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Energy-Climate

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In the face of the climate emergency and geopolitical confrontations, how can we reconcile security of supply, competitiveness, accessibility, decarbonization and acceptability? What policies are needed?

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Publications
Analyse mise en avant
Date de publication
March 2026

The US’s Critical Mineral Offensive Strategy: How Can Europe Step Up?

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As Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) economies are confronted with mounting threats to critical raw materials (CRM) supplies, resolute interventionist policies are needed to build resilient value chains. 
 

Thibault MICHEL Peter HANDLEY

The US Oil Embargo on Iran: A New Oil Shock?

Date de publication
17 October 2018
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The 14 July 2015 Vienna agreement on Iran’s nuclear activities (Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action – JCPoA) was a game changer on the geopolitics in the Middle East and for the oil market. The oil sanctions were lifted and Iran increased significantly its production and exports. On 8 May 2018, President Trump announced that the United Stated (US) would withdraw from the agreement. Financial sanctions were reintroduced. From 5 November 2018 onwards, further sanctions will be re-imposed more specifically on petroleum related transactions, including the purchase of petroleum, petroleum products and petrochemical products. What could be the impact of this new embargo? Is there a risk of a new oil supply and price shock?

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The Next Wave of Global LNG Investment Is Coming

Date de publication
16 October 2018
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With an annual growth of 10% in 2017 to 290 million tons (Mt) and 8.3% in the first half of 2018,​ Liquified Natural Gas (LNG) demand is rising faster than expected. Accounting for 44% of global demand growth in 2017, China is the main driver of the growth as the government has made natural gas a key policy choice to reduce air pollution and restructure its high-carbon energy mix. 

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Brexit, Electricity and the No-Deal Scenario: Perspectives from Continental Europe, Ireland and the UK

Date de publication
15 October 2018
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When it comes to energy and electricity in particular, there can be no winner in the Brexit negotiations. The only reasonable objective should be to minimise losses and avoid trade friction.

Carole MATHIEU Steve PYE Paul DEANE
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Belgium's creaky nuclear reactors raise risk of winter power outages

10 October 2018
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Belgium is slowly phasing out its aging nuclear energy infrastructure. But looming winter weather, limited renewable options and a poorly connected electricity network have left the country at risk of blackouts.

 

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Japan’s Hydrogen Strategy and Its Economic and Geopolitical Implications

Date de publication
08 October 2018
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With the Basic Hydrogen Strategy (hereafter, the Strategy) released on December 26, 2017, Japan reiterated its commitment to pioneer the world’s first “Hydrogen Society”. The Strategy primarily aims to achieve the cost parity of hydrogen with competing fuels, such as gasoline in transport and Liquified Natural Gas (LNG) in power generation. 

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Booming Prices on the European Emission Trading System: From Market Oversupply to Carbon Bubble?

Date de publication
08 October 2018
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Since its creation in 2005, the European emission trading system (EU ETS) has been through several periods of turmoil. With emission allowances (EUA) averaging around 7 euros per ton from 2012 to 2017, European Member States have been trying to remedy the depressed price signals successively through market design reforms at both European level (backloading, market stability reserve) and national level, with the UK introducing a carbon price floor for its domestic power sector in 2013.

Charlotte ROIG-RAMOS

Xi Jinping’s Institutional Reforms: Environment over Energy?

Date de publication
02 October 2018
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During its two sessions (lianghui) in March 2018, the National People’s Congress (NPC) announced China’s most important institutional reforms in the last 30 years. These changes occurred right after Xi Jinping consolidated his power and at a time when stakeholders working in the energy field were expecting more clarity on policy orientations. 

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COMMENT: Does the Trump-led trade war with China threaten US energy dominance?

28 September 2018
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President Trump is using tariffs and quotas as weapons in his trade dispute with China. Sylvie Cornot-Gandolphe and Jean-François Boittin of think tank the French Institute of International Relations (IFRI) argue that his actions threaten US energy dominance worldwide.

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The Trump-led Trade War with China: Energy Dominance Self-destructed?

