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European Solar PV Manufacturing: Terminal Decline or Hope for a Rebirth?

Date de publication
25 April 2024
Accroche

While solar photovoltaic (PV) installations are booming in Europe (and in other parts of the world), the local industry is closing down. Over the past two years, the European installed solar PV capacity has been multiplied by two. On the other hand, the remaining European manufacturers of solar PV panels are dying.

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The Future of Nuclear Proliferation after the War in Ukraine

Date de publication
16 April 2024
Accroche

In the context of deep changes to the international security environment, especially the war in Ukraine, the risks of nuclear proliferation seem quite high, especially in the Middle East and East Asia.

 
Nicholas L. MILLER
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Decentralization and Its Effects on Urban Governance in Africa

Date de publication
15 April 2024
Accroche

The importance of African cities as economic, political, and social actors is increasing. While Africa used to be perceived as a predominantly rural continent, it is estimated that by 2050, the urban population of the continent will increase by around 900 million people, nearly tripling.[1] 

Lena GUTHEIL
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Global Gateway: Towards a European External Climate Security Strategy?

Date de publication
11 April 2024
Accroche

Transport, energy, water and telecommunications infrastructures are vital for economic development. These infrastructures are also fundamental for the achievement of the 2030 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), which have suffered a setback notably due to the Covid-19 pandemic, wars, and weak economic performance. Based on the Global Infrastructure Outlook, the world needs 97 trillion dollars ($) in infrastructure investments (energy, water, airports, ports, rail, road, and telecommunications) over 2016-2040, and based on the current investment trends ($79 trillion over the given period), the cumulative global infrastructure investment gap amounts to $18 trillion.

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After the Failure in the Sahel, Rethinking French Policy in Africa

Date de publication
10 April 2024
Accroche

Condemnations of French politics have gained momentum in recent years in French-speaking Africa. The grievances are multiple: military interventions, the persistence of the regional currency inherited from colonial time (CFA franc), development aid policy, restrictive visa policy, etc. However, the reasoned criticism against the French policy in Africa has turned into an anti-French diatribe on social networks and in the simplistic rhetoric of neo-Pan-Africanists.

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The United States’ Strategy for Securing Critical Minerals Supplies: Can It Meet the Needs of the IRA?

Date de publication
09 April 2024
Accroche

The United States (US) reliance on foreign supplies of raw and processed critical minerals is pressing Washington to devise a strategy to secure short-, medium- and long-term solutions. Pressure only increased with the booming demand spurred partly by the Inflation Reduction Act’s (IRA) policies.

Raphael DEBERDT
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NATO's New Ambitions for Space

Date de publication
04 April 2024
Accroche

Ahead of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, a devastating cyber attack targets Ukrainian army communications, exposing Western dependence and vulnerability to space technologies, and calling NATO's defensive posture into question.

Béatrice HAINAUT
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The Major Challenges of Ahmed Bola Tinubu's Nigerian Administration

Date de publication
03 April 2024
Accroche

Voter turnout for Nigeria's presidential elections in February-March 2023 has never been so low since the country's return to democracy in 1999. Nigeria's new president, Ahmed Bola Tinubu, must now reassure voters that Africa's leading economy is capable of putting the lie to a persistent image of a country in decline.

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"A Capital City Will Always Be a Capital City”: Konya’s Rise Under the AKP’s Rule

Date de publication
27 March 2024
Accroche

While the May 2023 parliamentary and presidential elections looked as a difficult test for the flagging Islamo-conservative Justice and Development Party (AKP), they eventually held on to power, demonstrating their remarkable foothold in the Turkish context. The party notably recorded one of its highest scores in Konya, confirming the massive and uninterrupted support of this two-million inhabitants central Anatolian city for Turkish political Islam.

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Tailoring Deterrence for the High North: Nuclear Consequences of Sweden’s Accession to NATO

Date de publication
26 March 2024
Accroche

The Finnish and Swedish accessions to NATO enable the Alliance to play a more active role in the Baltic region.

 
Karl SÖRENSON
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EU-China relations: De-risking or de-coupling − the future of the EU strategy towards China

Date de publication
26 March 2024
Accroche

As the European Union (EU) prepares for a new round of parliamentary elections, how should the bloc consider its strategy towards China?

John SEAMAN Andreea BRINZA Una Alexandra BERZINA-CERENKOVA Philippe LE CORRE Richard Q. TURCSANYI Stefan VLADISAVLJEV
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Russia’s Ideological Construction in the Context of the War in Ukraine

Date de publication
22 March 2024
Accroche

Since the full-scale invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, the Russian government has been proactive in the ideological realm to ensure the sustainability of the war for Russian society. 

