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Security - Defense

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As a result of global strategic competition, security and defense issues are marked by the return of major wars and nuclear deterrence, the transformation of terrorism and the race for military technologies.

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 A soldier looking at a map on a laptop.
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Publications
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China’s Military Deployments in the Gulf of Aden: Anti-Piracy and Beyond

Date de publication
21 November 2016
Accroche

The reason for the deployment of a People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) “anti-piracy task force” in the Gulf of Aden (GoA), a key area for the Chinese economy, was obvious in 2008. However, as the pirate activity has faded away since 2012, the objectives of the PLAN in GoA became unclear. 

Jérôme HENRY

Japan's New Dual-Use Space Policy: The Long Road to the 21st Century

Date de publication
08 November 2016
Accroche

Japan’s latest space policy is designed to support a more proactive US-Japan alliance role in containing China, and robustly defend Japan against North Korean ballistic missile threats. 

Operation Sangaris: A Case Study in Limited Military Intervention

Date de publication
27 October 2016
Accroche

The French Army's Sangaris Operation in Central African Republic proved successful despite it being first undermined. 

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The 2016 German White Paper. The consolidation of the “Munich consensus” and persisting questions

Date de publication
19 October 2016
Accroche

The 2016 White Paper on security policy and the future of the Bundeswehr is testament to Berlin’s declared will to play a more active role internationally, to assume more responsibility and to provide leadership in close concertation with its partners in Europe and the world. 

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At the 2016 Xiangshan Forum, China Outlines a Vision for Regional Security Governance

15 October 2016
Accroche

Beijing has a plan for a new regional security architecture, and it’s not based around alliances.

The Future Middle East Strategic Balance. Conventional and Unconventional Sources of Instability

Date de publication
13 September 2016
Accroche

This paper seeks to analyze the future Middle Eastern military balance of power, in a time horizon of five to ten years.

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RAMSES 2017. A Fragmented World

Date de publication
07 September 2016
Accroche

RAMSES 2017. A Fragmented World, prepared by IFRI’s research team and selected external experts, offers an in-depth and up to date analysis of global geopolitics.

This 35th edition focuses on three key issues: the spread of jihadist terrorism, the Middle East’s disintegration, and doubts about the European project. With the world’s balance of power and economic foundations shifting, the next few months are likely to be decisive for our future. The growing diversity and complexity of our world is startling, which is why it is important to rethink our analyses and means of action.

France wants to feel safe – whatever it takes. But what if it takes too much?

28 July 2016
Accroche

Opinion column published in "The Globe and Mail"

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China in Djibouti: A military base with Chinese characteristics?

Date de publication
25 July 2016
Accroche

Last February, the Chinese Defense Ministry confirmed the launch of the construction of a Chinese military base in Djibouti. For a long time, Chinese officials had insisted that China would never build military bases or to station troops abroad.

Bertilles JAMES
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L'avenir de la surprise tactique à l'heure de la numérisation

Date de publication
07 July 2016
Accroche

Surprise is a crucial dimension of military tactics, which stems from incertitude inherent to war.

War and Democratic Decision Making: How do Democracies Argue and Decide Whether or Not to Intervene in Distant Wars?

Date de publication
06 July 2016
Accroche

What is the proper place and forum for decisions about war and peace in a democracy? There is surprisingly little consensus on this matter, not in theory and not in practice. While in Iraq, Libya and Syria, all Western actions have ended in failure, it seems necessary to analyze the place and importance of this aspect of the democratic decision making. 

La Sentinelle égarée ? L’armée de Terre face au terrorisme

Date de publication
09 June 2016
Accroche

The 2015 terror attacks in France and the ensuing activation by the Ministry of Defense of its homeland protection plan opened a new phase in the long history of the French Army’s involvement in internal security.

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In France, are soldiers outside the Eiffel Tower and the Louvre really worth it?

04 June 2016
Accroche

Sentinel represents a watershed development in French military operations. For the first time since the end of the Cold War, the number of French army soldiers actively deployed in metropolitan France roughly equals that of overseas operations. But the military establishment here is far from unified on the value of an operation often seen as a costly and superficial means of reassuring civilians and tourists at the expense of substantive improvement to national security.