Date de publication
24 September 2018
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Under particular US legal rationale, such as calling foreign imports a “national security threat”, President Donald Trump has started imposing tariffs and/or quotas and has launched national security investigations on a growing number of imported goods from US allies and others alike.

Transitions from War to Peace

Date de publication
10 September 2018
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How do we get out of wars? One hundred years after 1918, Politique étrangère’s special report takes up this question from different perspectives in relation to the conflicts in which Western armies, willingly or otherwise, are embroiled.

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The Power of China’s Energy Efficiency Policies

Date de publication
05 September 2018
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In just a few years, China has gained the status of an energy efficiency champion. 

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L’Égypte, nouvelle plateforme gazière en Méditerranée orientale

Date de publication
03 September 2018
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Recent offshore gas discoveries in the Eastern Mediterranean, primarily in Egypt as well as in Israel, but also around Cyprus, are dramatically changing these countries' energy perspectives and economies, and also influence geopolitical balances in the region. 

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French environment minister Nicolas Hulot resigns

28 August 2018
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Activist hits out at President Macron for taking only ‘small steps’ on green issues in government

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The Vienna Compromise

02 August 2018
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In June, the alliance of producing countries decided to increase the output of crude oil, against the backdrop of a surge in prices and severe restrictions on imports to Venezuela and Iran, shaken by sanctions and economic difficulties

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Romania: a key player in the Energy Union for the security of natural gas supply?

Date de publication
01 August 2018
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In 2015, Maroš Šefcovic, Vice President of the European Commission for Energy Union, was writing about Romania as being «at a crossroads - both in strategic and physical terms.

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Super-synergies could arise from cross-border projects

30 July 2018
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Shared projects, shared tenders and joint R&D projects could see low-cost offshore windfarms and interconnectors criss-crossing the North Sea.

 

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The Expansion of Offshore Wind Power in the North Sea: A Strategic Opportunity for the European Union

Date de publication
16 July 2018
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The North Sea is the cradle of the global offshore wind industry. The favourable wind patterns in the Southern part and the low depth of water have created an enabling environment for the construction of the first wind turbines in the world.  Public policies have progressively encouraged their deployment in the best-endowed countries: Belgium, Denmark, Germany, the Netherlands and the United-Kingdom. 

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Navigating the Storm: ‘OPEC+’ Producers Facing Lower Oil Prices

Date de publication
18 June 2018
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On 22 June 2018, “OPEC+” oil Ministers (Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries members and an ad hoc alliance with several non-OPEC producers, notably with Russia, Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan) will gather in Vienna to discuss the status and future of their production limitation agreement which was initiated in November 2016 and runs until the end of December 2018.

Marc-Antoine EYL-MAZZEGA Carole MATHIEU Elodie BERNARD Philippe COPINSCHI Saïd NACHET Isabelle ROUSSEAU
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Coal Exit or Coal Expansion? A Review of Coal Market Trends and Policies in 2017

Date de publication
31 May 2018
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Coal in the power sector is the principal focus of climate-related policies due to its high carbon intensity, making CO2 emissions from coal a leading contributor to climate change. 

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Oil Exploration and Production in Africa since 2014. Evolution of the Key Players and their Strategies

Date de publication
17 May 2018
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The fall in oil prices, which began in fall 2014, had a significant influence on the strategies of the key players in the oil industry in Africa. 

The Saudi Electricity Sector: Pressing Issues and Challenges

Date de publication
01 April 2015
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With 266 billion barrels of proved oil reserves (16% of world total), Saudi Arabia holds the world's largest (conventional) crude oil reserves, was the largest exporter of total petroleum liquids in 2013, and the second largest petroleum liquids producer behind the United States[1]

Marie-Claire AOUN Saïd NACHET

Ifri’s conference on the New Frontiers of Energy Identified Strategic Orientations for the European Energy Union

Date de publication
13 March 2015
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The Ifri Center for Energy held its annual conference in Brussels on March 4th, 2015. The event gathered more than 150 participants, together with prominent policy makers, industry leaders and distinguished academics to discuss how the European energy policy can deliver effective results in light of geopolitical upheavals, technological developments and governance issues.

To download the presentations, click here

Energy Union: What's Inside the Defence Walls?