AfD’s Foreign Policy Between Disengagement in the West and Partnership in the East

Date de publication
21 March 2024
Accroche

The Alternative for Germany (AfD) was formed in 2013 in the context of the currency crisis as an “alternative” to the Merkel government’s policy of rescuing the euro. Since then, the party’s platforms for the European elections in 2014, 2019 and 2024 have become increasingly radical. 

Hans STARK Etienne DUBSLAFF
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Germany’s Strategy on Climate Foreign Policy: Balancing Sustainable Development and Energy Security

Date de publication
18 March 2024
Accroche

With the war in Ukraine, Germany’s “traffic light” coalition government has had to adapt its climate policy to the upheavals caused by this war, which has turned its economic, energy, and military model upside down. Against a backdrop of high energy costs and increasing calls for reshoring in Europe, German industry is looking at how to maintain its competitiveness while decarbonizing its industry.

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The French Army in The Sahel: A Corpus Doctrinae Put to the Test

Date de publication
14 March 2024
Accroche

Armies’ doctrines of engagement are constantly evolving in line with experience in the field. 

Niagalé BAGAYOKO
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Cross-border Dynamics in Terrorist Mobility and Infiltration along the East African Coastlines

Date de publication
12 March 2024
Accroche

This paper looks at how terrorism has thrived in the East African region, the evolving nature of criminality and terrorism, and the crime-terror nexus in the coastal and maritime areas of East Africa. The emphasis of the analysis is on the Kenyan coastal regions with a focus on three counties, namely, Kwale, Kilifi, and Lamu.

Fathima Azmiya BADURDEEN

The World Through the Lens of Ukraine

Date de publication
08 March 2024
Accroche

This issue of Politique étrangère looks at three conflicts currently unfolding around the world.

The Military Stakes in the War in Ukraine: An Illusory Stalemate?

Date de publication
08 March 2024
Accroche

The Ukrainian counter-offensive, which was supposed to result in a major breakthrough in 2023, came up against solid Russian defenses and ended in failure.

Yohann MICHEL Olivier SCHMITT Élie TENENBAUM

Africa, A Mirror for France's Troubles?

Date de publication
08 March 2024
Accroche

France's setbacks in the Sahel should not lead it to forget the long-standing historical ties that bind it to many African countries. 

Hervé GAYMARD
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Why Chinese Fintechs Have Failed to Reshuffle International Finance

Date de publication
04 March 2024
Accroche

New Chinese financial technologies, including unparalleled electronic payment systems, have so far failed to threaten U.S. financial dominance.

Martin CHORZEMPA
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Electric Vehicles: A Strong and Still Understated Performance

Date de publication
01 March 2024
Accroche

Electric vehicles (EVs) are better for the climate – even in worst-case scenarios. Across its life cycle, a typical European electric car produces less greenhouse gas (GHG) and air pollutants or noise than its petrol or diesel equivalent. Emissions are usually higher in the production phase, but these are more than offset over time by lower emissions in the use phase. According to the European Environment Agency’s report on electric vehicles, life cycle GHG emissions of EVs are about 17-30% lower than those of petrol and diesel cars.

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A Splintered Internet? Internet Fragmentation and the Strategies of China, Russia, India and the European Union

Date de publication
27 February 2024
Accroche

From the Covid-19 pandemic to the ramifications of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, international events are fueling fears of an accelerated fragmentation of the global Internet. 

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South Korea’s Emergence as a Defense Industrial Powerhouse

Date de publication
09 February 2024
Accroche

In recent years, South Korea’s ascent in the global arms market has been remarkable. This surge, particularly amid a shifting geopolitical landscape and the ongoing Ukraine-Russia War, has captured the attention of security watchers worldwide.

Wooyeal PAIK
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Indonesia’s 2024 Presidential Elections: Campaigning for Continuity

Date de publication
07 February 2024
Accroche

Indonesia is gearing up for its next general election on February 14, with a potential runoff scheduled in late June. This major electoral process will determine the nation’s next president and vice-president since incumbent President Joko Widodo, also known as Jokowi, will step down after ten years in office in compliance with the constitutional limit of two terms.

Juliette LOESCH
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The French Approach to Female Violent Extremist Offenders

Date de publication
05 February 2024
Accroche

How are women jihadists prosecuted and sentenced in different European countries? What happens when they are incarcerated? What reintegration programs are in place for women formerly detained for terrorism-related offenses?

China, technical standardization, and the future of globalization

Date de publication
01 February 2024
Accroche

As the global economy sits at a crossroad between connectivity-driven globalization and strategic decoupling, technical standardization provides a valuable measure of where we are headed.

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How Can the Green Deal Adapt to a Brutal World?

