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War and Armed conflict

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The geography and modalities of wars and armed conflicts are evolving in step with the international system. While irregular wars and asymmetrical conflicts persist, high-intensity wars are multiplying, while crises are taking on new forms as a result of hybrid threats.

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War In Ukraine: Why Mariupol Is A Priority Target For Russia

31 March 2022
Accroche

Since the beginning of the Russian invasion, the port city of Mariupol, located on the Sea of Azov, has been of great strategic interest to Moscow. Vladimir Putin has made it a symbolic objective.

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Renault’s Russia dilemma

17 March 2022
Accroche

Renault had for months been plotting to export a newfangled version of the Lada to the reste of the world. although realising that ambition remained some way off, it would have capped the revival of a brand arguably more synonymous with the Soviet Union than any other and which Renault first took a punt on in 2007 after then chief Carlos Ghosn identified Russia as a promising market. 

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China sees at least one winner emerging from Ukraine war: China

15 March 2022
Accroche

Officials in Beijing believe it can take advantage of a distracted US and weakened Russia. The war in Ukraine is far from over, but a consensus is forming in Chinese policy circles that one country stands to emerge victorious from the turmoil: China.

 
 
 
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Putin’s War is Stuck, Beware The Rising Risks

28 February 2022
Accroche

Data on the concentration of Russian troops was solid; the diplomatic offensive executed by Moscow was deliberately disagreeable; yet, many experts (myself including) refused to accept the proposition on the coming war as “inevitable”.

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France hopes deporting more alleged radicals will bring security

04 July 2021
Accroche

France has repatriated more than half the people it defined as radical Islamists living in the country without a residence permit since 2018. Now it wants to extend the penalty and deport even more.

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Army colonel sworn in as Mali president as tensions with Paris grow

07 June 2021
Accroche

Assimi Goïta vows to uphold republican regime and democracy in Mali.

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France Halts Joint Military Operations with Mali Over Coup

03 June 2021
Accroche

PARIS - France said Thursday it would suspend joint military operations with Malian forces after the West African country's second coup in nine months, adding to international pressure for the military junta to return civilians to positions of power.

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Russia’s spat with EU puts relations into deep-freeze

10 February 2021
Accroche

Kremlin stance is blow to European countries which favour outreach to Moscow. Russia’s combative treatment of the EU’s top diplomat during a landmark trip there has triggered a political outcry — but little expectation that the European bloc will end divisions over how to handle the Kremlin.

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E.U.’s Top Drug Regulator Says It’s ‘Fully Functional’ After Cyberattack

10 December 2020
Accroche

The European Union’s top drug regulator, whose approval is necessary for countries of the bloc to begin rolling out the coronavirus vaccine, has begun an investigation after it was hit by a cyberattack, the head of the agency said on Thursday.

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Navalny poisoning shatters Macron's Russia reset dream

09 September 2020
Accroche

The poisoning of Russian opposition figure Alexei Navalny with the Novichok nerve agent has dealt a blow to French President Emmanuel Macron's strategy of rapprochement with Russia, which troubled some EU allies, analysts say.

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Is Russia Fascist? Unraveling Propaganda East and West

Date de publication
15 March 2021
Accroche

The charge of "fascism" has become a strategic narrative of the current world order.

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No Peacemakers for the New / Old Caucasian War: Understanding the Armenia-Azerbaijan Clash

Date de publication
30 September 2020
Accroche

A full-blown war erupted in the South Caucasus last Sunday, September 27, and as the two belligerents — Armenia and Azerbaijan — mobilize their forces under martial law, no international authority is trying in earnest to stop the hostilities. The conflict over the disputed Nagorno-Karabakh region ignited 30 years ago as the Soviet Union was collapsing and has never effectively “frozen.” The cease-fire Russia negotiated in May 1994 was not backed by a peacekeeping operation, and clashes have kept occurring, most notably in April 2016.

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The Future of Urban Warfare in the Age of Megacities

Date de publication
21 March 2019
Accroche

Urbanization is a relentless trend, and as cities grow and expand, armed conflict and violence are urbanizing as well. 

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In Helsinki, Putin Can Grant Trump Great Success, of Sorts

Date de publication
03 July 2018
Accroche

The July 16, 2018, face-to-face between President Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin is both entirely natural and extremely unconventional, very encouraging and deeply disturbing.