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NATO wrestles with internal divisions ahead of Warsaw summit

02 June 2016
Accroche

The alliance is struggling to assemble four battalions to safeguard its eastern flank from a possible Russian attack. In addition, many member states are falling short of their financial commitments to the alliance.

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Retours sur Sangaris. Entre stabilisation et protection des civils

Date de publication
30 April 2016
Accroche

In December 2013, France launched its operation Sangaris in the Central African Republic. What conclusions can be drawn for the stabilization of the country and the protection of civilians?

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The Return of Geopolitical Risk - Russia, China and the United States

Date de publication
06 April 2016
Accroche

The year 2014 was defined by the conflict in Ukraine, the emergence of Daesh, and tensions between China and Japan. As for 2015, it has witnessed the spread of Daesh, the conflict in Yemen, the Greek crisis, revelations about the activity of the National Security Agency (NSA), the migrant crisis, and a ramping-up of terrorist attacks. 

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La sécurité énergétique des armées françaises. Le soutien pétrolier à l’heure de la transition

Date de publication
31 March 2016
Accroche

Ever since its inception on the eve of World War One, the concept of securing fuel supply has consistently proven its vitality to military operations.

Paul KAESER

Kurds against IS: An Effective Military Solution?

Date de publication
02 March 2016
Accroche

The Kurdish military’s recent history immediately brings to mind images of its mythical female fighters, and of its real victories against Daesh. But its successes have been primarily in Syria. In Iraq, the Kurdish military has been hindered by poor preparation, lack of effective weaponry, and various political and tactical disagreements between actors. Without support from the West, Kurdish forces will not be able to win the on-ground offensive.

Cooperation Despite Frictions in Northeast Asia

26 February 2016
Accroche

Despite the political tensions that oppose Japan, China and South Korea, recent months have seen a certain rapprochement between Tokyo, Seoul and Beijing. The first trilateral summit in three years was held in November 2015.

Cooperation Despite Frictions in Northeast Asia

26 February 2016
Accroche
Despite the political tensions that oppose Japan, China and South Korea, recent months have seen a certain rapprochement between Tokyo, Seoul and Beijing. The first trilateral summit in three years was held in November 2015.

Strategic Stability in the Cold War: Lessons for Continuing Challenges

Date de publication
13 February 2011
Accroche

During the Cold War, the phrase “strategic stability” gained currency both as a foreign policy objective and as an apt way of describing the fact that the United States and the Soviet Union never actually went to war.

David S. YOST

Caveats to Civilian Aid Programs in Counterinsurgency: The French Experience in Afghanistan

Date de publication
30 December 2010
Accroche

Amaury de Féligonde has just spent one year in Kapisa and Surobi as a project manager within the Afghan-Pakistan Interministerial Unit. Back in France, he expresses his personal views and draws conclusions from his experience.

Amaury de FELIGONDE

France's Return into NATO: French Military Culture and Strategic Identity in Question

Date de publication
11 October 2010
Accroche

More than 40 years after the unilateral decision by General de Gaulle to withdraw French forces from NATO's integrated military command, President Sarkozy decided that France would reintegrate the Atlantic Alliance’s military structure, based on "full and complete participation". The decision was endorsed by Parliament and has generated little debate in France, while a majority of French people appear to approve of it.

Anne-Henry DE RUSSE

Evolution of the Australia-Japan Security Partnership: Toward a Softer Triangle Alliance with the United States?

Date de publication
01 October 2010
Accroche

This paper examines how and why the Australia-Japan defense and security partnership has evolved, what policy implications this new partnership has for the U.S.-Japan alliance system, and what constraints the further advancement of trilateral security cooperation faces.

Takashi TERADA

Potential Strategic Consequences of the Nuclear Energy Revival

Date de publication
08 July 2010
Accroche

Renewed interest throughout the globe in harnessing nuclear energy has raised concern about security threats from states and non-state actors while holding out the promise of more electricity for more people.

Charles D. FERGUSON

Chinese Perceptions of the Utility of Nuclear Weapons: Prospects and Potential Problems in Disarmament

Date de publication
16 June 2010
Accroche

This paper takes a careful look at China's perceptions of the role of nuclear weapons in its national security policy and defense posture.

