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Donald Trump, Dallas, Texas - August 6
Events
Date
October 2026

One Month Ahead of the Midterms: Where Is Trump’s America Headed?

The 24th edition of the Ifri Americas Programme Annual Conference will examine the dynamics at play in the United States and their implications for Europe and the transatlantic relationship. The November elections will be a test of President Trump’s grip on the U.S. political landscape and, by extension, on global geopolitics. As the political battle intensifies ahead of the vote, the U.S. economy remains resilient despite inflation and the twists and turns of trade policy, while the international order continues to be deeply unsettled by the war with Iran.

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The Plight of Russia’s Air Power in the Ukraine War: Drone-Driven Innovations and Transformation of Traditional Air Force

Date de publication
28 September 2026
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Since the start of the Ukraine War, Russian strategic guidelines on the application of air power—seen as the decisive instrument for achieving success in modern wars—have proven to be outdated, irrelevant and even self-defeating.

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27 Plans for 2027: Turning the Electrification Action Plan into National Action

Date de publication
21 September 2026
Accroche

With the aim of structurally reducing the European economy’s dependence on fossil fuel imports and accelerating the energy transition, the European Commission has opted for electrification.

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Confronting Russia’s High-Velocity Arsenal: European Challenges and Solutions

Date de publication
11 September 2026
Accroche

Since February 2022, Russian missile and long-range drone strikes against Ukraine have served as near-daily reminders of what European states could face in a war with Russia. The same weapon systems battering Ukrainian infrastructure and population centers would be directed against European military and civilian targets in any confrontation between Russia and NATO. As Russian missile production expands and its arsenal diversifies, Europe must confront an uncomfortable question: how to deter, and if push comes to shove, fight Russia's long-range strike arsenal?

Fabian HOFFMANN
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China and Trade in CRMs

China and Trade in Critical Raw Materials (CRMs)

Date de publication
15 September 2026
Accroche

Critical raw materials (CRMs) have become central features of a new dynamic in global power politics, with China now wielding considerable leverage. Amid rising regional and global uncertainty, resource security is back in the spotlight as a key determinant of sovereignty and national security for Europe, its allies and its partners. The very survival of key, even vital industries, from automotive to aerospace to health to energy to defense, is at stake.

John SEAMAN Vincent DONNEN Wouter JACOBS
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Stability under Pressure. A Pakistani View on Nuclear Deterrence after Pahalgam

Date de publication
24 June 2026
Accroche

The May 2025 India-Pakistan crisis after the Pahalgam attack has generated a familiar but incomplete debate: did nuclear deterrence work, or did it merely allow both sides to fight a limited war under the nuclear shadow? The better answer is that deterrence worked at the level at which it was designed to work. It prevented a general war and an uncontrolled vertical escalation, and kept nuclear weapons in the background. But it did not prevent India from attempting to carve out space for conventional action, nor did it prevent Pakistan from responding conventionally to restore deterrence credibility.

Rabia Akhtar
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The Transfer Paradox. Rethinking Global Imbalances

Date de publication
16 July 2026
Accroche

Global imbalances have come back to the top of the policy agenda. Many analyses and reports have been produced over recent months. The standard prescription involves better coordination of macroeconomic policies, with three familiar recommendations: higher consumption in China, higher investment in Europe, and fiscal consolidation in the United States.

Sébastien JEAN Jean-Pierre LANDAU

In the media

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Why Xi’s US trip leaves Europe relieved by the trade truce – but wary of what comes next

27 September 2026
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South China Morning Post
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The summit in Washington eases near-term uncertainty over rare earths, but analysts fear the bloc could have less say over decisions shaping its economic interests.

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Defence 24
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French nuclear deterrence: modernisation, forward presence and support for Poland

25 September 2026
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Nom du journal, revue ou émission
Defence24
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France is entering one of the most important phases of modernising its nuclear deterrent since the end of the Cold War. Over the next decade, a significant part of the systems that make up the Force de dissuasion will be replaced, while Paris is simultaneously trying to strengthen the European dimension of its doctrine through the concept of forward deterrence. For Poland, two questions are particularly important: will this initiative survive the presidential transition in 2027, and can Poland’s security become permanently connected to the French understanding of “vital interests”? 

Upcoming Events
Videoconferences
Open event
12 October 2026
The EU in a World of Economic Warfare: Trade, Geopolitics, and the Battle for Economic Sovereignty
The international trading system has become a primary theatre of geopolitical competition. Tariffs, sanctions, and technology controls have replaced dialogue as the default instruments of economic relations.
Conferences
Open event
14 October 2026
Navigating Uncertainty: Asian Powers amid US-China Competition
As relations between China and the United States oscillate between hardening competition and strategic stability, regional powers in Asia must adapt to greater uncertainty.

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Relive the 2026 World Policy Conference

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From April 24 to 26, 2026, in Chantilly, the World Policy Conference brought together political leaders, business decision-makers, researchers, and journalists from all five continents to discuss the major global challenges.

 

→ Access the full video replays of the sessions and discover the highlights of this unique event, founded and chaired by Thierry de Montbrial.

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WPC 2026 carrousel

Understand today's world to better shape it tomorrow

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Ifri Building, Paris

For more than 45 years, Ifri has placed international relations at the center of discussions for the benefit of the general interest.

Support independent French research

Ifri, a foundation recognized as being of public utility, relies largely on private donors – companies and individuals – to guarantee its sustainability and intellectual independence. Through their funding, donors help maintain the Institute's position among the world's leading think tanks. By benefiting from an internationally recognized network and expertise, donors refine their understanding of geopolitical risk and its consequences on global politics and the economy. In 2026, Ifri partners with over 90 French and international companies and organizations.

Presentation of Ramses 2026, Ifri, Paris
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Geopolitical Stakes of the New Moon Race
Replay - Geopolitical Stakes of the New Moon Race
June 2026
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As the United States, China, and India solidify their lunar ambitions, Europe is still seeking to define its stance: should it be a reliable partner or an autonomous strategic player?

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US-Europe Adrift: (making sense of) transatlantic security in the age of Trump
Replay - The United States and Europe Adrift: Transatlantic Security in the Trump Era
April 2026
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Against an international backdrop marked by the war in Ukraine, Russia’s emergence as a lasting threat to Europe, and an uncertain U.S. commitment to the Old Continent, questions about the future of the transatlantic relationship are mounting.

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A conversation with Anwar Gargash, Diplomatic Advisor to the President of the United Arab Emirates
A conversation with Anwar Gargash, Diplomatic Advisor to the President of the United Arab Emirates
April 2026
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In an exceptional debate with Thierry de Montbrial, Anwar Gargash, Diplomatic Advisor to the President of the Un

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Latest publications

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Ramses 2027
"Au cœur des tempêtes"

Every year, Ramses provides the essential keys and benchmarks to decipher developments in the world. Ramses 2027, Dunod/Ifri, September 2026

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Cover Ramses 2027
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Politique étrangère

The journal of debates and analyses on major international issues.

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politique étrangère automne 2026
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