanced approach to regional integration. Rather than the European Union’s far-reaching statements of ever-closer union, ASEAN combines highly diverse economic and political strategies of different States whose main priority is to safeguard sovereignty.

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Political Targets: Womenomics as an Economic and Foreign Relations Strategy

Date de publication
26 April 2017
Accroche

This paper provides an overview of the womenomics strategy launched by Japan Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, and shows how a plan designed to mitigate Japan’s demographic crises and labor shortages also evolved into a foreign relations strategy to help manage Japan’s reputation abroad on gender equality.

Linda HASUNUMA
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Europe Is at the Core of France’s Foreign Policy

Date de publication
24 April 2017
Accroche

It remains difficult to predict who will be the eventual winner of France’s upcoming presidential elections, with the first round to take place April 23 and a runoff between the top two candidates set for May 7.

 

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Foreign Policy Challenges for the Next French President

Date de publication
31 March 2017
Accroche

France’s current presidential campaign has created an unprecedented situation fuelled by revelations and a total absence of restraint, but it has not truly taken account of the disruptions of the last year: Brexit, the attempted coup in Turkey, the election of Donald Trump, the recapturing of Aleppo by Bashar al-Assad, Xi Jinping’s declarations about “economic globalization”, or the behavior of North Korea. The debate, or rather its absence, can be looked at in two ways.

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Chinese Investors in Ethiopia: The Perfect Match?

Date de publication
22 March 2017
Accroche

Since the fall of the Derg regime in 1991, cordial relations have developed between China and Ethiopia, forming a positive political backdrop in front of which the two countries’ interests have increasingly converged.

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With Trump, Time to Reinvent the European Trade Policy

Date de publication
10 March 2017
Accroche

The new American administration’s protectionist tendencies need to be taken seriously.

John SOLAL-AROUET Denis TERSEN
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The introduction of the minimum wage in Germany: a first assessment

Date de publication
24 February 2017
Accroche

Germany introduced a minimum wage on January 1st, 2015 – a first in a country that had hitherto left it to the social partners to agree on salaries. This introduction came after vivid debates between those who fought against ever deeper inequalities and those who defended the nation’s competitiveness. 

Brigitte LESTRADE
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New Space: The Impact of the Digital Revolution on Space Actors and Policies in Europe

Date de publication
17 January 2017
Accroche

Like most “traditional” industries, for several years the space industry has been faced with the challenges of digital technology. So, the European space industry is dealing with new actors from digital technology, which are mainly American start-ups or Silicon Valley giants such as GAFA (Google, Amazon, Facebook and Apple)

No Longer the 'Reactive State': Japan's Pro-Active Free Trade Posture

Date de publication
26 May 2011
Accroche

In late 2010, the Kan government proclaimed a very ambitious trade agenda, leaving no doubt as to its commitment to free trade. The Basic Policy on Comprehensive Economic Partnerships aimed to promote "high-level economic partnerships with major trading powers" and to "open up the country", including collecting information on the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) and consulting with the parties to it. 

Aurelia George MULGAN

Decoupling the Oil and Gas Prices: Natural Gas Pricing in the Post-Financial Crisis Market

Date de publication
24 May 2011
Accroche

This paper looks into natural gas pricing in the post-financial crisis market and, in particular, examines the question whether the oil-linked gas pricing system has outlived its utility as global gas markets mature and converge more rapidly than expected and as large new resources of unconventional gas shift the gas terms-of-trade.

Miharu KANAI

The G20 and the Challenge of International Financial Re-regulation

Date de publication
18 January 2011
Accroche

The crisis, it is now widely accepted, means that markets failed. Meeting for the first time in Washington in November 2008, the G20 embarked in a ride of re-regulation. Months of negotiations later, it dramatically appears different to agree on principles and broad objectives, and to write and enforce rules and commitments. 

Will We Drive Electric on Asian Batteries?

Date de publication
07 December 2010
Accroche

The development of the electric car market, supported by public funding, needs to be monitored closely. Currently, except for Renault benefiting from its electric partnership with Nissan, batteries for electric vehicles will most likely be outsourced. A lot of joint ventures are being signed with Asian battery companies and automotive suppliers. As a consequence, some argue that there is no rational to develop further and fund the European battery industry: batteries are already made more cheaply elsewhere.

European Defence Economy Afflicted by the Crisis

Date de publication
14 November 2010
Accroche

The European defence sector generates €86 billion annually - and that is only taking into account the 2009 turnover of the European defence industry for the three areas - aeronautics, land forces and naval forces.

Electric Cars: the Orient and the Occident

Date de publication
01 October 2010
Accroche

China is looking ahead and thinking electric. The Chinese government recently announced the release of $15 billion in a “Manhattan-style” venture to support electric vehicle (EV) research, standardization and development as part of its five-year plan and to meet its seemingly unattainable objective of introducing 500 000 “clean” vehicles per year by 2011. 

Rare Earths and Clean Energy: Analyzing China's Upper Hand

Date de publication
14 September 2010
Accroche

An ominous resource crunch in the so-called “rare earth elements” is now threatening the development of a number of key industries from energy to defense to consumer electronics. As key components in the latest generation of technologies, including specialized magnets for windmills and hybrid cars, lasers for range finders and “smart” munitions, and phosphors for LCD screens, demand for these rare metals is expected to grow rapidly in the years to come.

An Analysis of North Korea's Principal Trade Relations

Date de publication
15 July 2010
Accroche

The Direction of Trade Statistics by IMF is the most representative statistical data for bilateral trade with North Korea. However, IMF statistics underestimate North Korea's international trade since they do not classify inter-Korean trade as international trade. Therefore, this study restructures statistics on North Korea by combining the IMF and inter-Korean trade data, and it analyzes the structure of North Korea's international trade. In addition, it conducts a unique analysis of trade structures, since other studies have not analyzed production processes in North Korean trade.

This analysis identifies six main characteristics of North Korea's trade:

Hyung-Gon JEONG Hokyung BANG

Fiscal Deficit, Crowding Out, and the Sustainability of Economic Growth: The Case of the Indian Economy

Date de publication
10 July 2010
Accroche

This study examines the long-run relationship between the fiscal deficit, the crowding out of private capital formation and net exports for the Indian economy during the period from 1980-81 to 2008-09.

Sunitha RAJU Jaydeep MUKHERJEE
Support independent French research

Ifri, a foundation recognized as being of public utility, relies largely on private donors – companies and individuals – to guarantee its sustainability and intellectual independence. Through their funding, donors help maintain the Institute's position among the world's leading think tanks. By benefiting from an internationally recognized network and expertise, donors refine their understanding of geopolitical risk and its consequences on global politics and the economy. In 2026, Ifri partners with over 90 French and international companies and organizations.

Presentation of Ramses 2026, Ifri, Paris
Related centers and programs
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digital globe
Geoeconomics and Geofinance Initiative
Accroche centre

To analyze the impact of power rivalries and tensions on globalization, this initiative combines economic and political expertise. In the face of growing geopolitical risk, the goal is to decipher the dynamics of reconfiguration: protectionist pressures, sanctions, restrictions, industrial policies, and economic security concerns are redefining the rules of international trade. These tensions are also transforming international financial relations by undermining the foundations of trust and reshaping the global monetary system. They raise questions about the role of several key players: sovereign wealth funds, central banks, digital platforms, multilateral institutions, and financial infrastructure operators. In a context of profound disruption, simply refining existing approaches is no longer sufficient. The initiative is designed as a flexible model, drawing on diverse expertise to offer both broad overviews and targeted analyses. It also provides a platform for stakeholders and experts from various backgrounds to debate these issues freely.

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