Jing-dong YUAN

North Korea's Nuclear Weapons Development: Implications for Future Policy

Date de publication
23 April 2010
Accroche

Despite the resumption of high-level diplomatic contact between Washington and Pyongyang in late 2009, realization of a non-nuclear Korean Peninsula remains a very remote prospect, with the DPRK insisting that a peace agreement between the U.S. and North Korea and hence the cessation of "hostile DPRK-U.S. relations" are necessary before any consideration of denuclearization.

Jonathan D. POLLACK

In Search of the Nuclear Taboo: Past, Present, and Future

Date de publication
11 January 2010
Accroche

One of the most puzzling - if positive - phenomena of the past half century is the non-use of nuclear weapons. 

William C. POTTER
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Couverture PE n° 4-2009 - English

NATO 1949-2009

Date de publication
21 December 2009
Accroche

A little more than 60 years after its creation, questions about the future of the Alliance emerge at the intersection of three observations. First, the complexity of the world, which makes the Alliance ‘inevitable,' since it is a rare source of stability and solidarity in a world marked by uncertainty. Second, American doubt. If the United States was the global policeman for some simple minds at the start of the 1990s, others see the US as having used up its power in the adventurism of the Bush Administration. The future will wipe out these two caricatures. For members of the Alliance, the US will long continue to be a necessary friend, whose power and possible abandonment are feared. The third observation is, obviously, Europe's incurable ethnocentricity: if Europeans knew how to look at the world and their place in it, they would rapidly give up their mediocre powerlessness. History is moving on elsewhere and raises questions on its chaotic path to which others are replying more quickly. In the years ahead, therefore, the Alliance may lorge ahead without Europe or nearly without it, despite the fact that Europeans' specific know-how could be useful.

Numerology in the Second Nuclear Age

Date de publication
25 November 2009
Michael KREPON
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Related centers and programs
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T-72B3 battle tank, NATO
European & Transatlantic Security
Accroche centre

The European & Transatlantic Security Program aims to contribute to the strategic debate by developing analyses around three main axes: European defense and the security architecture of the European continent, institutional and strategic links between the Treaty Organization of North Atlantic (NATO) and the European Union (EU), as well as the evolution of the transatlantic relationship.

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Legionnaires patrolling during the sentinel operation in Paris
Internal Security
Accroche centre

The distinction between internal and external threats is often exaggerated, as the borders are so porous. Conflicts taking place thousands of kilometers from France can have tragic resonances on national territory. Radicalization, terrorism and even organized crime have an international dimension that cannot be ignored.

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Nuclear ballistic missile submarine, in transit on the surface
Deterrence and Proliferation
Accroche centre

The conflicts in Europe, Asia and the Middle East demonstrate a return of nuclear power to the balance of power. Arsenals are being modernized and expanded, while arms control is collapsing. This research program aims to analyze these phenomena.

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Group of kamkazza combat drones against the background of sky and clouds, top view, 3d rendering. Concept: war in Ukraine, drone attack.
Observatory on Future Conflicts
Accroche centre

The Observatory of Future Conflicts is a research program carried out by the French Institute of International Relations and the Foundation for Strategic Research on behalf of the three army headquarters aimed at studying developments in tensions and armaments at the horizon 2040 in a transversal perspective, taking into account the issues of each army.

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 A soldier watching a sunset on an armored infantry fighting vehicle
Security Studies Center
Accroche centre

Heir to a tradition dating back to the founding of Ifri, the Security Studies Center provides public and private decision-makers as well as the general public with the keys to understanding power relations and contemporary modes of conflict as well as those to come. Through its positioning at the juncture of politics and operations, the credibility of its civil-military team and the wide distribution of its publications in French and English, the Center for Security Studies constitutes in the French landscape of think tanks a unique center of research and influence on the national and international defense debate.

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French soldiers during an exercise in the forest
Defense Research Unit
Accroche centre

The Defense Research Unit is a program that aims at stimulating the strategic debate by dealing with subjects at the junction of the “technico-operational” and the “political-strategic”. A unique structure in France, it brings together civilian researchers and “military fellows” from each of the three armies to produce work on defense policies, the capability and strategic adaptation of armies, and foresight on tomorrow's conflicts.

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A soldier looking at a map on a laptop
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