Date de publication
25 January 2024
Accroche

The European Green Deal has not been planned for the current extraordinarily deteriorated internal and external environment. Russia’s war in Ukraine, higher interest rates, inflation, strained public finances, weakened value chains, and lack of crucial skills pose unprecedented challenges. 

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Evolution and Dynamics of the Space Industry in South Korea

Date de publication
24 January 2024
Accroche

The advent of the 21st century has witnessed the rise of the space industry as a pivotal arena of technological innovation, economic opportunity, and geopolitical significance. Amidst this global landscape, South Korea has emerged as an increasingly influential player in space exploration and technology.

Seungjoo LEE Sangwoo SHIN
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‘‘Jusqu’ici, tout va bien’’ ? A Cross-Analysis of Protest Cultures in France and Germany

Date de publication
22 January 2024
Accroche

The influence of different protest cultures on democracy in Germany and France is complex. The protest takes various forms, serves as political representation, and contributes to the formation of political opinion.

Florian STAUDT
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Taiwan's Elections: Victory but No Blank Check for William Lai

Date de publication
19 January 2024
Accroche

On January 13, 2024, the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) was reelected for an unprecedented third consecutive term since popular elections began in 1996.

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China in International Space Cooperation: Heading South

Date de publication
19 January 2024
Accroche

In only three decades, China has become one of the world’s top space powers. At the turn of the 2020s, almost suddenly, China became the main challenger to the US, although with a significant remaining gap to bridge.

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Understanding the Role of Women in Nigeria’s Non-State Armed Groups and Security Architecture

Date de publication
18 January 2024
Accroche

Since 1999, when Nigeria returned to civilian government after successive military regimes, it has continued to face enormous challenges to its legitimacy and monopoly of the use of force. 

Michael NWANKPA
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First Year of Lula: Overview of the Political Situation in Brazil

Date de publication
11 January 2024
Accroche

This Briefing offers an analysis of Brazil's political and economic situation and prospects at the end of 2023. It also examines Brazil's position on certain international relations issues, thirteen months after Lula's election.

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Taiwan’s 2024 Elections: A Moving Political Landscape with China Remaining Front and Center

Date de publication
09 January 2024
Accroche

On January 13th the young Taiwanese democracy will hold its 8th presidential election since direct universal suffrage began in 1996. The same day, the people of Taiwan will elect a new Parliament – the Legislative Yuan – which will start its term on February 1st. President Tsai Ingwen’s second and final term will come to an end in May.

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Islam, politique et société en Ouzbékistan. Enquête sur le renouveau religieux de la jeunesse ouzbèke

Date de publication
08 January 2024
Accroche

This study aims to decipher the complex relationships between politics, Islam, and society in Uzbekistan and, more specifically, the dynamics at work in the religious revival of Uzbek youth.

Olivier FERRANDO

Central Asia: Making Use of a Historic Opportunity

Date de publication
15 December 2023
Accroche

This report analyzes the economic and geopolitical situation in Central Asia.

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Thorns and Alliances. German, French and European Agricultural Policy Between Food Safety and Respect for the Environment

Date de publication
14 December 2023
Accroche

Influences and developments within German agricultural policy have undergone significant transformations over the past 70 years, especially in the context of the dynamic Franco-German relations and the pivotal role both nations play in shaping the European Union’s Common Agricultural Policy (CAP). 

Kristina MENSAH Bettina RUDLOFF
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Climate, Finance, and Geopolitics: Human Self-delusions and the Challenges for Europe

Date de publication
11 December 2023
Accroche

The combination of geopolitical tensions, climate disruption, and the growing role of finance in the economy is taking us into uncharted territory. Until recently, each of these subjects was handled separately, but they are now inextricably linked by two shared characteristics: the gravity of the threat, and the fact that they all lay bare the scale of human self-delusions.

Sylvie GOULARD, Former Minister and Member of the European Parliament, President of the Franco-German Institute in Ludwigsburg
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"Information Fusion": A Lever of Maritime Power for France?

Date de publication
07 December 2023
Accroche

France is a seafaring nation. The stability of its national economy, trade, and security are inextricably linked to the maritime character of international trade.

Jérémy BACHELIER Philippe BOULANGER

The South versus the West?

Date de publication
05 December 2023
Accroche

In 2023, forums that amplify the voice of the “Global South” have proliferated and grown louder. As contradictory and divided as they may be, these forums (BRICS+, Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), G20, the Group of 77, the European Silk Road Summit…) attest to the emergence of new power relations, and especially new directions in foreign policy, with states rejecting alignment with the dominant powers of the past in favor of putting their own interests first. A new world is taking shape, with changeable, still uncertain, contours.

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