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La guerre nucléaire limitée : un renouveau stratégique américain

Date de publication
21 November 2017
Accroche

Over the past few years, a debate on possible scenarios of limited nuclear weapons use has surfaced again in the United States. Russian nuclear saber-rattling since 2014 and the growing tensions in the Korean peninsula have led Washington to reassess its own ability to deter, or respond to, such a limited use of nuclear weapons.

Beyond national styles. Towards a connected history of Cold War counterinsurgency

Date de publication
05 January 2017
Accroche

This book is a major new study of the extent to which national mentalities, or 'ways of war', are responsible for 'national styles' of insurgency and counterinsurgency

The Taboo of the Armenian Genocide, Part One: Global Reaction and American Inaction

Date de publication
04 July 2016
Accroche

In the Syrian refugee crisis enveloping Europe, Turkey has become the bottleneck toward which migrants are flowing into Europe, a factor increasingly important for Germany in particular. Relations have been strained, however, due to disputes over the possibility of lifting visa requirements.

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Turkey: the Sèvres Syndrome, or the Endless War

Date de publication
23 April 2015
Accroche

For Turks, the Treaty of Sèvres symbolises the dissolution of the empire and the carving up of Turkey by foreign powers. 

Deterring the Weak: Problems and Prospects

Date de publication
08 October 2012
Accroche

Strong states often fail to deter vastly weaker competitors. This paper explores some reasons of this failure and identifies factors that can increase the prospects that deterrence will succeed in these situations.

The Obama Administration and Syria: From "off the table" to on

Date de publication
06 June 2012
Accroche

A quick look at the news dealing with the Syrian uprising the last year shows a slow progression from protests and civil resistance towards violence. The Obama Administration’s policy dealing with what many have called “slow motion revolution” has evolved in fits and starts, with mixed episodes of confusion, assertiveness, denial and drift.

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China sees at least one winner emerging from Ukraine war: China

15 March 2022
Accroche

Officials in Beijing believe it can take advantage of a distracted US and weakened Russia. The war in Ukraine is far from over, but a consensus is forming in Chinese policy circles that one country stands to emerge victorious from the turmoil: China.

 
 
 
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baev_pavel_nb.jpg

Putin’s War is Stuck, Beware The Rising Risks

28 February 2022
Accroche

Data on the concentration of Russian troops was solid; the diplomatic offensive executed by Moscow was deliberately disagreeable; yet, many experts (myself including) refused to accept the proposition on the coming war as “inevitable”.

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DWlogo
Image principale médiatique

France hopes deporting more alleged radicals will bring security

04 July 2021
Accroche

France has repatriated more than half the people it defined as radical Islamists living in the country without a residence permit since 2018. Now it wants to extend the penalty and deport even more.

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irishtimes-logo.png
Image principale médiatique

Army colonel sworn in as Mali president as tensions with Paris grow

07 June 2021
Accroche

Assimi Goïta vows to uphold republican regime and democracy in Mali.

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voa.jpg
Image principale médiatique

France Halts Joint Military Operations with Mali Over Coup

03 June 2021
Accroche

PARIS - France said Thursday it would suspend joint military operations with Malian forces after the West African country's second coup in nine months, adding to international pressure for the military junta to return civilians to positions of power.

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Russia’s spat with EU puts relations into deep-freeze

10 February 2021
Accroche

Kremlin stance is blow to European countries which favour outreach to Moscow. Russia’s combative treatment of the EU’s top diplomat during a landmark trip there has triggered a political outcry — but little expectation that the European bloc will end divisions over how to handle the Kremlin.

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Navalny poisoning shatters Macron's Russia reset dream

09 September 2020
Accroche

The poisoning of Russian opposition figure Alexei Navalny with the Novichok nerve agent has dealt a blow to French President Emmanuel Macron's strategy of rapprochement with Russia, which troubled some EU allies, analysts say.

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France pushes risky bet on detente with Moscow

08 September 2019
Accroche

Paris (AFP) - French President Emmanuel Macron senses an opportunity to bring Russia's Vladimir Putin back in from the cold and potentially help usher in peace in Ukraine, an ambitious -- and risky -- undertaking that Western allies might not welcome.

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Russia, France look for way out of geopolitical deadlock

24 May 2018
Accroche

On Thursday, Russian President Vladimir Putin and his French counterpart Emmanuel Macron are due to hold a meeting in St. Petersburg.

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Macron Heads to Russia in European Effort to Salvage Iran Deal

22 May 2018
Accroche

French President Emmanuel Macron’s trip to Russia this week once threatened to split France from its European allies. Now it’s part of a wider European effort to tie President Vladimir Putin to the Iran nuclear accord.

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