Date de publication
10 March 2015
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Conflicts in Ukraine and Middle East are giving resonance to the proposal for an Energy Union, originated by Poland, and, initiated by the European Commission. Indeed, access to affordable energy stands as a major concern for all EU citizens and becomes, as such, a strong political argument for the Juncker Commission to back-up an Energy Union.

The US Shale Oil Revolution: The Test of the Business Model is Underway

Date de publication
30 January 2015
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Since 2010, the United States has been undergoing a second shale revolution with the very rapid development of Light Tight Oil (LTO) or shale oil, following the revolution in shale gas. This development has allowed the production of oil and liquids to increase, so that the US is the world’s largest producer today, ahead of Saudi Arabia and Russia.

The EU Electricity Policy Outlook for the Smart Grid Roll-Out

Date de publication
16 October 2014
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The energy transition from a socio-economic system based on fossil fuels to a sustainable low-carbon system is a multi-facetted process. This “transformation” of the energy system, more specifically of the power system, creates several challenges.

Greenland and Iceland: Meeting Place of Global Powers in the Arctic

Date de publication
04 September 2014
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At the crossroads of American, European and Asian interests in the Arctic, Greenland and Iceland, the importance of which had for too long been underestimated, are set to play a central role in future regional developments. In order to exploit the potential of their growing economic ties with Asia, without becoming the Arctic “weak links”, Greenland and Iceland need to secure their economy on a long-term basis.

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Strengths and weakness of the European Union gas security of supply

Date de publication
01 September 2014
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Lead Authors: Marie-Claire Aoun and Quentin Boulanger (IFRI); Authoring Team: Damir Pešut, Marko Matosović and Robert Bošnjak (EIHP); Paul Deane, James Glynn and Brian Ó Gallachóir (UCC); Reviewer: Nathalie Desbrosses (Enerdata)

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Coal and Climate Change: the "Chinese Way" ?

Date de publication
29 June 2014
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This article, issued after Asia Center and ASEF's international conference on coal issues in China (26th and 27th of June 2014 in Beijing), tackles the challenges the country is facing in restructuring its coal industry, in a context of severe and recurrent air, soil and water pollution outbursts.

The European Energy Policy: Building New Perspectives

Date de publication
30 April 2014
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“After 17 years of supranationality, we are still seeking how to define a common energy policy and what it might be. [...] Could we have done more in one generation? Or were goals only established to achieve a political balance which it was explicitly agreed to ignore, once the machinery began to operate? Historians will have a hard task to distinguish between excessive ambitions and national hypocrisies”.

Raising the Costs to President Putin

Date de publication
01 April 2014
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-by building dissonance within. Some like to remember fondly the call by Ronald Reagan for Gorbachev “to tear down this wall”. The United States “Won the Cold War” said George Bush Senior in his State of the Union Address. We need to step back and recognize with some humility that the Soviet Union fell largely of its own weight rather than as a result of external pressure. Again today Russia is economically weak. It has become an exporter of raw materials, its industrial sector is weak, and its revenues are already falling. Conditions now offer the opportunity to aggravate Russia’s economic frailty – let’s focus on that.

William C. RAMSAY
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Ifri, a foundation recognized as being of public utility, relies largely on private donors – companies and individuals – to guarantee its sustainability and intellectual independence. Through their funding, donors help maintain the Institute's position among the world's leading think tanks. By benefiting from an internationally recognized network and expertise, donors refine their understanding of geopolitical risk and its consequences on global politics and the economy. In 2026, Ifri partners with over 90 French and international companies and organizations.

Presentation of Ramses 2026, Ifri, Paris
Related centers and programs
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Climate & Energy
Center for Energy & Climate
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Ifri's Energy and Climate Center carries out activities and research on the geopolitical and geoeconomic issues of energy transitions such as energy security, competitiveness, control of value chains, and acceptability. Specialized in the study of European energy/climate policies as well as energy markets in Europe and around the world, its work also focuses on the energy and climate strategies of major powers such as the United States, China or India. It offers recognized expertise, enriched by international collaborations and events, particularly in Paris and Brussels.

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